Nba 4/1

[TazaD]

NJ -6

League: 27-14 (Av. win 10.7) home 5+ fav off a SU win as a 5+ dog, if opp last lost by 10+ ats as a dog. [NJ]
8-0 (Av. win 15.2) if it was also a 10- ats win.

Charlotte are rubbish! 1-9 ats in their last 10 on the road, and 1-9 on the road overall when allowing 90+!...because they score just 89.2 ppg away from home!
NJ have scored 100+ in 4 of their last 5 at home...the one (83) was v. Detroit.
Nets do well against teams that don't score well, and the 'Cats at home is a perfect mix.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

getting in early as i think this line will go. McGradyless Rockets gave up 36 three pointer attempts against Golden State, Orlando like to shoot for threes and i see this game following roughly the same pattern. Added to this Rockets SHOULD start to feel the weight of no mcGrady hitting them soon. And that Orlando had a semi embarassing loss at home to NJ, they have something to prove here as their form has tailed off a bit.

Orlando - 4.5

[Anderson.]

I agree with the NJ bet. But you must understand that NBA teams have a lot of pride and they usually bounce back and taking -6 with NJ is a risky bet.

In respect to the Orlando-Houston game, Orlando -4.5 is also a risky bet. Why? Because Orlando feeds off Dwight Howards rebounds, especially, offensive boards, it's too bad Rockets got Yao Ming in the paint. Houston +4.5 is a more practical bet IMO. GL !

[atothek]

Originally Posted by Anderson.

In respect to the Orlando-Houston game, Orlando -4.5 is also a risky bet. Why? Because Orlando feeds off Dwight Howards rebounds, especially, offensive boards, it's too bad Rockets got Yao Ming in the paint. Houston +4.5 is a more practical bet IMO. GL !

Man don't forget it's the same the other way around. Houston are counting on Ming and Mcgrady. The second one is unavailable, so it's goin to be mostly Yao, but Howard ain't no punk either. He can certainly keep it tight against him and with Orlando having the better surround team than Houston, i don't think Houston can take something out of this game.

[TazaD]

I'll be on under 194 in the Orlando game if it gets that high...

...No real opinion on the winner...but have Yao and Luis Scola in my fantasy team for the week...
...Rebounds and solid %'s boys

No argument about pride, Anderson...it's the ability thing that I'm mre concerned abuot tho

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

yeah the way i see it is Yao cant just rely on being tall and getting rebounds now, he HAS to get serious points while McGrady is out, can he handle this pressure?...I am actually loving that HOU game from a couple days back where GS took 30+ 3 pointer attempts, if Houston give Orlando that many then this game is probably over before it starts.

The only reason i can see that NJ is a risky bet is that they are a bunch of non trying donkey ****ers half the time...There are certain teams i try and stay away from, any team with Jeferson and Carter falls into that category :-P

[TazaD]

Houston v. Orlando under 194

League: 2-8 under (1-9 this no..av. total 188.6...av. score 179.0) as a non-conf fav, off a 10- ats (and SU) loss as a 5+ fav, if they won the previous meeting as a dog. [Houst]
0-7 (Av. score 175.9) if their last game went under.

Here's your pride in action, Anderson.
Houston don't want to lose to a Eastern Conf. team twice!
They know they can't so it with offense without McGrady...shooting just 42% in their last 5, so they show up with defense here.
The Magic's points av. has been inflate with 2 OT games in their last 4, and they struggled to score against the reasonable defense of the Nets.

[Sawyer]

BET ON NETS IF THEY'RE UNDERDOG,
BET AGAINST NETS IF THEY'RE FAVOURITE!



A friend of mine asked, Which part you like most in NBA?
I replied, TIME OUT!

Did you noticed that I bet usually on Nets when they're underdog and bet against Nets when they're favourite? It's called "Nets Underdog/Favourite" System that I founded and according to this system, the formula is very easy: Bet on Nets if they're underdog, Bet against Nets if they're favourite! Take a look at New Jersey's ATS record this season and you'll understand what I mean..

Moreover, when we look at New Jersey's last 8 matches, the biggest winning margin by Nets is 5-pts against Goldenstate. Take a look to entire season and New Jersey's record is not surprising at all. Only 2 wins by 10 points or higher..

Bobcats are not very hot these days, so instead of Bobcats +6, let's go with +8.5! Additional Point Spread Bets are always handy and flexible!

Bobcats +8.5
1,66 @ Bet365

[Sawyer]

UNDER 194



It looks like Orlando has found the magic formula to victory tonight!

Hi NBA Fans! Tonight, Orlando Magic will host Houston Rockets. T-Mac and S. Francis are still out in Rockets. Moreover, Kirk Synder is listed as doubftful. Let's have a look at statistics..

Orlando is scoring 103.7 points per game but against Houston defence they may have some trouble to hit 3-digits. On the other side, Houston is playing with 94.8 points per game. Houston is solid in defence with allowing opponents to score only 94.1 points per game.

Rockets will be missing T-Mac tonight and his absence will be a hugeblow for Houston. Underthese circumstances, Under 194 sounds good in my opinion.

Pick Under 194 with high stakes, GL!

Under 194
1,91 @ Betsson
9/10

[blackcrow]

Indiana under 194.5

Indiana have lost 5 straight games and confidence is low. They lost to Memphis at home 90-72, scoring only 9 points in the 4th quarter. Atlanta is the 7th best ranked team on defence and look to them to continue to compound the misery of Indiana.

Indiana:
Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 home games
Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game

Atlanta:
Under is 20-8 in Hawks last 28 overall
Under is 15-3 in Hawks last 18 road games
Under is 14-3 in Hawks last 17 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 13-5 in Hawks last 18 games as an underdog


Toronto under 184.5

Toronto are ranked 8th in defence allowing 95 points per game while Detroit are ranked 2nd allowing 89 points per game. Detroit may be caught looking ahead to their big game against Boston and may pull some of their starters in the second half and give their bench more game time.

Toronto:
Under is 8-1 in Raptors last 9 home games
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a S.U. win

Detroit:
Under is 9-2 in Pistons last 11 overall
Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 road games.
Under is 7-2 in Pistons last 9 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Pistons last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 Friday games

Minnesota under 205.5

Minnesota rank 28th on offence with 93 points per game while Denver are ranked 25th on defence and allow 103 points per game.
Denver rank 4th on offence with 106 points per game while Minnesota are ranked 22nd on defence and allow 102 points per game.
The total is quite high based on the belief that both team can score on each other yet in the two game played so far this season, 190 and 192 points have been scored.
Denver come off their best defensive effort for the season in beating the Spurs 80-77 while Minnesota lost to Portland 90-79 on Wednesday

Minnesota:
Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 overall
Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 games as an underdog
Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-1-1 in Timberwolves last 9 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.

Denver:
Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 19-8 in Nuggets last 27 vs. Western Conference
Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
Under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[kroni]

Atlanta Hawks +3
Indiana have been very poor lately, most recently have an 18 point loss against Memphis! they also lost the reverse of this fixture 107-95. There home form is nothing special 7-9 and 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home, also they are 6-7 as favourite. Pacers are on a 5 game losing streak and i think it will be 6 tonight.
Ok Hawks have a poor record on the road 5-20 in the last 25 games but they are much improved more recently. Atlanta are 4-2 ATS in last 6 games on the road and 5-4 in last 9 road games! most recently defeats @ detroit dallas and cleveland which can be expected and wins @ Philli orlando and washington which i think are tougher games than tonights given Pacers performances lately.
Overall i think Hawks are on the up and Pacers are going the other way:

Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games Indiana is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

[blackcrow]

Milwaukee over 197.5

The games between these two teams lately have been high scoring encounters as both teams have reached 100 points in each of the last five meetings, while the winning team has totaled 116 or more in four of those games.

Milwaukee:
Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games as an underdog
Over is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 games as a home underdog

Washington:
Over is 7-3 in Wizards last 10 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games as a road favorite.

[kroni]

not much to say here as not much time left and i wrote all my picks and was logged out and lost it all when logging in again

Boston Celtics -13
memphis have lost by more than this spread 4 times in there last 5 losses all against a team with good defence, like Boston

Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

also boston are 5-0 ATS when the spread is 10 points or more!!!

[TazaD]

Denver @ Minni under 207

League: 4-13 under (0-17 this no! Av. -7.5) away 5+ fav, no rest off an ats win as home 4- fav. [Denv]

The total is quite high based on the belief that both team can score on each other yet in the two game played so far this season, 190 and 192 points have been scored.
Denver come off their best defensive effort for the season in beating the Spurs 80-77 while Minnesota lost to Portland 90-79 on Wednesday.

LOL. Thanks crow!

SA -12

League: 2-12 (Av. loss 19.1) as a 10+ dg, off a 10+ ats loss as any fav, if opp last shot <40% [NYK]

Can things get much worse for NY this season? A run of 5 losses, a couple against some very average teams and given up 100+ in 4 of them.
SA have been a bit inconsistant, but give up just 89.6 at home and an unltra impressive 83.8 in their last 5!
Y give up 104.8 on the road, 103.4 in their last 5...and SA are 8-1-1 at home when they score 100+.

[kroni]

Washington Wizards -3

Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home both teams have played the same opponents in their last 3 games all with same outcome, wins against miami and losses against detroit and new jersy i think washington did abit better in these games with a comfortable win against miami and not so thrashed by detroit where Bucks lost by 45!!!!

ill also go for Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolvesnder UNDER 207 for same reason as black crow and tazad has stated!!!

GL everyone

[TazaD]

Orlando appeared to tie the game at 96 with Adonal Foyle's tip-in at the buzzer, but officials said he didn't get the shot off in time. The replay seemed to show he did, and the Rockets literally ran off the floor when the call came down.

Well, it's about time someone around here had some luck!!

(Promise never to bad mouth double OT games again! )

[TazaD]

An under-the-weather Richard Jefferson added 28 points

Drunk?? ...He took 28 shots!! How "under the weather" could he possibly be??!!

[Sawyer]

Originally Posted by Sawyer

UNDER 194

Hi NBA Fans! Tonight, Orlando Magic will host Houston Rockets. T-Mac and S. Francis are still out in Rockets. Moreover, Kirk Synder is listed as doubftful. Let's have a look at statistics..

Orlando is scoring 103.7 points per game but against Houston defence they may have some trouble to hit 3-digits. On the other side, Houston is playing with 94.8 points per game. Houston is solid in defence with allowing opponents to score only 94.1 points per game.

Rockets will be missing T-Mac tonight and his absence will be a hugeblow for Houston. Underthese circumstances, Under 194 sounds good in my opinion.

Pick Under 194 with high stakes, GL!

Under 194
1,91 @ Betsson
9/10
WON!

I love this game

[Sawyer]

Originally Posted by Sawyer

BET ON NETS IF THEY'RE UNDERDOG,
BET AGAINST NETS IF THEY'RE FAVOURITE!

Did you noticed that I bet usually on Nets when they're underdog and bet against Nets when they're favourite? It's called "Nets Underdog/Favourite" System that I founded and according to this system, the formula is very easy: Bet on Nets if they're underdog, Bet against Nets if they're favourite! Take a look at New Jersey's ATS record this season and you'll understand what I mean..

Moreover, when we look at New Jersey's last 8 matches, the biggest winning margin by Nets is 5-pts against Goldenstate. Take a look to entire season and New Jersey's record is not surprising at all. Only 2 wins by 10 points or higher..

Bobcats are not very hot these days, so instead of Bobcats +6, let's go with +8.5! Additional Point Spread Bets are always handy and flexible!

Bobcats +8.5
1,66 @ Bet365
WON!

Double Won

[Anderson.]

Well done Sawyer.