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Old 31-12-2007, 06:47   #1 (permalink)
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Default Nba 31/12

Indi @ CBC under 204.5

League: 3-11 under (Av. total 205.5...av. score 201.4) home (-3 to +3), total 200+, off a 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog if they shot >45%, and opp shot <45%. [CBC]
1-9 under (Av. score 198.4) in a non-Div game.
0-6 (Av. score 194.0) if opp lost ats.

Big total for a Bobcats game. They av. just 93.1 ppg, are 1-7 under when the total is 195+...and would be just 3-14 over this number all season at home...2 of the overs v. Washington.
The first meeting this season was 87-96 with a respectable 43.8% shooting.
Just a few points too high this one.

Utah -7

League: 17-5-1 (Av. wi 11.7) home 5+ fav, off an ats loss as home dog, if they shot >50% [Utah]
13-2 (Av. win 12.9) if opp is off an ats win.
8-0 (Av. win 17.3) as any home fav, if opp is off a 10+ ats win.

Portland on a huge 13 game win streak, but just 3 of those games have been on the road! Admittedly one of those wins was @ Utah, but the Jazz shot a horrible 38.2%.
Portland av. just 92.6 ppg on the road, and give up 100.8...Utah shoot 50.2% at home and are 7-1 SU v. teams with no rest, and 7-1 ats when allowing <100 at home.

LAC v. Min over 188

League: 11-1 over (Av. total 189.9...av. score 204.6) as a 5+ fav off an ats win as away 10+ dog, if they shot <40% [Min]

Minni have given up 105+ in their last 6 games!...av. 110.2 in their last 5...but they've also scored 90+ in 5 of their last 6.
Clips allow 98.4 ppg and have given up 91+ in 7 of their last 8.
I expected a total in the 190's at least.


I've also taken Det -11 at Lassetters...wouldn't take any higher than that, and can't find 11 at a "recognised" (S-P anyway) book.
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Old 31-12-2007, 08:29   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Wow TazaD you goin straight to the head with the Portland pick, eh? Good luck there. I think Portland are too much in the zone right now to lose by 8 or more.
What do you think about the over in Chicago? Chicago has been on a good attacking streak and Orlando is Orlando, unstoppable Howard in the paint and their guards will be hitting the threes.
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Old 31-12-2007, 09:57   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Hey everyone! I'm new here and I hope that I wont make some errors in the beginning

@TazaD I share your opinion by Indiana under...I'll play also away handicap on Orlando ( +2,5 ) & Yao Ming over 21.5 but I have a little dilemma and maybe somebody could help me

Can DUrant over 20,5 today????
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Old 31-12-2007, 11:38   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Quote:
Originally Posted by Padrino View Post
Hey everyone! I'm new here and I hope that I wont make some errors in the beginning

@TazaD I share your opinion by Indiana under...I'll play also away handicap on Orlando ( +2,5 ) & Yao Ming over 21.5 but I have a little dilemma and maybe somebody could help me

Can DUrant over 20,5 today????
Hey Padrino...

...The second pick in the 2007 draft, who is averaging 20.2 points, sprained his left index finger near the end of the first period. X-rays were negative, but Seattle held Durant out as a precaution.

I can only assume his status is the reason there is no real line on this game atm...
He's been up and down as it is...almost impossible to predict a score...if he plays at all.

atothek...easy to be on a roll when 10 of your last 13 have been at home
I wouldn't take any more than the -7...and they may not cover that number, but I'm pretty confient that the Jazz at least win this game SU.
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Old 31-12-2007, 15:37   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

TIMBERWOLVES VS CLIPPERS



Happy New Yearrrr!

First of all, Happy New Year All NBA Fans! Let's hope that new year will bring good luck to us all!

Let's get to the match. Tonight, injury-handicapped Clippers will host Timberwolves. When you look at Minnesota's away record, you may call me crazy for backing the visitors. Yes, I know Minnesota is 1-15 on the road but their ATS (Against The Spread) record is very impressive. Even if they lose, they won't lose by a huge margin. Not to mention, the opponent is Clippers tonight, it's not Spurs or Pistons..

Let's have a look at injuries in both Clippers and T'Wolves..

Clippers

Elton Brand (achilles)
Shaun Livingston (kneecap)
Paul davis (knee)
Tim thomas (knee)

T'Wolves

Randy foye (knee)


I'm not expecting injury-handicapped Clippers to beat Timberwolves by 10 points. I'm very confident with Minnesota's ATS record.
Pick Timberwolves +9.5 with high stakes. GL!

T'Wolves +9.5
1,63 @ Sportingbet
8 Stake
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Old 31-12-2007, 21:24   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Taza: Check your PM folder
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Old 01-01-2008, 00:10   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Thanks bc...

...but I didn't realise there were early games.

I would have added Det -11.5 if need be...but too late now obviously!

Besides, an under killed by OT sufficiently dented the charge.
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Old 01-01-2008, 17:20   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
TIMBERWOLVES VS CLIPPERS



Happy New Yearrrr!

First of all, Happy New Year All NBA Fans! Let's hope that new year will bring good luck to us all!

Let's get to the match. Tonight, injury-handicapped Clippers will host Timberwolves. When you look at Minnesota's away record, you may call me crazy for backing the visitors. Yes, I know Minnesota is 1-15 on the road but their ATS (Against The Spread) record is very impressive. Even if they lose, they won't lose by a huge margin. Not to mention, the opponent is Clippers tonight, it's not Spurs or Pistons..

Let's have a look at injuries in both Clippers and T'Wolves..

Clippers

Elton Brand (achilles)
Shaun Livingston (kneecap)
Paul davis (knee)
Tim thomas (knee)

T'Wolves

Randy foye (knee)


I'm not expecting injury-handicapped Clippers to beat Timberwolves by 10 points. I'm very confident with Minnesota's ATS record.
Pick Timberwolves +9.5 with high stakes. GL!

T'Wolves +9.5
1,63 @ Sportingbet
8 Stake
WON

Exactly by 9 points!
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Old 01-01-2008, 23:04   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 31/12

.
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