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Old 29-02-2008, 00:25   #1 (permalink)
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Default Nba 29/2

NY @ Atl over 200.5

League: 16-4 over (Av. total 206.2...av. score 215.0) home non-Div 5+ fav, total 200+ off a 10- ats win as home fav, if opp is off a 15+ ats win. [Atl] (3-0 season)
11-0 (Av. score 221.6!) if opp's last game went over.

Grabbing this one nice and early before it gets up above 201. There's a million team trends in play for the over here, but you don't have to look any further than both teams' defensve numbers.
NY allowing 105.4 in their last 5, 104 @ 47% on the road anyway...
Atl giving up 107 last 5!
Bit surprised that the Hawks actually hit 100 ppg at home, and both av over 101 in last 5.
NY 15-2 over off a win this season, 7-1 over last 8 meetings in Atl, cmbined 17-3 over last 10 games...it goes on.
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Old 29-02-2008, 16:05   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

Philly @ Golden State - Golden State -5

The Sixers are on something of a hot streak at the moment and may well find the fast paced style of the Warriors to their liking. However, most of Philly's recent wins have come against fairly weak opponents and they look to have been overrated heading into tonight's game at Oracle. Having watched virtually every Philadelphia game this year I can confirm that they're really not all that good. With a complete lack of three point shooters, look for them to struggle to match the immense Golden State offense.
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Old 29-02-2008, 17:55   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

ok another win last night this could develop into a streak, or I could be speaking too soon!

9-4 for the week 15-17 on the year

first one tonight

Indiana @ Toronto - Toronto -10

Toronto could win this by 15+, they are 2-0 ATS against the Pacers this year and 6-1 when a heavy fav of 7.5pts+, they also have a decent record against teams below .500 of 9-5 ATS, Indian is looking down the barrel of a 4th straight loss here, these teams met just 4 days ago and the Raptors won by 14 and Toronto is enjoying a series of wide margin victories against poor teams right now, I expect the run to continue tonight

maybe more later Good luck all
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Old 29-02-2008, 21:35   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

as mentioned in one of the picks, fcuking late, so the lines went up, see that guys here like the same ones as i do...hope that wont mean were doomed

Hawks v Knicks over 202
Yeah, could have figured it out, NBA bets should be taken when Pinny release the odds and not few hours prior to that.
But still this line looks not at all hard to reach, not with on fire Crawford alonf with Richardson and Robinson, and with Atlanta lead by Joe Johnson with a help from Bibby and young guns Horford and Josh Smith.
Expect the perimeter shooting fest in this one, hope that Hawks wont play it slowly, but it will surely be hard to implement that way against NY today.
Anyway crap trends do show that:
* Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.


Raptors -10.5
Hard not to like the Raps in this matchup. They own Pacers, beat them few days ago and also beat them twice this season when they werent without Tinsley and Oneal.
Last game finished with only 4 points advantage for Raps (spread was 3), but that was mainly due to high number of TOs Raptors make. cant see them making the same mistakes again, and Bosh and co, should take this one with DDs.
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Old 29-02-2008, 21:40   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

Quote:
Originally Posted by danj2202 View Post
ok another win last night this could develop into a streak, or I could be speaking too soon!

9-4 for the week 15-17 on the year

first one tonight

Indiana @ Toronto - Toronto -10

Toronto could win this by 15+, they are 2-0 ATS against the Pacers this year and 6-1 when a heavy fav of 7.5pts+, they also have a decent record against teams below .500 of 9-5 ATS, Indian is looking down the barrel of a 4th straight loss here, these teams met just 4 days ago and the Raptors won by 14 and Toronto is enjoying a series of wide margin victories against poor teams right now, I expect the run to continue tonight

maybe more later Good luck all
11.5 now
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Old 29-02-2008, 21:51   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

My bets for today:

Atlanta-NYK
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 home games.

Over is 16-5 in Knicks last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 16-5 in Knicks last 21 road games.
My pick: over 200.5;

Chicago-Washington
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Wizards are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
My pick: Chicago -4.5;

Dallas-Sacramento
Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Kings are 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Dallas.
My pick: Dallas -9.5;

Good luck!

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Old 29-02-2008, 22:47   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

Rockets -13
Despite the fact Yao is out for the season, Houston has such power in this roster hat the should blew off poor Grizzlies. Guest suck ass hell, their D is crap while Rockets are flying. TMac, Scola (remember his dominance under the rims in Euro basket), Alston and Boozer should be more than enough to take this spread home. And just hope that Green will have some playing time tonight as i really believe he could become a really good player in the future adn Rockets did a good job as they aquired him from Wolves.

So to conlcude, i wouldnt be surprised if Rockets win this one with 20 or more points, lets just hope they wont have minds somewhere else tonight.

Last edited by expert; 29-02-2008 at 22:47.
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Old 01-03-2008, 03:01   #8 (permalink)
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Cool Re: Nba 29/2

Quote:
Originally Posted by TazaD View Post
NY @ Atl over 200.5

League: 16-4 over (Av. total 206.2...av. score 215.0) home non-Div 5+ fav, total 200+ off a 10- ats win as home fav, if opp is off a 15+ ats win. [Atl] (3-0 season)
11-0 (Av. score 221.6!) if opp's last game went over.

Grabbing this one nice and early before it gets up above 201. There's a million team trends in play for the over here, but you don't have to look any further than both teams' defensve numbers.
NY allowing 105.4 in their last 5, 104 @ 47% on the road anyway...
Atl giving up 107 last 5!
Bit surprised that the Hawks actually hit 100 ppg at home, and both av over 101 in last 5.
NY 15-2 over off a win this season, 7-1 over last 8 meetings in Atl, cmbined 17-3 over last 10 games...it goes on.
Its incredible how this guys couldn't score 40 points combined in the 4th quarter to go over 202.5.........damn !!! it was looking pretty good until the 3rd quarter.
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Old 01-03-2008, 04:24   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 29/2

Quote:
Originally Posted by Agent Dyno "PTY" View Post
Its incredible how this guys couldn't score 40 points combined in the 4th quarter to go over 202.5.........damn !!! it was looking pretty good until the 3rd quarter.
It certainly makes you wonder...

...oh, and mad...It makes me mad.
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Old 01-03-2008, 14:59   #10 (permalink)
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Cool Re: Nba 29/2

Yeah cuz it should went over !!! I know it could go over easily........these #$%&@ players yesterday decided that the game have to go under in the last quarter!!
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