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Old 26-02-2008, 04:14   #21 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 25/2

San Antonio -12.5
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Old 26-02-2008, 05:54   #22 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 25/2

Yeah...not sure if you guys bought out to get some better price, but 3's available early...
...even saw some 2.5's 4-5 hours before tip-off.

Either way, horrible luck when someone misses a FT...or 2...

Good recovery by the Spurs
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Old 26-02-2008, 06:03   #23 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 25/2

I had bought the line at 4 because like most, I would have thought, would have seen that line widen... not shorten. So I was grabbing it as quick as I could. Even though the Pacers showed why the line should have shortened, I still to this moment don't see the stat to make it shorten. Alas, a push is ok with me considering the collapse in the 3rd.

Boston +29 and Detroit pulling through (though closer game than I thought) made the night ok though, so I'll shup and not complain about the push.

Wish I woulda jumped on the Spurs though, but if I did they wouldn't have covered.

4-0-1 since Sat. . it continues
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Old 26-02-2008, 08:55   #24 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 25/2

getting ?
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Old 26-02-2008, 12:37   #25 (permalink)
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Default Re: Nba 25/2

3-2 could have been worse - Glad san Antonio got over the line

Quote:
Originally Posted by danj2202 View Post
Ok last week not too good, went 6-13 on the week, heres to a better week

Detroit @ Denver - Over 205 total points & Denver ML

I think this total is tight, but in close games as this one will be these teams combine for 11-5 in favour of the over and I look for the Nuggets to come out firing tonight, their stats this year following a loss are 16-5 in favour of the over as well - Detroit are fresh and will play good D but they can put up points also - I think 204-207 is a fair shout for the total, but as I think this game goes close and we add in the possibility of OT as well then I think it is a solid play. The Nuggets usually play well in the first game of a homestand as well - their first game back home they are 8-1 SU and ATS this year - however their record against teams above .500 is horrible - the fact that the Pistons are coming off a huge win over the Suns leads me to believe this is a possible letdown game though and will play Nuggets on the ML as well small stakes though as most of the numbers favour Detroit ATS - its a hunch play.

Atlanta @ San Antonio - Spurs -12 & Under 187 Total points

I think the Spurs are the better team here, they won against the spread the only previous meeting this year between the teams and at home I expect them to win by 15+ points against these Hawks, there are no amazing statistics to back this one up, the Spurs even are a surprising 5-8 ATS against teams under .500 but I think they will win this with ease and both teams lean towards the under play - as detailed in their previous game that went under scoring only 178 points - This is a good spot for teh Spurs tonight to continue their excellent recent run and for the Hawks to make it 9 defeats in 10.

Boston @ LA Clippers - Boston -9

the Celtics have a whole host of numbers in their favour here, they are 8-3 ATS against teams below .500 while the Clippers are just 4-9 this year ATS against teams with a winning record - the previous meeting the Celtics covered the spread - going back to back is no problem they are 7-5 ATS and the Clippers are just 3-9 ATS when an underdog by more than 7.5 - oh and the Celtics are the better team coming up against the Clippers who do not know whether Cassell or Kaman will play tonight and if they do it could well be for limited minutes.

also considered playing both the Mavs and the Hornets ATS tonight but left them alone as decided they were too marginal for me.

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY
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Old 26-02-2008, 13:26   #26 (permalink)
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thumbsup Re: Nba 25/2

Quote:
Originally Posted by JCtips View Post
My bet for today:

SA-Atlanta
Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Favorite is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
Hawks are 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
Hawks are 0-6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

Spurs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
Spurs are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Hawks are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hawks are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Hawks are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Hawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.

My pick: SA -12; won

Good luck!

JC
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