Nba 24/2

[TazaD]

Boston -6

League: 13-4-1 (Av. win 15.1) away 5+ fav, off a 10- ats loss as away 4- dog, if they shot <40% [Bost]
4-0 (Av. win 23.8!) non-Conf.

Just putting Boston's 77 point, 38% shooting performance down as a total aboration.
They've scored 96+ in 13 of 16, and av. over 100 ppg on the road for the season.
On the other hand, Portland really are struggling...av. just 86 @ 41% in their last 5 and have hit 100 in reg. just 2 times in their last 14...12 of 14 been 94 or less....as a result they are an amazing 1-13 ats in their last 14 games!

[TazaD]

Detroit WIN

League: 15-6 (Av. WIN 4.8) away 4- dog, off a 10+ ats win as a 10+ fav, if opp won ats. [Det] (1-0 SU in 2008)
6-0 SU (Av. WIN 11.2!!) if opp shot <45%

Phoenix is no big trip for the Pistons. They've won 4 of their last 5 trips here, the one last was by just 3 points, winning all ats.
Detroit finally got some shooting touch back hitting 127 @ 51% last game...yeah, the Suns may be better defensively with Shaq, but they gave up 130 to LAL 2 games ago.
Scored just 85 v. Boston, the last decent defensive team they faced was SA and scored just 81 and lost at home.
Scored just 94 at home and lost to Houston earlier...are 0-3 SU v. NO this season...
...and they are the 5 top defensive teams in the NBA.
Suns are just 3-8 SU when scoring <100...Pistons 12-4 when allowing <100...and 6-1 in day games.
Big odds for Detroit.

[TazaD]

Lakers -9

League: 0-11 (Av. loss 17.3) home 5+ dog off a 10+ ats win as home 4- dog, if they won last meeting 10- ats. [Sea]

Hard not to be impressed with LA right now. Won 9 of 10 ats, av'ing 116 @ 50.8% in their last 5, winning by over 15 ppg.
Lakers 8-4 on no rest, 8-1 as favs of 7-10...17-2-1 away when scoring 100+ and an amazing 20-1 ats when scoring 110+ on the season!!
Last meeting @ Seattle went to OT, but no Gasol, Brown started at C, no Radmanovic, and Szerbiak was 7-11 for 18.

Minni +6.5

League: 2-17-1 (Av. win 2.6) away 5+ fav, off a 10- ats win as away 5+ fav, if they >45%, and opp <40% [Dal]
0-11-1 (Av. win 2.2) if last meeting went under.

Basically, Dallas got a bit lucky lasst game with a Miller-less Mempis shooting just 38%.
Minni have been scoring ok since the break, with 104 and 99 v. solid defensive teams (SA and Philli)
Dallas have still lost 6 of last 8 on the road, and haven't topped 98 in their last 7.
Tough to see them winning by a big margin here...if indeed they do at all!

[Anderson.]

I like what you got homes. Hope you hit 'em all.

[Grip n' rip]

u198.5 Pistons @ Suns

[blackcrow]

Toronto over 201.5
Toronto are out for revenge after losing to NY two nights ago 103-99
Toronto have averaged 106 points in their last 5 while NY have allowed 106 points.
NY have scored an average of 100 points in while Toronto have allowed 96 points.

Over is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 home games
Over is 8-1 in Raptors last 9 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 games as a home favorite.

Over is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games
Over is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a road underdog.

Dallas -8.5
For Dallas, Kidd showed how good of player he can be for this team with a great performance in finding numerous open players last time out at Memphis. Now Dallas meet Minnesota who have lost 6 of their last and have already lost to Dallas this season by 23 and 6 points.

Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota
Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

[Agent Dyno "PTY"]

BULLS +9.5


BOSTON -5.5

[danj2202]

Ok been working today so again running short of time

Boston @ Portland - Under 186.5 total points

The Blazers have some numbers that suggest to me that they will go under here - in particular 0-7 this year coming off the road, 17-10 under at home, the Celtics only marginally favour the over going 27-25 on the year in favour of over so will take a punt on a dropping total here
a lot of marginal plays tonight that I could have made but not really had enough time to properly look into them

good luck all

[robby]

Cavs -11.5

Miller has been having back spasms for Memphis. Cavs along with James is getting Szczerbiak on the floor tonight plus Wallace and the rest. Memphis should continue to slide quite a bit and this game shouldn't have that many issues.

Having a little bit of the Bulls SU, under the 'let down game' clause, but nothing overly serious.

[danj2202]

Originally Posted by danj2202

Ok been working today so again running short of time

Boston @ Portland - Under 186.5 total points

The Blazers have some numbers that suggest to me that they will go under here - in particular 0-7 this year coming off the road, 17-10 under at home, the Celtics only marginally favour the over going 27-25 on the year in favour of over so will take a punt on a dropping total here
a lot of marginal plays tonight that I could have made but not really had enough time to properly look into them

good luck all

[ads25]

Well done to the guys who suggested taking Boston on the line. I got on them at -5.5 and made a tidy profit

Was a bit worried for a while though, they were down by 20 points early on. Was an amazing turnaround

[TazaD]

Minni managed 4 points in over 5:30 down the stretch...

...shot 49%, but Dallas had 27 FT's to 9!!??

What the hell happened to home court foul calls...

(Still safely fading Dallas and the Suns for the title )

Nice day bc, and robby

[blackcrow]

Toronto over 201.5

Dallas -8.5

Unfortunately TD someone had to win the Dallas game but still you did well with 3 out of 4. Always good to make profit