Nba 13/11

[harke]

Boston 5-0, 2-0 away
Indiana 3-3, 2-2 home


line BOSTON -6.5

OVER /UNDER197.5

My pick is boston -6.5 and UNDER

[Svart]

Originally Posted by harke

Boston 5-0, 2-0 away
Indiana 3-3, 2-2 home


line BOSTON -6.5

OVER /UNDER197.5

My pick is boston -6.5 and UNDER

Pretty good pick, mate!
i can agree for under this match but don't u think that some time NBA stright wins come to an end. 7-0 it's a kind of record for Boston and Pacers will do their best to win this one. I pick here

Pacers + 10.5

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

boston ATS looks good, im on at -7.5, try to explain why later..

Also im hoping for a rediculously high total for new york - phoenix.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by whycantistayawayfromdogs

Also im hoping for a rediculously high total for new york - phoenix.

hmmm not exactly got my wish, was hoping for 211-213, could well get that by the off though, judging by the money. Ill probably take anything from 210 upwards.

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Dallas Mavericks v Philadelphia 76ers
Selection	Philadelphia 76ers +11.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.95 (Back)
Reasoning	Philadelphia 76ers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 visits in Dallas. Dallas Mavericks has a showdown againt at Thursday with San Antonio they might not give 100% to trash Philly today.

Event	Portland Trail Blazers v Detroit Pistons
Selection	Under 190 Points
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00 (Back)
Reasoning	This doesnt seem to be a match Detroit Pistons will waste to much energy at on their road trip as they have much harder teams to face. The Trailblazers are 0-9 OU since January 26, 2005 as a home dog after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field and the Pistons are 0-5 OU on the road when Richard Hamilton increased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games.

Event	Memphis Grizzlies v Houston Rockets
Selection	Under 200.5 Points
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.01 (Back)
Reasoning	The under is 8-1 in Houstons last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. The Rockets have played the under in 6 of their last 8 road games and in their last 53 games vs teams from the Southwest division the under is 35-17-1. The under is 6-0 the Rockets last 6 trips to Memphis. The Grizzlies have played the under in 3 straight.The under is 5-1 in their last 6 games vs Western Conference opponents. The under is 8-3 in the Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is a money making 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between the clubs

Event	Orlando Magic v Seattle SuperSonics
Selection	Orlando Magic -9.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	canbet @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	Seattle SuperSonics really blows on the road. They are 0-3 SU and ATS while getting outscored by an average of more than 12 points per game. Orlando Magic won by double-digits the last time they faced the Sonics and are more than capable of doing so again.

Event	Charlotte Bobcats v Miami Heat
Selection	Miami Heat
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.07 (Back)
Reasoning	Earlier this season Miami lost at home to Charlotte by 90-88 and now the Miami Heat seek to avenge that early season loss and they should be more than capable of doing that according to me the way things have gone since then.

[TazaD]

Originally Posted by Svart

Pretty good pick, mate!
i can agree for under this match but don't u think that some time NBA stright wins come to an end. 7-0 it's a kind of record for Boston and Pacers will do their best to win this one. I pick here

Pacers + 10.5

Great line if you can get it!

Sorry guys, but I'm going to do exactly what I've chastised 100's for in the past!!...(Not much in the way of write-up's here...shhhh....)

Seattle @ Orlando under 210.5

League: 4-12 under (-6.3) home 10+ fav, off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dog, if total 190+. [Orl]
1-7-1 (0-9 this no...-9.7) if opp was last a 5+ dog.

Seattle just don't score enough to warrant such a high total.

Indi +7

League: 17-7 (Av. loss 1.0) home 5+ dog, off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dog, if they last shot <45%, and the total is 190+ [Indi]
13-3 (Av. WIN 1.8) if opp last shot >45%
5-0 (Av. WIN 5.8!) if opp was last away.

History suggests that Indi bounce back from a bad shooting night, and Boston have a downer.
Who am I to argue

LAL @ SA under 198.5

League: 7-21 under (Av. total 197.7...av. score 194.3) home 5+ fav, off a 10+ ats win as home 10+ fav, if they shot >55% [SA]
2-13 (Av. total 195.0...av. score 198.7) if opp was last at home.
0-5 (Av. total 196.0...av. score 186.8) if opp's last game went under.

SA are by far the best defensive team LAL have come up against so far...and SA have an off night (or at least a normal one!) off a huge shooting performance v. the Bucks.

Det -4.5

League: 2-11 (Av. loss 13.0) home dog, off a 15+ ats win as home dog, if opp was last an away 5+ fav. [Port]
1-10 (Av. loss 14.4) if total is 180+

Everything went right for Portland v. Dallas...their shots were dropping, the Mavs' weren't.
Things get back to normal against a solid Detroit today.

Miami @ CBC over 179.5

League: 13-4 over (+9.3) away 4- dog off a 4- SU win as a 4- dog, if opp is off a 10- ats win. [Mia]
9-1 (10-0 this no...+15.4!) if they were last away.

Two poor scoing teams, but this total is just too low.
Figures to be close too, so some late fouling, or maybe even OT isn't out of the question.
I took the last meeting 'over' and lost after a roaring first half...hopefully there'll be no let up here.

[andre gomes]

DETROIT at PORTLAND


After having the most aggressive practice of all time in the Monday of last week, according to the players, the team has reborn and they have won the last 3 matches they have played. The key to those victories has been the good performance of their defense. In the first three games, they suffered an average of 102.6 ppg, while in the last three games, they suffered an average of 90 ppg.

Today they will face a team that if they want to team, they will need to defend extremely well, as Detroit loves to face soft teams. Detroit in the last game wanted to play run and gun with Seattle and they almost ended up losing the game. They are terrible in playing at run and gun and tonight they will go back to the usual Detroit.
Portland and Detroit are two of the better-shooting teams in the NBA. The Blazers are making 46.7 percent of their shots from the field to rank sixth in the league, just ahead of the Pistons' 46.4 percent, but it's hard to believe that both teams will tonight reach so good numbers

The Blazers are 2-6 in their last eight games against Detroit, with both wins coming on the road. Wallace has averaged just 11.5 points in four visits to Portland since being traded.
Last season Detroit went 10-5 u/o in road games against teams of the western conference and in head 2 head games against Portland, Detroit went 4-0 u/o in the last two seasons. This season should be the same, with two teams trying to win the game in the defense and not in the attack.

Brandon Roy played very well against Dallas, but Hamilton and Billups will stop him tonight. I believe the correct line would be 185 points and not 190, so I'm taking advantage of these 5 free points.

PLAY 1* IN UNDER 190 POINTS

[Donald_Duck]

Originally Posted by TazaD

Miami @ CBC over 179.5

League: 13-4 over (+9.3) away 4- dog off a 4- SU win as a 4- dog, if opp is off a 10- ats win. [Mia]
9-1 (10-0 this no...+15.4!) if they were last away.

Two poor scoing teams, but this total is just too low.
Figures to be close too, so some late fouling, or maybe even OT isn't out of the question.
I took the last meeting 'over' and lost after a roaring first half...hopefully there'll be no let up here.

Miami sucks big f*ckin time...a-holes

[TazaD]

Pretty sure I'm the one that sucks, DD...

Another 1-4 'effort' today...time to give it a rest.

Oh, except for the automatic Portland under tomorrow...How long can they shoot >55%?!!!

[Donald_Duck]

no more over / under games for me...thats for sure...

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by Donald_Duck

no more over / under games for me...thats for sure...

me either I knew i wanted a higher total in phoenix before i took the under, but did it anyway

[Amdtje]

NBA sucks big time.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by Amdtje

NBA sucks big time.

nah its just a grind and if u arent confident play to low stakes, u can show a nice profit just picking good spots. Boston last night, denver the night before, both had big positives.