Nba 13/1

[ShaqSpear]

Sport	NBA
Event	Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls
Selection	under 222,5
Strength	10/10
Date	13/01/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.9
Reasoning	Memphis have scored a lot since the install of interim coach Tony Barone. Only once they haven't managed to reach 110 points against the strong Spurs defence. Now they visit another good defense in the league, the Bulls in Chicago. The Bulls haven't reached the 110 margin for the last 10 games since a 115- 76 trashing of Charlotte which was an under scoring game because of poor Charlotte offense. Chicago look big favourites in this game, they really can't afford losing this one after a 3 game losing streak against good teams. They might take control over this game right from the beginning by playing really tough defense and in this conditions it doesn't look like a high scoring game. Next, looking at Memphis a big part of their striking force comes from the paint, where Pau Gasol is a big factor. A not very good matchup for Pau when he will meet the backbone of Chicago's defense, the Big Ben. Gasol will have a lot of trouble playing against Wallace and that will restrict Memphis to even less points not beeing able to benefit from their top player's points.I don't even think this game will go over 200 so high stakes on this one. Good luck!!!

[MainEventsTipping]

Tip Main Events - Free Paid for all - (Yield +47.00%)

Which is the Event?
Sacramento Kings - Houston Rockets

Which is the Sport/Competition?
Basektball Betting, NBA National Basketball Assosiation

When the Tip start?
Tip Start: Thursday 14/01/07, 03.00 GMT (Greenwich Mean Time) -1
The Tip has been sended to the (12/01/07) 15.00 GMT (Greenwich Mean Time) -1

Who will win?
Sacramento Kings To Win (Moneylines -/+ 0.5)

Where can I bet?
Pinnaclesports

Which odds?
1.84

Which is the best odds in the market?
1.84 at Pinnaclesports

Which is the stakes?
5/5 Full stakes

Why to bet this Main Events Tip?
Sacramento this year is disappointing a lot, although the Kings have a rosters of first level, they are going much bad and they don't succeed to find a true dimension.
They come from a strip of four defeats in a row, especially that one of the last night has been much bad and at home the Kings cannot continue to mistake, seen also the record of 14/19 (W/L) that for a team of the level of the Kings it's really madness.
The Rockets to the contrary of the Kings are going much good, they come from to eight W in their last nine and they are without doubt in great confidence, even if in the last period after the injuries of Wells and especially of Yao they are too much dependent from the performance of T-Mac and the back to back could be a problem for the team of the TX , inasmuch as at the moment the rosters is enough limited.
The Rockets have lost 12 of their 14 match at Arco Arena since 2000.
Although the two teams are in an opposite period of shape, I think that the Kings have more need of this W and for sure physically having a rosters much longer and complete, they could face better regarding the Rockets the back to back of this night, and another important aspect is that after this game, the Kings will play eight of their next 11 on the road, where they are 4-9 (W/L) and also for this reason this match is really a lot important for their.
Near 1.80 is the real value of the Kings in this match, but I have much confidence in the team of the California in the match of this night, even if is obvious that We don't have a great vantage of odds regarding the value of the match.

Which is the Cost of this Tip?
Tip Cost: Free Paid for all.

http://maineventstips.blogabet.com/

Regards
MainEventsTipping

[expert]

what are you saying? you paying for my bet?

...cool down mate..you can just post your picks, if they are succesful i think a lot of people will come to your site, without pompose promotion...heck, even me and 3000 other PL member are posting here for free and do not brag about it...

...and yeah....this advice was FREE..anyway welcome to PL

[TazaD]

Actually, giving tips ends up costing me $, given I'd rather sit home and watch the games rather than go to work! LOL!!

First games first...

Philli @ Charlotte under 197.5

League: 3-10 under (Av. total 192.0...av. score 186.4) away 4- dog, no rest off a 10- ats win as home 5+ fav, if opp is off a 10+ ats win. [Phil]
...1-12 under this no. with the one over being an OT game.

The Bobcats shot a rediculous 59% yesterday @ NY, inc. 10-18 from 3 point range. Will be very tough to duplicate that today, so I'm expecting a big drop off, given that they av. just 42% shooting at home as it is!
Philli themselves shot over 49% against one of the worst D's in the league, and will find it a lot tougher away today.


Will also be on Washington @ SA under 207...NJ to win @ 2.60...

...back with some free reasoning soon

[TazaD]

New Jersey ML (2.60)

League: 12-2 SU (Av. WIN 7.5) away 4- dog, with rest off a SU win as a 5+ dog, if opp is off an upset SU win. [NJ]

League: 3-11 SU (Av. LOSS 5.5) home 4- fav, no rest off a 10- ats win as away 4- dog, if opp is off an ats win. [Min]

A combined 23-5 SU spot for NJ...And I've been saying for a month how bad I think Minni are.
Very over-rated team, and anyone relying on Blount to be a majour scorer has some problems.
Scoring 110+ against one of the worst D's in the NBA last night is one thing (Mem allowing over 120ppg in their last 5!), but backing up against a team that does play solid D is another completely.
They av. just 89.7 ppg with no rest as it is, so I really think NJ will win this game quite comfortably.

SA v. Washington under 207

League: 4-15 under (Av. total 193.7...av. score 185.9) away 5+ dog, no rest off a 10+ ats loss as away 5+ fav. [Wash]

NO kept the potent Wizzard scoring in check yesterday, and showed that slowing the game down is the way to play them. SA should be able to have similar or even better results tonight.
I guess the danger is SA scoring big themselves against the poor Wash road D, but only 2 of their home games have gone over this total, and in one of those Milwaukee shot 56%.
Last season the score was 106-99 @ SA, where Wash shot 50% and there were 70 FT's.

Chicago -9

League: 13-26-1 (Av. loss12.7) away 5+ dog, no rest (total 200+), off a SU loss as home fav. [Mem]
4-12 (Av. loss 17.4) if opp is off any ats loss.

League: 14-4 (Av. win 13.3) home 5+ fav, 0 or 1 day resy off a SU loss as a 5+ fav, if total is 210+ [Chic]

I think the Chicago 'trend' is the most telling, given it shows that the high total is due, pretty much entirely to the visiting teams' terrible defense.
As mentioned already, Memphis have allowed over 120 ppg in their last 5...
Chicago on the other hand, do play very solid D at home, and even with a few ?? players today they shold be FAR too good for a pretty bad Griz.
The Bulls won last season's home meeting by 29!

[expert]

Excelent picks in the thread guys....another $ night....
Taza 3-1
Shaq now on W2 streak
the free pick man.... well for you its a bounce back sunday

Keep it up!

[TazaD]

Thanks expert...and yeah, the Memphis under was never in doubt at all, so nice call Shaq.

Some very funny line movement today! Chicago ended up as just 7 point favs with Wallace being out...
...Philli @ CBC went up to 199.5/200 even, and after opening @ 210 and falling to 207 overnight (overnight here anyway ), the SA/Wizz total went back up to 209 before tip-off.

All a bit weird.

Anyway, on to tomorrow....

[TazaD]

.

[ShaqSpear]

thx a lot and good luck in your future predictions guys.