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Old 12-11-2007, 17:39   #1 (permalink)
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Default nba 12/11

Tonight i really like denver -6.5. I like playing denver when they are at home against teams who played the night before. Cleveland are on a 5 game road trip, this being the last game, i bet they are all looking forward to getting back home. Plus i just found this neat little stat about cleveland "7-33 ATS as road dogs after a game in which they shot 50%+ from the field".

So tonight for me its

DENVER -6.5
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Old 12-11-2007, 21:52   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: nba 12/11

One game meets the criteria tonight (refer earlier posts over past 3 days): Kings @ Utah. Points are set at 205.0, yet the previews I use are suggesting a much lower scoring affair, in the order of 180-190. This is interesting, as every Utah game thus far this season has gone 201 or more.

I guess this game will test the approach?
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Old 12-11-2007, 22:19   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: nba 12/11

Sport NBA
Event Cleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets
Selection Cavs
Strength 10/10
Date 13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 4.00 (Back)
Reasoning I think that despite the Cavs having such a hard schef=dule lately they have still usually shown that they can handle this kind of situations quite well. They have already made a good run in this 6 games road trip and this will be the last one of them. I think that while exhaustion is clearly a factor, this 4 odd is way to big. I believe that bby any chance they won't get crushed tonight in Denver and that +8 HA is a joke and I think they might stand a chance in going home with another win and maybe the first in the Carmelo-LeBron duel.
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Old 12-11-2007, 22:45   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: nba 12/11

Quote:
Originally Posted by ShaqSpear View Post
SportNBA
EventCleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets
SelectionCavs
Strength10/10
Date13/11/2007
Bookmaker/PriceBet365 @ 4.00 (Back)
ReasoningI think that despite the Cavs having such a hard schef=dule lately they have still usually shown that they can handle this kind of situations quite well. They have already made a good run in this 6 games road trip and this will be the last one of them. I think that while exhaustion is clearly a factor, this 4 odd is way to big. I believe that bby any chance they won't get crushed tonight in Denver and that +8 HA is a joke and I think they might stand a chance in going home with another win and maybe the first in the Carmelo-LeBron duel.
tbh despite my previous post this is a good bet. I reckon if cleveland goes behind early they get blown out, if not, then they are value at 4s

LET BATTLE COMMENCE
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Old 12-11-2007, 23:36   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: nba 12/11

EventNew Jersey Nets - New Orleans Hornets
SelectionNew Orleans Hornets -1.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength
10/10
Date12/11/2007
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.94 (Back)
ReasoningNew Orleans is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-2 in wins so far this year.
They have started off really good and meet a NJ without Vince Carter so they have a good opportunity tonight.





EventDenver Nuggets - Cleveland Cavaliers
SelectionCleveland Cavaliers +7.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength10/10
Date12/11/2007
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 2.02 (Back)
ReasoningThe Cavs are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 road games overall and they are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.

Denver is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5
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Old 13-11-2007, 14:00   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: nba 12/11

Quote:
Originally Posted by whycantistayawayfromdogs View Post
I reckon if cleveland goes behind early they get blown out
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