nba 12/11

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Tonight i really like denver -6.5. I like playing denver when they are at home against teams who played the night before. Cleveland are on a 5 game road trip, this being the last game, i bet they are all looking forward to getting back home. Plus i just found this neat little stat about cleveland "7-33 ATS as road dogs after a game in which they shot 50%+ from the field".

So tonight for me its

DENVER -6.5

[saintg1]

One game meets the criteria tonight (refer earlier posts over past 3 days): Kings @ Utah. Points are set at 205.0, yet the previews I use are suggesting a much lower scoring affair, in the order of 180-190. This is interesting, as every Utah game thus far this season has gone 201 or more.

I guess this game will test the approach?

[ShaqSpear]

Sport	NBA
Event	Cleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets
Selection	Cavs
Strength	10/10
Date	13/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 4.00 (Back)
Reasoning	I think that despite the Cavs having such a hard schef=dule lately they have still usually shown that they can handle this kind of situations quite well. They have already made a good run in this 6 games road trip and this will be the last one of them. I think that while exhaustion is clearly a factor, this 4 odd is way to big. I believe that bby any chance they won't get crushed tonight in Denver and that +8 HA is a joke and I think they might stand a chance in going home with another win and maybe the first in the Carmelo-LeBron duel.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by ShaqSpear

tbh despite my previous post this is a good bet. I reckon if cleveland goes behind early they get blown out, if not, then they are value at 4s

LET BATTLE COMMENCE

[Donald_Duck]

Event	New Jersey Nets - New Orleans Hornets
Selection	New Orleans Hornets -1.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	12/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-2 in wins so far this year. They have started off really good and meet a NJ without Vince Carter so they have a good opportunity tonight.

Event	Denver Nuggets - Cleveland Cavaliers
Selection	Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	12/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.02 (Back)
Reasoning	The Cavs are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 road games overall and they are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. Denver is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by whycantistayawayfromdogs

I reckon if cleveland goes behind early they get blown out