Nba 11/11

[TazaD]

I'm a sucker... (Actually, despite me feeling like I'm beating my head against the wall, somehow I'm only about 2 units down..)

Atlanta v. Washington over 193

League: 13-3 over (14-2 this no...Av. total 199.8...av. score 208.6) any game where total is 190+, off a 15+ ats loss as home 4- dog, if opp is off a 10+ ats loss. [Wash]
5-0 over (Av. total 199.4...av. score 213.6) if they lost by 20+ ats.

Basically, 2 crap defenses going at it! Washington played 3 solid defensive teams before having a shocker v. Denver last game. But they are allowing 104 ppg, so no reason Atlanta won't score either...in fact I'm pretty sure they'll top 100.

SA -10

League: 19-7 (Av. win 19.9) home 10+ fav, off a 10- ats win as away 4- fav if they shot >50%. [SA]
8-2 (8-1-1 this no...av win 20.8!) if opp last shot <40%.

One team playing super well...one not so good! Esp. on the road, the Bucks are 0-3, given up 102+ each game and lose by over 12ppg.
SA are the opposite, allowing just 85 ppg at home, 3-0 and win by nearly 12 ppg.
One of these favs have to cover sooner or later right?!...

[TazaD]

NO -2.5

League: 15-7 (Av. win 4.2) away 4- fav, off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dog. [NO]
14-3 (Av. win 6.4) if opp is off a SU win.

Philli aren't a very good team this year, as they haven't got much scoring potential. Just 2 wins so far, and they have been against Chicago and Charlotte, 2 of the 3 lowest scoring teams in the NBA.
NO av. over 100 ppg, and that's including an 85 point performance v. the super defensive SA last game. I think they are being under-rated here because of that game.

[saintg1]

Two games today based on the approach adopted a few game days ago (and which has delivered 6 from 7 thus far) - refer earlier posts. Overs on Miami @ NY with the line at 192.0; overs on Detroit @ Seattle with line at 196.5. Cleveland @ LAC, line at 192.0, is 1 pt outside the frame.

GL

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Philadelphia 76ers - New Orleans Hornets
Selection	New Orleans Hornets -3 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	11/11/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.01 (Back)
Reasoning	New Orleans is 18-4 ATS off 2 straight games where they had 19 or less assists and they are 24-7 ATS vs. a team that allowed 100 or more points in their last game. Philadlelphia is 2-6 ATS on Sunday and they are 2-5-1 Ats their last 8 games vs the Southwest Division.

[saintg1]

Originally Posted by saintg1

Two games today based on the approach adopted a few game days ago (and which has delivered 6 from 7 thus far) - refer earlier posts. Overs on Miami @ NY with the line at 192.0; overs on Detroit @ Seattle with line at 196.5. Cleveland @ LAC, line at 192.0, is 1 pt outside the frame.

GL

2 from 3 today (if you include Cleveland @ LAC). That's 8 from 10 now - wondering whether there is something to this?

[Amdtje]

Originally Posted by saintg1

2 from 3 today (if you include Cleveland @ LAC). That's 8 from 10 now - wondering whether there is something to this?

Good job