Nba 10/1

[TazaD]

LAL @ Houston over 193.5

Lakers road games av. an amazing 210.8!and they have been scoring big lately, hitting 99+ in 9 of their last 10. As I mentioned in the Utah @ Houston game, Houston totals are still being under-valued after a very strong defensive start to the season, but there has been some big scoring recently...and even the 186 v. Utah is deceiving as there was virtually no scoring in the last 5 minutes of the game.
Lakers 9-3 over as a dog of 5 or less...5-0 over when total 190-195...9-2 over v. winning teams, and 4-1 over on no rest av. 208.4.

[cageynoboa]

Sport	NBA
Event	New Orleans vs Atlanta
Selection	Over 177
Strength	10/10
Date	10/01/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.99 (Back)
Reasoning	These two teams are desperate for a win and will play hard tonight as both think they have a great shot to end losing streaks. Atlanta has had serious trouble scoring in their last 5 (averaging under 80 pts) but they have faced tough defense (cle, det, ind) so I think their stats are a bit deceiving. New Orleans have been allowing 96 points per game which is decent though I think Atlanta will be able to score even more. The Hawks arent a great defensive team themselves and I figure this will be a close game, going back and forth so I'll take the over. Over is 10-3 in NO last 13 vs. NBA Southeast.

[cageynoboa]

Sport	NBA
Event	Indiana vs Boston
Selection	Indiana -2.5
Strength	10/10
Date	10/01/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.88 (Back)
Reasoning	Boston is terrible at home 4-11 and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 home games. They face a Pacers club with 2 straight home wins who should be able to improve their 9-11 road record tonight. Boston has lost 8 of their last 10, though more recently they have gone 2-2. This was a bad club with Paul Pierce in the lineup and now with him gone, wont be able to muster much offense on a tough Pacers suad who have allowed an average of 94 points a night in their last 5 (95.4 for the year)

[TazaD]

Denver v. SA over 199.5

Strong league trends for an over, with an ats win as a big home fav, now is a road fav with no rest (SA).
Denver get back Smith tonight from suspension which should help their scoring, and no coincidence they hit 100+ last game with Nene back in the line-up either.
SA don't defend well on no rest, shold see some scoring here.

[TazaD]

.