MLB: May 7th picks

[blackcrow]

LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 9.5
Penny only lasted five innings and allowed three runs Friday against the Rockies, but benefited from the Dodgers' seven-run sixth inning in an 11-6 victory. He has struggled overall against New York, going 5-11 with a 5.66 ERA.

Los Angeles' surging offense has averaged 7.5 runs in their last 11 games.
Maine has lost all three of his career starts against Los Angeles, allowing
22 hits and 14 runs in 16 innings.

Over is 10-4-1 in Dodgers last 15 overall.
Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 home games.
Over is 8-2-1 in Dodgers last 11 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-1 in Dodgers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 5-0 in Pennys last 5 starts overall.
Over is 35-16 in Pennys last 51 home starts.
Over is 6-1 in Pennys last 7 starts as a favorite.
Over is 26-10 in Pennys last 36 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Pennys last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.

May Record: 9-13

[iluvsportsbetting]

Originally Posted by blackcrow

LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 9.5
Penny only lasted five innings and allowed three runs Friday against the Rockies, but benefited from the Dodgers' seven-run sixth inning in an 11-6 victory. He has struggled overall against New York, going 5-11 with a 5.66 ERA.

Los Angeles' surging offense has averaged 7.5 runs in their last 11 games.
Maine has lost all three of his career starts against Los Angeles, allowing
22 hits and 14 runs in 16 innings.

Over is 10-4-1 in Dodgers last 15 overall.
Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 home games.
Over is 8-2-1 in Dodgers last 11 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-1 in Dodgers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 5-0 in Pennys last 5 starts overall.
Over is 35-16 in Pennys last 51 home starts.
Over is 6-1 in Pennys last 7 starts as a favorite.
Over is 26-10 in Pennys last 36 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Pennys last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.

May Record: 9-13

looks like a great pick mate, i'm on with an over line of 8.5, ladbrokes were offering 2.05 on the over, obviously been snapped up quickly and have moved the price into 1.90.

[blackcrow]

LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 9.5

May Record: 10-13

[iluvsportsbetting]

Originally Posted by iluvsportsbetting

looks like a great pick mate, i'm on with an over line of 8.5, ladbrokes were offering 2.05 on the over, obviously been snapped up quickly and have moved the price into 1.90.

[Sawyer]

LAA @ KC
UNDER 8.5 RUNS!

I'm not a big fan of J. Weaver but I must admit that he's an ok pitcher. On the other side, Greinke is one of my favourite pitchers but the problem is Angels are very hot on the road at the moment and Royals are having a very hard time to score against visitors!

Angels and Royals will meet in the last game of their series while game's total is sitting at 8! Check out the market and you'll find 8,5 line as well..
Royals are on a 2-game losing streak against Angels at home! In fact, in a situation like this it's always a good thing to bet on home team. We call it "Home Chase" but as I mentioned above La Angels are very hot on the road so I like to skip side bet for this one. What about o/u?

Los Angeles Angels will try to extend their winning streak to 5 when they meet Royals at Kauffman Stadium in the last game of their series..
Righthander Jered Weaver will take the mound for the Angels to start this game. Weaver is 2-4 this season with a 4.36 ERA.
On the other side, Royals will give the ball to Zach Greinke in this contest. Righthander Greinke is 3-1 with a 1.47 ERA so far this season.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Kansas City!
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games!
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Angels!
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Kansas City's last 20 games at home!
I'm expecting a low-scoring game tonight. Royals are close to victory imo but Under 8,5 Runs is much better.

SF @ PIT
Over 9,5 Runs

Zito is completely a joke this season! He made an awful start with 6,31 NPERA! I think he must carry on his carrer as bullpen..

San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet in second game of their series at PNC Park while game's total is sitting at 9,5!

Barry Zito will be the starting pitcher for the Giants tonight. Lefthander Zito is 0-6 this season with a 7.53 ERA. Ouch!

Pittsburg Pirates will give the ball to Phil Dumatrait. The Pirates lefthander has a 9.00 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season.

Trends

Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League West.
Over is 16-5 in Pirates last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games following a win.
Over is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 38-13-1 in Pirates last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 17-6 in Pirates last 23 games as a favorite.
Over is 24-9-4 in Pirates last 37 Wednesday games.
Over is 13-5 in Pirates last 18 games as a home favorite.
Over is 41-16-1 in Pirates last 58 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 20-8 in Pirates last 28 overall.
Over is 20-8 in Pirates last 28 on grass.
Over is 11-5 in Pirates last 16 home games.
Over is 37-17-1 in Pirates last 55 during game 2 of a series.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh!

Umpire Trends

Over is 4-0 in Drakes last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate.
Over is 5-2 in Drakes last 7 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.

I'm expecting a high scoring game tonight! Just pick Over 9,5 and enjoy the game!

TAM @ TOR
TOR ML

Home Chase, anyone?

Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays will meet on the second game of their series at Rogers Centre and baseball fans will enjoy the battle of rivals!
The Rays will give the ball to starter Matt Garza in this one. Righthander Garza is 1-0 this season with a 6.16 ERA.
On the other side, starting this game for the Blue Jays will be Shaun Marcum! The righthander has a 2.70 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season. According to Jeff Sagarin's Pitcher Rankings, Marcum is listed 5th with 2.51 NPERA!

Revenge!

Toronto Blue Jays lost yesterday but tonight they have a great chance to win! First of all, Blue Jays were swept in previous meeting at Tampa Bay. Marcum is a great pitcher and Toronto has bullpen advantage as well!

These Trends are ok but..

Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games on field turf.

This trend is a little bit misleading:

Rays are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings!

Hımm, I think it's time to go against the trends! These statistics should change somehow, I can't really see Tampa Bay 6-0 against Toronto!
Odds for -1.5 handicap are cool but Toronto is not a score-like-crazy (or maybe run like crazy?) team so I like to Moneyline here..
I'm expecting Toronto to win tonight..

SDG @ ATL
UNDER 8,5 RUNS!

Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres will meet at Turner Field tongiht while game's total is sitting at 8.5!

The Padres will give the ball to Randy Wolf! Wolf has a 2-1 record and a 3.57 ERA this season. Righthander is listed 14th in Jeff Sagarin's Pitcher Rankings with 2.82 NPERA!

On the other side, Braves will counter Wolf with Tim Hudson! The Braves righthander has a 2.95 ERA to go along with a 4-2 record this season. He is listed 7th in Jeff Sagarin's Rankings with 2,26 NPERA!

What about Trends?

Under is 4-0 in Wolfs last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Wolfs last 6 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Wolfs last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 on grass.
Under is 16-5 in Braves last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

More Trends..

Under is 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Hudsons last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 22-7-2 in Braves last 31 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Hudsons last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Zzzzzzz..

Under is 19-7-1 in Braves last 27 games following a win.
Under is 8-3-1 in Braves last 12 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Hudsons last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 8-3 in Hudsons last 11 starts overall.
Under is 8-3 in Hudsons last 11 starts on grass.
Under is 9-0-1 in the last 10 meetings in Atlanta.

More Trends?!

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta!
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games on the road!

Hey I know these trends & statistics are boring but don't forget that these are key to winning in baseball! Just pick Under 8,5 and enjoy the game!!

[Sawyer]

I noticed that there's two 7 MAY MLB Thread so I copy+paste my picks to here too..

NY YANKEES VS CLEVELAND INDIANS

Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees will meet at Yankee Stadium once again in the last game of their series while game's total is sitting at 7,5!

The Indians will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Cliff Lee in this game. Lee has a 5-0 record and a 0.96 ERA this season.

Starting this game for the Yankees will be ace Chien-Ming Wang. The righthander has a 3.00 ERA to go along with a 6-0 record this season.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games!
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road!
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Cleveland!
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games!

Lee is listed 1th in JS Pitcher Rankings while Wang is listed 6th! I'm expecting a Pitchers Duel here and a probably a low scoring game..

OAKLAND VS BALTIMORE

Aces High: Under 8 Runs!

Baltimore Orioles and Oakland Athletics will meet again at McAfee Coliseum in the third game of their series. It's interesting that only 9 runs scored in 2 two games between A's and Orioles but bookmakers are still offering 8 line?!

Aces High!

Ace righthander Jeremy Guthrie will have the ball for Orioles today. Guthrie is 1-3 this season with a 4.06 ERA.

On the other side, Athletics will have Ace Joe Blanton as starting pitcher. Blantonhas a 3.88 ERA to go along with a 2-5 record this season.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Oakland!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland!
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore!
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore!
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games!
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home!

Just Pick Under 8 and let's make some money!

[Sawyer]

Originally Posted by blackcrow

LA Dodgers - NY Mets over 9.5

Great call on Over crow, Congratulations

[blackcrow]

Detroit - Boston under 8.5
Galarraga is the only Tigers starter with an ERA under 4.00. He took his first career loss in his last start, allowing four runs in six innings at Minnesota Friday. But he's still allowed just five earned runs and 13 hits in 24 innings. Detroit has scored just 11 total runs in its last five games, and was shut out for the fifth time this season Tuesday.

Buchholz only lasted 5 1-3 innings Friday against the Rays, but he earned the win, allowing just one run on five hits and four walks. He's given up just three runs and struck out 21 in 19 1-3 innings in his last three starts. Boston have allowed three or fewer runs in nine of their last 10 games, with the lone exception coming in a 12-4 win over Tampa Bay on Saturday

Under is 7-3-1 in Red Sox last 11 overall.
Under is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
Under is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 56-27-6 in Red Sox last 89 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 18-8 in Red Sox last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings

NYY - Cleveland under 7.5
Yankees are 7-0 in Wang starts this season (3-0, 0.79 ERA in his last three games).
Lee is 5-0, with a 1.19 ERA in five starts this season.

Under is 23-9-1 in Yankees last 33 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games.
Under is 19-7-2 in Yankees last 28 games as a favorite.
Under is 9-3-1 in Yankees last 13 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 5-2 in Wangs last 7 starts overall.

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 10-2-2 in Indians last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Under is 4-1 in Lees last 5 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Lees last 8 road starts.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wangs last 6 starts vs. Indians.

Toronto - Tampa Bay under 8.5
Marcum is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA in his last two starts. He gave up two hits while striking out nine in 6 2-3 innings as Toronto beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0 on Friday night. Marcum has not allowed a run in one start and one relief appearance spanning 8 1-3 innings against the Rays, defeating them in a start last May 13.

Garza won for the first time in four starts Thursday, giving up two runs and three hits in six innings as Tampa Bay beat Baltimore 4-2.

Under is 19-7 in Blue Jays last 26 overall.
Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 home games.
Under is 39-18-3 in Blue Jays last 60 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 4-1 in Marcums last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Marcums last 5 starts as a favorite.

Under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.
Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Houston -2.5
Oswalt is 3-0 with a 3.46 ERA in his last four outings. He's 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in eight career games against the Washington franchise.
Perez is 0-4 with a 12.91 ERA in six career games against the Astros.

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Astros are 51-24 in their last 75 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Astros are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Astros are 45-15 in Oswalts last 60 home starts.
Astros are 45-15 in Oswalts last 60 starts as a home favorite.
Astros are 47-15 in Oswalts last 62 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Nationals are 2-11 in their last 13 road games.
Nationals are 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
Nationals are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.

[blackcrow]

Thanks Sawyer

Like your NYY under and leaning on your Pittsburgh over but haven't pulled the trigger yet

[blackcrow]

Detroit - Boston under 8.5
NYY - Cleveland under 7.5
Toronto - Tampa Bay under 8.5
Houston -2.5

May Record: 12-15