MLB: June 30th picks

[blackcrow]

Baltimore - Kansas over 9.5
Burres has 8.69 ERA in his last four starts, but Orioles won his last three outings, scoring 22 runs. He has won his last two starts, but has a 10.22 ERA in his last six outings, allowing at least three runs in each of the five starts.

Over is 15-6 in Orioles last 21 overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Orioles last 8 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as an underdog.

Over is 5-0 in Burres' last 5 starts overall.
Over is 5-0 in Burres' last 5 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Burres' last 4 starts as an underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Burres' last 7 starts a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Burres' last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 12-3 in Royals last 15 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over is 5-2-1 in Greinkes last 8 starts overall.
Over is 7-3 in Greinkes last 10 starts as a favorite.

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore

NY Yankees -2.5
Mussina is 6-0 with a 2.72 ERA in his last nine starts against the Rangers. He had won nine straight decisions before a 4-2 loss to Cincinnati on June 20. Texas also has struggled against the Yankees, losing five of six meetings in 2007, and 20 of 26 in the series since the start of the 2005 season.

Feldman is 0-7 with a 6.72 ERA in 43 career road appearances, including five starts. He is 0-2 with a 4.88 ERA in eight overall starts since beating Oakland on May 9.

Yankees are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 games as a favorite.
Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 home games.
Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 games as a home favorite.
Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Yankees are 9-3 in Mussina's last 12 starts.

Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

Rangers are 2-6 in Feldmans last 8 starts.
Rangers are 1-4 in Feldmans last 5 road starts.
Rangers are 1-4 in Feldmans last 5 starts as an underdog.
Rangers are 1-4 in Feldmans last 5 starts as a road underdog.

Yankees are 5-1 in Mussinas last 6 starts vs. Rangers.
Yankees are 4-1 in Mussinas last 5 home starts vs. Rangers.
Rangers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in New York.

St Louis - NY Mets under 7.5
Lohse has won six of his last seven starts and is 6-0 with a 2.87 ERA since May 18. Lohse is 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA at Busch Stadium this season.

Maine has delivered quality outings his last two times out as well, allowing two runs over 6 2-3 innings in a win at Colorado on June 20, then yielding a pair of runs over six innings in an 8-2 victory over Seattle on Wednesday.

Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 4-1-2 in Lohses last 7 starts overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Lohses last 9 home starts.

Under is 4-1 in Maines last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis.
Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings.

Cincinnati - Pittsburgh over 9.5
Harang has gone 1-4 with a 7.36 ERA in his last six starts. That stretch began with a 7-2 home loss to Pittsburgh on May 29, when Harang lasted four innings while giving up six runs and 10 hits.

Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Over is 5-1 in Harangs last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Harangs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Over is 11-4 in Pirates last 15 overall.
Over is 38-13-3 in Pirates last 54 road games.
Over is 8-3 in Pirates last 11 games as an underdog.
Over is 47-21-3 in Pirates last 71 games as a road underdog.
Over is 9-4 in Pirates last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 36-15-3 in Pirates last 54 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 15-7-2 in Pirates last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 45-18-4 in Pirates last 67 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Maholms last 8 road starts.
Over is 7-3-1 in Maholms last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game

Over is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.
Over is 4-1-1 in Harangs last 6 home starts vs. Pirates.
Over is 4-1 in Maholms last 5 road starts vs. Reds.

CWS -2.5
Floyd gave up five runs in 5 1-3 innings of Wednesday's 5-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers. He had gone 4-0 with a 3.66 ERA in his previous five starts.

Sowers takes the mound for the Indians, looking for his first win in his seventh start this season. He lasted a season-high seven innings on Wednesday but dropped his second straight start, allowing three runs in a 4-1 loss to San Francisco.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
White Sox are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a favorite.
White Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 home games.
White Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

White Sox are 5-1 in Floyds last 6 starts.
White Sox are 4-0 in Floyds last 4 starts as a favorite.
White Sox are 4-0 in Floyds last 4 home starts.
White Sox are 4-0 in Floyds last 4 starts as a home favorite.
White Sox are 4-1 in Floyds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game

Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Indians are 7-17 in their last 24 road games.
Indians are 8-20 in their last 28 games as an underdog.
Indians are 3-12 in their last 15 games as a road underdog.
Indians are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Indians are 1-4 in Sowers' last 5 starts.
Indians are 0-4 in Sowers' last 4 road starts.
Indians are 1-8 in Sowers' last 9 starts as an underdog.
Indians are 0-7 in Sowers' last 7 starts as a road underdog.
Indians are 1-5 in Sowers' last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Indians are 1-4 in Sowers' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Indians are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.
Indians are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.

Arizona - Milwaukee under 8.5
Davis has a 1.80 ERA in his last three starts.

Bush has put together two of his best starts of the year in notching back-to-back victories for the first time since July 6 and 16. After limiting Toronto to one run and two hits in eight innings of an 8-7 win June 19, he gave up one run and four hits in seven innings of a 4-3 win over Atlanta on Tuesday - his first road victory of the year.

Under is 6-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 overall.
Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 10-4-2 in Diamondbacks last 16 games as a favorite.

Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 12-3-1 in Brewers last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 5-2-1 in Bushs last 8 road starts.
Under is 4-1 in Bushs last 5 starts as a road underdog.

[blackcrow]

Baltimore - Kansas over 9.5
NY Yankees -2.5
St Louis - NY Mets under 7.5 Missed by half a run
Cincinnati - Pittsburgh over 9.5
CWS -2.5 Closer allows 3 runs
Arizona - Milwaukee under 8.5 Missed by half a run

[Kozzin Benson]

Originally Posted by blackcrow

Baltimore - Kansas over 9.5
NY Yankees -2.5
St Louis - NY Mets under 7.5 Missed by half a run
Cincinnati - Pittsburgh over 9.5
CWS -2.5 Closer allows 3 runs
Arizona - Milwaukee under 8.5 Missed by half a run

Unlucky again blackcrow!
I went with NY Yankees
Baltimore
Cincinnati

Better luck for tonites picks!