MLB: June 19th picks

[blackcrow]

St Louis - Kansas over 9.5
Thompson has pitched out of the bullpen in his last four appearances for the Cardinals, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA in 16 lifetime interleague games, including three starts. He is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA while starting two of six outings versus the Royals.

Greinke is 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA in his last five starts - all Royals losses. He is 1-2 with a 7.04 ERA in four career games versus the Cardinals.

Over is 13-5-2 in Cardinals last 20 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Thompsons last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Thompsons last 8 home starts

Over is 24-10-1 in Royals last 35 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 interleague starts.

Chicago White Sox -2.5
The White Sox have won each of Floyd's last four starts. He came away without a decision on Friday after allowing four runs and four hits over 6 1-3 innings of a 5-4 home win over Colorado. He is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA in two career interleague starts, and won his only appearance versus the Pirates on April 30, 2006, while with Philadelphia

Dumatrait has 5.74 ERA in his five road starts. He did not receive a decision Friday at Baltimore in his first interleague appearance. He allowed five runs, five hits and five walks in five innings of a 9-6 loss.

White Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
White Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 games as a favorite.
White Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
White Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games.
White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games.
White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 4-0 in Floyds last 4 starts.
White Sox are 7-1 in Floyds last 8 home starts.
White Sox are 4-1 in Floyds last 5 starts as a favorite.
White Sox are 4-1 in Floyds last 5 starts as a home favorite.
White Sox are 4-1 in Floyds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Pirates are 16-38 in their last 54 road games.
Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Pirates are 26-55 in their last 81 games as a road underdog.
Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 10-21 in their last 31 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 16-44 in their last 60 interleague games.
Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 interleague games as an underdog.
Pirates are 12-44 in their last 56 interleague road games.
Pirates are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 6-23 in their last 29 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter

Milwaukee - Toronto over 9.5
Bush is 0-2, with a 8.10 ERA in his last two starts as the Brewers are 4-1 in his last five home starts. On Friday, Bush allowed four runs and a season-high 10 hits in six innings of a 10-2 loss to Minnesota to drop his second straight start. He has yielded nine runs in 10 innings in his last two starts after giving up only three runs in 14 innings over his previous two outings.

Burnett is 1-2, with a 5.86 ERA in his last four starts. He was tagged for a season-high eight runs and 10 hits in 4 1-3 innings of a 9-5 loss to Baltimore on June 7. This will be Burnett's first start against the Brewers since giving up six runs in six innings of a 6-4 loss for Florida on Aug. 24, 2005. He is 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA in four career starts versus Milwaukee.

Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 interleague games.
Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Bushs last 7 starts overall.
Over is 5-1 in Bushs last 6 home starts.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bushs last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-2-1 in Bushs last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 8-3-1 in Blue Jays last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 interleague games.

Minnesota - Washington over 9.5
Hill is 1-3, with a 6.49 ERA in his last five starts. He won for the first time in 2008 on Friday despite giving up five runs and a season-high 12 hits in five innings of a 7-6 victory at Seattle. Hill is 2-3 with a 6.82 ERA in six lifetime interleague starts, but has never faced the Twins.

Perkins is 0-1, with a 7.45 ERA in his last four starts. He allowed three runs and eight hits over six innings Saturday in Minnesota's 9-4 win at Milwaukee.

Over is 9-3 in Twins last 12 overall.
Over is 12-5-1 in Twins last 18 home games.
Over is 8-2 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter
Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 7-3 in Twins last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-3 in Twins last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Perkins' last 4 starts overall.

Over is 5-1-1 in Hills last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

[blackcrow]

St Louis - Kansas over 9.5
Chicago White Sox -2.5
Milwaukee - Toronto over 9.5
Minnesota - Washington over 9.5

[blackcrow]

Tampa Bay -1.5
Tampa Bay have won nine straight home series, winning 24 of 28 in that span as they look to become the first team to sweep the Cubs when these teams wrap up their three-game set Thursday night at Tropicana Field.
Shields has been very good at home, going 3-1 with a 1.72 ERA in seven starts with two complete games.

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Rays are 37-17 in their last 54 home games.
Rays are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a favorite.
Rays are 21-6 in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
Rays are 21-6 in their last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 15-6 in their last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games.
Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Rays are 10-1 in Shields' last 11 home starts.
Rays are 11-2 in Shields' last 13 starts as a favorite.
Rays are 8-1 in Shields' last 9 starts as a home favorite.
Rays are 4-1 in Shields' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 7-3 in Shields' last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Baltimore - Houston over 10.5
Burres is 1-1 with a 12.00 ERA in his last four starts. He gave up six runs and eight hits in six innings against Pittsburgh on Friday, but earned a win as the Orioles scored eight unanswered runs in a 9-6 victory. He continued his struggles at home, where he is 3-2 with a 7.31 ERA in six starts. Burres is 2-0 with a 5.63 ERA in four interleague starts.

Chacon is 5-7 with a 7.07 ERA in 13 starts and 14 relief appearances in interleague play, and is 2-1 with a 4.02 ERA in two starts and two relief appearances versus the Orioles.

Over is 8-3 in Orioles last 11 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 12-4-1 in Orioles last 17 interleague games.
Over is 7-2-1 in Orioles last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 4-0 in Burres' last 4 starts overall.
Over is 4-0 in Burres' last 4 home starts.
Over is 4-0 in Burres' last 4 interleague starts.

Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall
Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 14-6 in Astros last 20 interleague games.
Over is 9-4 in Astros last 13 interleague games as an underdog.

Over is 7-2 in Chacons last 9 starts overall.
Over is 5-0 in Chacons last 5 road starts.
Over is 6-2 in Chacons last 8 starts as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Chacons last 5 starts as a road underdog.

Colorado - Cleveland over 10.5
De La Rosa has struggled against the Indians in the past, going 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA in six starts. He is 0-3 with a 6.95 ERA in 10 career interleague outings, including five starts.

Sowers has allowed nine runs in 8 1-3 innings in his last two starts, including four in 4 1-3 innings of the Indians' 9-5 win over San Diego on Friday. Sowers is 0-2 with an 8.51 ERA in five career interleague starts

Over is 6-1 in Indians last 7 overall.
Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 interleague games.

[davidmphill]

Unlucky in the Rox game mate, I was there and De La Rosa although not convincing pitched a decent game getting 10 strikeouts I recall. Thats two good outings now for him following a no result in the win over the White Sox.

9 runs in the game but once again the Rox got umpteen men on base but failed to bring them home, story of the season so far.

[blackcrow]

Originally Posted by davidmphill

Unlucky in the Rox game mate, I was there and De La Rosa although not convincing pitched a decent game getting 10 strikeouts I recall. Thats two good outings now for him following a no result in the win over the White Sox.

9 runs in the game but once again the Rox got umpteen men on base but failed to bring them home, story of the season so far.

Thanks for the support



Tampa Bay -1.5
Baltimore - Houston over 10.5
Colorado - Cleveland over 10.5

[psandhar]

Nice

[blackcrow]

Originally Posted by psandhar

Your baseball picks are awesome, what is it you look for primarily when deciding which bets are good value? Obviously there is a very unpredictable element to the sport but you seem to have it nailed! I'm very new to baseball and get a lot of results where I back a team -1.5 on the handicap, only for them to win by 1 run! Any help would be much appreciated!

Welcome aboard psandhar

Look at the pitching matchups, especially recent form and if they have the edge over particular teams.

Also, look to see if the batters are hitting or missing.

Look at their upcoming schedules.