MLB: July 13th picks

[blackcrow]

Like the degenerate that i am, i'll give it one more day before the All Star break. Surely, i'm due for a reversal in fortune. Go hard or go home.

NYY -2.5
Pettitte is 5-1 with a 1.82 ERA in his last six starts. Pettitte pitched eight innings against Tampa Bay on Tuesday, allowing four hits and striking out five in a 5-0 victory. He's 16-9 with a 4.13 ERA in 32 starts against the Blue Jays, including 11-4 with a 4.11 ERA at Toronto.

Burnett allowed seven runs, seven hits and three walks in 5 1-3 innings against the Orioles on Wednesday but managed to get the win in a 9-8 victory. He gave up eight runs in seven innings of an 8-2 loss to Toronto on July 4, and has a 6.91 ERA in his last seven outings. He is 6-3 at home this season, but has a 6.36 ERA there

Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Yankees are 6-1 in Pettittes last 7 starts.
Yankees are 12-4 in Pettittes last 16 road starts.
Yankees are 47-21 in Pettittes last 68 starts as a favorite.
Yankees are 11-3 in Pettittes last 14 starts as a road favorite.

Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Blue Jays are 0-4 in Burnetts last 4 starts as an underdog.

Boston -2.5
Matsuzaka is coming off one of his strongest outings of the season. He threw 7 1-3 innings in Monday's 1-0 win over Minnesota.
The Red Sox have scored at least six runs in six of their last 10.

Cabrera is 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA in seven starts since the beginning of June. He gave up four runs in 6 1-3 innings but did not get a decision in the Orioles' 7-6 loss in Toronto on Tuesday. He has struggled against the Red Sox, going 2-9 with a 7.11 ERA in 14 career starts. However, Cabrera is 1-0 with a 5.21 ERA in three starts against Boston this season.

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Red Sox are 42-12 in their last 54 home games.
Red Sox are 53-22 in their last 75 games as a favorite.
Red Sox are 46-12 in their last 58 games as a home favorite.
Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 42-14 in their last 56 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 41-19 in their last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Red Sox are 17-4 in Matsuzakas last 21 starts.
Red Sox are 18-5 in Matsuzakas last 23 home starts.
Red Sox are 19-7 in Matsuzakas last 26 starts as a favorite.
Red Sox are 18-4 in Matsuzakas last 22 starts as a home favorite.

Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Orioles are 1-4 in Cabreras last 5 starts.
Orioles are 1-5 in Cabreras last 6 road starts.
Orioles are 17-35 in Cabreras last 52 starts as an underdog.
Orioles are 1-4 in Cabreras last 5 starts as a road underdog.

Orioles are 14-38 in the last 52 meetings.
Orioles are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Boston.
Orioles are 2-8 in Cabreras last 10 starts vs. Red Sox

Milwaukee -2.5
Sabathia is 3-0 with a 2.26 ERA in eight starts versus the Reds. Sabathia allowed four hits and struck out 11 in eight innings of Cleveland's 6-0 win over Cincinnati on June 27 and will try to help the Brewers avoid a third consecutive loss Sunday.

Bailey struggled in three June starts for the Reds, giving up six homers in 12 1-3 innings during that span.

Brewers are 17-7 in their last 24 home games.
Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a favorite
Brewers are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
Brewers are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Reds are 17-35 in their last 52 games as a road underdog.

Reds are 1-4 in Baileys last 5 starts.

LA Dodgers -2.5
Billingsley has dominated Florida as he is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 26 innings over five games against the Marlins. He beat them again April 30, yielding one run and three hits with eight strikeouts in seven innings of a 13-1 victory. Billingsley was pitching another gem Tuesday, allowing no hits through four innings, but was pounded for six runs and six hits in the next 1 1-3 before being pulled in a 9-3 loss to Atlanta. He had eight strikeouts and four walks in the game after posting a 1.37 ERA in winning each of his previous four starts.

Miller is seeking his second win in 10 starts. He is 1-5 with a 4.84 ERA in his last nine outings. Over his last four starts, he is 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA. On Tuesday, he gave up four runs and six hits with five strikeouts in five innings of a 10-1 loss at San Diego. Miller didn't fare well in his only career start against the Dodgers on April 29, allowing six runs and nine hits in three innings. He didn't get a decision in the 7-6 loss.

Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsleys last 5 starts.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsleys last 5 starts as a favorite

Marlins are 0-4 in Millers last 4 starts.
Marlins are 1-5 in Millers last 6 road starts.
Marlins are 0-4 in Millers last 4 starts as an underdog.
Marlins are 1-5 in Millers last 6 starts as a road underdog.

Oakland -2.5
Duchscherer is coming off the best outing during his first full season as a starter after allowing two hits in a 2-0 win over Seattle on Tuesday for his first career complete game. Duchscherer is 7-2 with a 1.34 ERA since starting 3-3. He is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA against Los Angeles as a starter and allowed six runs with six strikeouts in five innings of a 15-8 road win over the Angels on May 1.

Saunders is 1-2 with a 7.30 ERA as a starter overall this season and 1-0 with a 6.46 ERA in three career starts versus Oakland. He gave up five runs in two innings of relief in the May 1 loss to Duchscherer and the A's.

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a home favorite.
Athletics are 94-41 in their last 135 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Athletics are 6-1 in Duchscherers last 7 starts.
Athletics are 7-1 in Duchscherers last 8 home starts.
Athletics are 4-1 in Duchscherers last 5 starts as a favorite.
Athletics are 6-1 in Duchscherers last 7 starts as a home favorite.

NY Mets -2.5
Pelfrey is riding a career-high five game winning streak with a 3.23 ERA in that span. He was outstanding on Tuesday, yielding three hits with five strikeouts in seven innings while outpitching All-Star Tim Lincecum in a 7-0 win over San Francisco. Pelfrey, who hasn't lost since May 26 against Florida, has allowed one run and nine hits in 14 innings over his last two starts. One of the victories during Pelfrey's streak came at Colorado on June 22, when he allowed three hits with five strikeouts and five walks in 5 2-3 innings of a 3-1 win

Redman will again try for his first win since April 16. He is 0-1 while allowing six runs and 12 hits in 11 innings in two starts since returning to the major leagues. He had been 0-2 with an 11.15 ERA in his previous four games which led to his demotion to Triple-A Colorado Springs on May 11. Redman lasted five innings Tuesday, yielding four runs and six hits in a 7-3 loss at Milwaukee.

Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Mets are 6-0 in Pelfreys last 6 starts.

Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Rockies are 14-37 in their last 51 road games.
Rockies are 16-37 in their last 53 games as an underdog.
Rockies are 6-23 in their last 29 games as a road underdog.
Rockies are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rockies are 6-23 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 1-4 in Redmans last 5 starts.

Rockies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Rockies are 5-21 in the last 26 meetings in New York.

[Left4Dead]

BOL today blackcrow , boy you love that -2½...

[BenSprocket]

11 hours of live baseball, pizza in the fridge and a bottle of scotch on the shelf. Oh brother!!!

3 bets for fun only and no reasoning as I am not as skilled as you lot.

6.00pm: DET -1.5
9.00pm: LAD -1.5
1.00am: NYM -1.5

Have fun and good luck all.

[psandhar]

I think you should take a shorter price and accept the -1.5 handicap blackcrow!

[jackierubberleg]

Crow knows best. He is the man!

[blackcrow]

NYY -2.5
Boston -2.5
Milwaukee -2.5
LA Dodgers -2.5
Oakland -2.5 Nil bet because Saunders didn't pitch
NY Mets -2.5