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Old 10-05-2008, 12:00   #1 (permalink)
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Default MLB 10 May

LET'S GO SANTANA!



Isn't it interesting that Santana is winless at home? A great pitcher but still without the taste of victory at home. New York Mets will host Cincinnatti Reds at Shea Stadium today and I feel like Santana will enjoy a home victory here..

Matt Belisle will be the starting pitcher for the Reds on this day. Righthander Belisle is 1-2 this season with a 6.91 ERA.
On the other side, Mets will have Ace Johan Santana as starting pitcher! The lefthander has a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season.
Mets are 17-15 while Reds are just 14-21.

Trends

Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


Odds for Mets Moneyline are nothing but a chalk so I recommend Mets -1.5 Runline here..


NEW YORK METS -1.5 RL
-100
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Old 10-05-2008, 12:52   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

NYM -2.5
Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a favorite.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Mets are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts.
Mets are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts as a favorite.

Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Reds are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
Reds are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 8-19 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Reds are 5-2 in Belisles last 7 road starts.
Reds are 7-15 in Belisles last 22 starts.
Reds are 3-12 in Belisles last 15 starts as an underdog.
Reds are 1-6 in Belisles last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 1-7 in Belisles last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

May Record: 15-18
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Old 10-05-2008, 13:15   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

is it advisable to go for
boston and florida today?
florida is in a 5 win streak and possibly is very motivated to get their 6th.
while matsuzaka is pitching and he is 5-0 this season.
what do u guys think?
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Old 10-05-2008, 15:34   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

Tip Detail

SportMLB
EventDetroit Tigers vs New York Yankees
SelectionDetroit Tigers
Strength10/10
Date10/05/2008
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.78 (Back)
ReasoningWell, Yankees have lost last 6 matches to Detroit and they are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Detroit. And Tigers is a big favorit for me. Starters:
Detroit counters with Jeremy Bonderman (2-3, 4.17) who maybe hasn't played very good this season, but he is still the main pitcher of Tiger's rotation and his motivation against Yankees has always been very high.
The Yankees are hoping for better results on Saturday when Darrell Rasner (1-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his second start of the season. And it will be first away start for the right-hander
who was called up from Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and started in place of the injured Phil Hughes on Sunday. I think, first game away from home, against Tigers, won't be good for Rasner. Play Tigers and good luck!
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Old 10-05-2008, 19:44   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

I can't see Minnesota batters scoring 4 runs against Red Sox with Matsuzaka. So Boston Red Sox sounds good here. LA Angels ML is a good bet too when we consider LAA Pitcher Saunders and Tampa Bay's poor offence..
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Old 10-05-2008, 21:06   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

NYM -2.5

May Record: 16-18

Nice way to start the day sawyer
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Old 10-05-2008, 21:36   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

LAA -1.5
Angels are 7-0 in Saunders starts this season.
Kazmir struggled in his season debut Sunday at Boston, allowing four runs in four innings of a 7-3 loss.

Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Angels are 26-10 in their last 36 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 21-7 in Saunders' last 28 starts.
Angels are 10-3 in Saunders' last 13 road starts.
Angels are 6-1 in Saunders' last 7 starts as an underdog.
Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 4-1 in Saunders' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 11-1 in Saunders' last 12 starts with 5 days of rest.
Angels are 16-5 in Saunders' last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 8-3 in Saunders' last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Rays are 1-4 in Kazmirs last 5 home starts
Rays are 2-5 in Kazmirs last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 3-8 in Kazmirs last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Angels are 46-17 in the last 63 meetings.

Boston -2.5
Matsuzaka has limited opponents to a .158 batting average, and the Red Sox are 7-0 when he takes the mound.
The Twins have alternated losses with wins over their past five games, while the Red Sox have done so over their past four.

Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Red Sox are 45-19 in their last 64 games as a favorite.
Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Red Sox are 35-17 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Red Sox are 13-3 in Matsuzakas last 16 starts.
Red Sox are 13-3 in Matsuzakas last 16 starts as a favorite.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Matsuzakas last 4 road starts.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Matsuzakas last 4 starts as a road favorite.

May Record: 16-18
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Old 10-05-2008, 21:38   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
I can't see Minnesota batters scoring 4 runs against Red Sox with Matsuzaka. So Boston Red Sox sounds good here. LA Angels ML is a good bet too when we consider LAA Pitcher Saunders and Tampa Bay's poor offence..
I like your thinking

Last edited by blackcrow; 10-05-2008 at 21:44.
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Old 10-05-2008, 21:47   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May




Result:

Last edited by Bet-Master; 10-05-2008 at 21:48.
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Old 10-05-2008, 22:19   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

Cleveland - Toronto
Selection Under 7.5 Runs
Strength 10/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 1.95 (Back)


Under is 20-7 in TOR last 27 overall.
Under is 9-0 in CLE last 9 vs. American League East.
Under is 10-1 in CLE last 11 games following a win.
Under is 12-2 in CLE last 14 overall.

Sawyer's Run Average Differencial Total: 5.1

I'm expecting a low scoring game tonight!


Pittsburgh - Atlanta
Selection Over 9 Runs
Strength 10/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price 5Dimes @ 2.10 (Back)


Over is 24-6 in PIT last 30 Sat. games.
Over is 18-8 in PIT last 26 games as a favorite.

In last 5 games played:

Pittsburgh is scoring 5 runs per game
Atlanta is scoring 6.2 runs per game

Pick Over 9.00 and enjoy the game!

Minnesota - Boston
Selection Boston -1.5
Strength 10/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.02 (Back)


Boston will have Matsuzaka tonight. Matsuzaka is listed 8th in jeff sagarins pitcher rankings with 2.70 NPERA! (normalized predicted era)

On the other side hosts will have perkins tonight. I cant see Perkings winning against Matsuzaka!

Im with visitors tonight!

Tampa Bay - Los Angeles Angels
Selection LA Angels
Strength 9/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.13 (Back)


Angels are hot on the road, moreover they will have ace saunders as starting pitcher tonight! On the other side Tampa bay will have kazmir?! TB batters are cold as ice at the moment so I cant see tampa bay scoring 4 runs against angels tonight. Pick Angels and lets go!

Seattle - Chicago White Sox
Selection Under 7.5 Runs
Strength 10/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 1.95 (Back)


* Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Under is 9-0 in White Sox last 9 road games.
* Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Under is 10-1 in White Sox last 11 overall.
* Under is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 vs. American League West.
* Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 Saturday games.
* Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
* Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 on grass.
* Under is 20-7-1 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* Over is 8-3 in White Sox last 11 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
* Under is 7-3 in White Sox last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Over is 7-0 in Vazquezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
* Over is 4-0 in Vazquezs last 4 starts on grass.
* Over is 4-0 in Vazquezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
* Over is 5-0 in Vazquezs last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
* Over is 7-0 in Vazquezs last 7 starts as a road favorite.
* Over is 4-0 in Vazquezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
* Over is 6-1 in Vazquezs last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
* Over is 6-1 in Vazquezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 5-1 in Vazquezs last 6 starts overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Vazquezs last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Over is 5-1 in Vazquezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 5-1 in Vazquezs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Vazquezs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Over is 4-1 in Vazquezs last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Over is 4-1 in Vazquezs last 5 road starts.
* Over is 9-4 in Vazquezs last 13 Saturday starts.

* Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games following a loss.
* Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
* Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Under is 12-4 in Mariners last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 overall.
* Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 on grass.

# Under is 9-0 in CHW last 9 road games.
# Under is 10-1 in CHW last 11 overall.


San Diego - Colorado
Selection San Diego ML
Strength 10/10
Date 11/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.89 (Back)

After lost against rockies yesterday, hosts will be looking for a win tonight! Padres will have maddux as pitcher while rockies will have jimenez. Maddux is a far better pitcher than Jimenez with giving many strike-outs. San Diego has +2.6 Run support here and maddux is better in all stats. I'm expecting hosts to win this one..
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Old 11-05-2008, 01:47   #11 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

nice,
win from mets,
looks like a win from boston and florida.
going for colorado next. *fingers crossed*
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Old 11-05-2008, 05:37   #12 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

Tough loss for the Rox tonight. Jiminez pitched as good as he can, the HR killed him giving up the crucial 3 runs, bar that he pitched like a god, double figure strike outs.

Another young pitcher makes his debut on Sunday for the Rox with Greg Reynolds stepping up from the Springs, can't do much worse than Redman, fingers crossed for him.
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Old 11-05-2008, 09:19   #13 (permalink)
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Default Re: MLB 10 May

LAA -1.5
Boston -2.5

May Record: 17-19
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