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| | #21 (permalink) | |
| Mens Doubles Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 21 Dec 2003 Location: Newcastle upon Tyne Age: 24
Posts: 9,972
| Quote:
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() What were the final results? That thread is far too long ![]()
__________________ I use statistics much as a drunken man uses lamp-posts - as support rather than illumination. (Andrew Lang) Everyone thought Einstein was crazy until he started kicking ass. | |
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| | #23 (permalink) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| God Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jun 2005
Posts: 34,310
| Latest news from his site - another losing day ![]()
And his comments....
started strong first 90 games were at 15% or so, then broke even for 50, then started losing again. sweet. started playing tables stacked instead of tiled, and found i could easily play 20+ without ever timing out. the full size tables are nice and easy on the eyes, and i dont have to move the mouse violently across a 31inch screen so its nice. but i'm not sure if that somehow caused my day to go to shit today. i'm also having trouble w/ the webcam (vista issues) and will try to get it resolved soon. not that any one cares anyway. might play one more quick session tonight.
Woke up fresh, played three short sessions totaling 150 games and ran at 15%. sweet, put me at like 2% overall. Started up a 3 hour session before bed and lost 100 over 50ish games. pretty shitty. put me back down to 10% for the day. beat after beat. kk
Can i win an 80/20? no, i cant. started the day with a 26 buyin downswing. awesome. love that. recovered a bit. still effectively at zero. not so good. so now its the 10k in 27 days challenge. tomorow i'll play 300 games for a 30% roi. then i'll be ahead of schedule. thats the plan. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| | #24 (permalink) | |
| God Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jun 2005
Posts: 34,310
| Quote:
Played: 1,047 Loss: $1,642 That looks pretty catastrophic now..... Significant yet slap? I'm guessing so... | |
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| | #25 (permalink) | |
| Junior Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 30 Oct 2004
Posts: 12,347
| Quote:
average. A bit under a 1% chance of doing that badly through bad luck. It's still not impossible that he's just been unlucky, but on the other hand, even if he has, he still needs to pull back the defecit as well as making $10k profit. These are just rough estimates, by the way, and assume that the results of all the games are independent, which is not going to be true in practice. For example, if he has "bad weeks" when he's a "0% player" and an equal number of "good weeks" when he's a "12% player", then his results so far could be because he's had a bad week and a modest amount of bad luck, and if he could string together 3 good weeks then he could still do it. But I'd certainly take 4/6 right now on him not making it. | |
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| | #26 (permalink) | |
| God Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jun 2005
Posts: 34,310
| Looks like he's all but given up... Quote:
Played: 1,210 Loss: $1,292 | |
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| | #27 (permalink) |
| God Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jun 2005
Posts: 34,310
| No surprise - looks like he's given up.... 2+2 have switched to vbulletin - here's a link to the new thread - http://forums.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=62622 |
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