Usa - Mls 2008/9

[FinLandiaFish]

Kansas City Wizards - Colorado Rapids

Colorado coming of a 4-0 win over LA Galaxy and Kansas City from 2-0 victory over the defending champs DC United. I think Kansas' win is far more impressive and just shows how ready they are from the beginning of the season. Colorado is a good home team but on road they are just average. I don't know about the 1x2 but I decided to jump heavily on Kansas City to score, should be an easy +2k for me. Some stats to back it up:

*Colorado is 3-13-3 visiting Kansas (just shows how bad they are on road)

*Kansas City has scored a goal in the same matchup 15 games in a row. That record is from last eight seasons played, can't see that one ending tonight.

* Results from last three seasons: 2-2, 4-1, 3-2 (same matchup)

The defending Champs got pounded by two and Kansas loves to play against Colorado, expect an open game like the history shows. Would be surprised to see Kansas to to score less than two tonight but ofcourse one is fine for me

Kansas City Wizards to score @1.19



Weak price but über stakes = I smell money

[Kaiser888]

I think that I'm going to jump on the KC Bandwaggon at nice odds of 2.1 or +110 in US terms with Stan James.

Keyshawns point about altitude teams away from home seems to be backed up stats wise for this one, with Kansas' 14-3-3 in this fixture at home.

They play positive, attacking football, and with the likes of Lopez, Marenelli and Trujio - awful spelling - they should create plenty. KC could be this year's suprise team, and I certainly believe that they will be a better team without EJ - as their game was too centred around him, and 'making him feel good about his game'. I'd also expect there to be goals here too. But I'm happy enough to go with the KC win here.

KC to beat Colorado - 2.5 points at 2.1 Stanjames.

[FinLandiaFish]

Hehe.. seems like KC is the team to back tonight, or atleast it has many backers whether it should be done or not. Hopefully they don't dissapoint us then, though truthfully can't see myself losing the home team to score bet.. just seems so idiotproof. KC ends up with 0 goals and I'm gonna go mental after Reyes just pitched Washington to 4 runs in 9th inning thus ruining my beautiful RL bet

[FinLandiaFish]

0-0 HT

and now I'm wondering what the fck is going on with Kansas all the sudden. One shot (on goal) and one corner during the whole first half. Would be nice to know what the hell are they doing there

[FinLandiaFish]

Kansas 1-0 60th minute

Money, money, money

[Kaiser888]

Kansas won 3-2........ goal in the 87th minute or there abouts, after blowing a 2-0 lead.

Never in doubt.

[Kaiser888]

Suprised by a change or two to the Toronto lineup, and there line-up actually looks pretty positive...... so I'm going for the over 2.5 goals option on Bdaq for 2 points at 1.9.

So that's

DC 3 points at 1.5
Over 2.5 goals 2 points at 1.9.

Also gone for 0.5 points on Columbus at 4.2 Betdaq.

[Kaiser888]

2-0 DC after about 4 minutes

[Kaiser888]

Columbus 2-0 down though, so that's gone.

[keliot]

Galindo starting for Chivas, no Razov. It would be typical for a 'banker' to mess up the MLS home wintrend wouldn't it? Let's hope not. I'm on Chivas (-.05,-1 AH).

[Setup]

good job Kaiser
Keep it up

[Kaiser888]

A very profitable night, meant to confirm the Chivas bet on lineup, but to be honest I fell asleep before I got the teams through ........... I'd had the bet on myself and was basically waiting for either Galindo or Razov to be named otherwise I was laying it off........... there's only so much tust you can put in Harris and Eskindarian........ luckilly Galindo was in the starting 11, and Chivas won out 3-1 winners in the end, but by the look of the stats they were very much in the game.

Hope it's not too contentious that I'll add it to the totals as I had the bet on myself.

Running total before tonight was 98.5 points.

DC United win 3 x .5 = 1.5 units
Over 2.5 2 x .9 = 1.8 units

Chivas Usa win 3 x .57 = 1.71 units

Kansas City win 2.5 x 1.1 = 2.75 units

Columbus lost - .5 units

So 1.5 + 1.8 + 1.71 + 2.75 - .5 = 7.26 Unit profit on the night

98.5 + 7.26 = running total bank of 105.76

[Kaiser888]

;

[Kaiser888]

Just to add that despite going down 3-2 away to KC, Colarado are most definately a team to watch this season, and were unlucky not to get something out of todays game......... the goals they conceded were scrappy, 2 of them from set pieces, and apart from this they perhaps looked the better team, altough both sides had chances in what turned into a massively open encounter in the second half.

KC are one of my favourite teams in the MLS for the attacking intent they show, largely down to their manager Curt Onolfo's positive attitude in this regard. KC are something of a late goal specialist as a result, because Onolfo is not afraid to risk dropping a point in trying to win the game......... this was shown today when he replaced defender Wahl with foward Eloy Columbano in the last 10 minutes, despite the game being fairly even at the time.

Shame betfair don't do these games in-running at the moment, but it's a little thing worth keeping note of if they ever do - last year they tended to put games on ESPN IP but they haven't done as yet this season.

I do feel that they still lack something up front however, and perhaps somone like Conor Casey will be able to make an impact - limited as he is - as a target foward when he returns from injury... apart from this though, it must be said they look pretty good. Especially in Midfield where they have an excellent balance.

Didn't see the Columbus match, but stats wise they held their own, and perhaps might feel slightly unlucky to come out with a 2-0 defeat.

DC obliged as I hoped they would, and Toronto did well to keep it to 4 after Harmse got himself sent off around the 20th minute, at a time when they were already 2 goals down.

A good night's action with lots of goals, and a continuation of the incredible home dominance...... so far Home teams have won 10, drawn 2, and lost 0........... an incredible trend that is pretty unprecedented looking over previous year's results. But although we shouldn't read too much into it, it is worth keeping in mind in the next round of selections.

Cheers to all the contributions to the thread and WD on some good picks tonight.

[Kaiser888]

After saying all that I might be laying MLS cup holders, Houston Dynamo, at home to Dallas later, despite their never having won there

Price is currently around evens to lay, but it depends massively on what team they put out as to if I'll get involved or not...... suspicion that they might rest players with the 2nd leg of their Concacaf Champions league thing away in Costa Rica on Wednesday........ after drawing the first leg 0-0 they face a mammoth task. And so their focus might be diverted..........

Will update pre KO.

[keyshawn]

Originally Posted by keyshawn

I am loving the NY-Columbus line. I think Columbus is by far the better team. This might be the first away win of the season in the league. NY's back line is awful - and they are only playing with 3 in the back. Their mid-field is almost as bad - they lost their best midfielder in preseason and Reyna is well past his "sell by" date. The one thing they have going for them is Angel-Altidore upfront. But, with Altidore away w/the US Oly team, they've barely trained together and the team has looked very bad in preseason. Then, on Thursday, Altidore got hurt in practice and the manager has said he won't play him if he's not 100%. He was limping at practice on Friday, so I dont think its likely he'll be in the lineup. Columbus is an underrated side and with a game under their belt already have that advantage too. Last year, they had a tendency to play for the draw on the road, hopefully they have enough confidence to go for the kill this year against a weak NY side. Add to the fact that a 3/4's empty Giants stadium does little to give NY a home field advantage and I'll take:

Columbus Pk +175 ****
Columbus ML +270 ****
Over 2.5 -105 **


KC's odds have dropped to -120, but I still think they get the job done vs Colorado. Lopez is looking good and this KC team looks like they will be a contender this year. Colorado was tough to beat at home, but terrible on the road last year and last weeks 4-0 win at home isn't indicative of how this team will play away from home IMO.

KC -105 ****

Chivas should roll as long as Galindo and/or Razov is on the field.

Chivas -1 120 **
Chivas -220 **

With those last 2 games, not only are the home teams the better teams IMO, but I'm also a fan of opposing high altitude teams away from home almost as much as I like taking them at home. Might take a shot at the over in this one as well.

Well, Columbus sh*t the bed for me. Giving up a goal in the first minute of play is not the way to win on the road. To add a little extra insult to injury, I didnt even hit the over after 2 goals were scored in the first 10 minutes. At least the rest came through for me to stop the bleeding.

[Kaiser888]

Houston have named a pretty strong line-up, however there poor early season form last year, combined with their opening day defeat this term has lead me to think that they may still be focused on Wednesday........ in any case I think Dallas will be competitive, and have a fair few attacking threats of their own.

Lay of Kansas ***** meant Houston*****at 1.9 for 1.25 points liabillity.

[Kaiser888]

Pfft Dallas hit the bar and had a few other chances but find themselves 1-0 down......

[Kaiser888]

1-1, but this match is anyones...........

[Kaiser888]

2-1 Dallas