Australian A League Round 13 - Nov 17/Nov 19

[ibryan]

Originally Posted by Beejayville

I am also having a crack at these bets to give me a side interest over the weekend...

Melbourne WIN / Newcastle Jets WIN - Double @ $5-36
Melbourne WIN / Newcastle Jets WIN / Sydney WIN @ $12-37

Good luck with your bets people!

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

[godmato]

Great revews here guys! Thanx 4 informations! I will go for under 2.5 here @ 1.9! BOL everybody!

[ads25]

Originally Posted by Beejayville

Great game review Ads

There is going to be a lot of interest in tonight's game and should the Roar's biggest home crowd of the year.

Thanks Beejay same to you mate! As there will be alot of interest and i will miss this game, i expect some good aftergame reviews when i get home tonight!!!

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with whatever

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with whatever you

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with whatever you take

[ads25]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with whatever you take

[ads25]

Uhm, why the hell did my last post get duplicated about 10 times?!??!?

[ads25]

Originally Posted by godmato

Great revews here guys! Thanx 4 informations! I will go for under 2.5 here @ 1.9! BOL everybody!

I think thats a good bet. Melbourne do average around 2.5 goals on the road and Queensland are capable of scoring goals themselves, but tonight i think it will be very low scoring. Id be taking the Under 2.5 goals if i was going to bet on it, but i never use this market as it relies on luck alot of the time.

[Beejayville]

Originally Posted by ibryan

Beejay, do you think is a place for Melbourne winning streak to have a full stop? No, offending about your pick. you have been so good all the while. Just asking some opinion. Thanks.

No offence taken IBryan and good question really

Any team's winning streak can be broken at any time, so it's a matter of opinion really. Melbourne can be beaten tonight for sure, when a new coach comes along they side with the new caoch tend to play better.

Here is Melbourne's last five games...

R8	10/15/2006	Melbourne	0 - 1	Adelaide
R9	10/21/2006	Sydney FC	1 - 2	Melbourne
R10	10/27/2006	NZ Knights	0 - 4	Melbourne
R11	11/3/2006	Melbourne	3 - 3	CC Mariners
R12	11/9/2006	Melbourne	1 - 0	Perth Glory

In my mind they have come to the end of their losing streak as they have only won three of their last five games. The thing I admire about Melbourne is that they score goals and are dangerous every time they go forward, and at $2-05 I simply have to back them as they represent value to me on all the things I look for when trying to analyse a match. The Roar are great odds if you think they are a chance.

[Beejayville]

Originally Posted by ads25

Uhm, why the hell did my last post get duplicated about 10 times?!??!?

Because you are not Beejay

[Beejayville]

Originally Posted by ads25

I'll have a go at answering this for you. I beleive Queensland may possibly get something out of this, with a new manager in Farina they will haev a fresh new game plan and will be playign a different style tonight. They have a full team to choose from and Melbourne have been stumbling a bit recently but have still been good enough to get results. I give Melbourne a 45% chance of winning this with the Draw being the big threat.

Perhaps if you could find a bookie which offers Melbourne on the 0.25 handicap then it would certainly be worth taking. Good luck with whatever you take

What percentage do you have the draw assessed at Ads?

[Beejayville]

Originally Posted by godmato

Great revews here guys! Thanx 4 informations! I will go for under 2.5 here @ 1.9! BOL everybody!

Thanx God and Good Luck!

[Beejayville]

There is a Game Preview Live on http://www.sen.com.au/ if you click on the "Listen Live" on the top right.

There is an interview with new Queensland Coach Frank Farina coming up shortly.

Since you guys are going Under 2.5 tonight, I am going to have a little nibble at the Melbourne 2-0 Scoreline @ $8-50.

[Mr Flamboyant]

Originally Posted by Beejayville

It's good to see someone with the discipline to stick to the rules that they have provided for themselves Mr F

I was just wondering what some of your reasons were for not backing away teams at all. I agree it is a good idea to take it out of the equation, and if it results in you winning more than you lose on the punt then that's a good thing. I don't mind betting away teams as a rule as they are generally better odds when away from home, and realistically a grounds a ground when all is said and done, the game still has to be played. Home ground advantage has always been prevalent in Soccer though and some teams just can't win away.

The A League seems to have a bit of a home ground advantage this year, whereas last year it was the opposite. I agree with you about the value on Melbourne. Around $2-00 for a team that has only lost one game. regains 2 strong defenders and is unbeaten away, is definitely value in my book.

Absolutely BeejayV .. and if the Victory can make it through the predictable onslaught from the Roar in the opening 20 minutes or so, then their class should prevail ..

As to not betting "away" teams .. I decided on this one pretty much right from the get go .. Well almost .. I made two plays on away teams when I first started betting .. the first was on Tottenham to beat Watford in EPL .. Now at the time Watford was something like 1-4-12 at the midpoint of the season .. I thought the Spurs were good things at roughly even money given they were mid table, but sure enough the hosts took it 1-0 ..

The other one was in the old NSL .. It was Perth Glory vs Wollongong .. The Glory was absolutely decimated by injury and even claimed to have had to call on players from the local premier league to fill bench its bench .. Now we all know what the Wolves were about back then and I decided that at $2.70 they were a fantastic bet! .. Glory won 2-1 ..

Home ground advantage is HUGE in soccer IMO .. It's more an advantage in soccer than any other sport .. Take a look at the breakdown of teams in European leagues .. Fullham last year is a great example .. Something like 11-2-3 at Cravern Cottage, yet they only managed ONE win on the road!

I've had great success playing home teams exclusively over the years .. When the old NSL ended I was something like 28-4 (no lie) and all of those other than the earlier mentioned Perth / Gong game were achieved on home teams ..

You're spot on with the A League though .. Home advantage has only really kicked in in "Version Two" .. Last year I think more away teams won than home teams (??) But that's why I never placed one single bet on the A League last season!

[Beejayville]

The game will be starting in about 10 minutes from now.

Click LIVE STATS for in game stats and teams information

Queensland
(GK) Liam Reddy
Andrew Packer
Chad Gibson
(c) Josh McCloughan
Ante Milicic
Reinaldo
Spase Dilevski
Matt McKay
Hyuk-Su Seo
Dario Vidosic
Sasa Ognenovski

Subs
(gk) Tom Willis
Stuart McLaren
Yuning Zhang
Ben Griffin

Melbourne
Eugene Galekovic (gk)
Kevin Muscat (c)
Daniel Piorkowski
Steve Pantelidis
Fred
Daniel Allsopp
Archie Thompson
Rodrigo Vargas
Adrian Leijer
Simon Storey
Grant Brebner

Subs
Peter Gavalas (gk)
Michael Ferrante
Kristian Sarkies
Alessandro

[Hands Solo]

Gone for Reinaldo first and Muscat last goal in addition to my roar/draw bet

[Beejayville]

15m Queensland 0 - 0 Melbourne

Good tempo to the start of the game and fred had a great chance to open the scoring at the 4m mark but great tackle denied him