Argentinean 1st league 23/02

[FinLandiaFish]

Argentinos (10. place) - Gimnasia L.P. (20. place)

Haven't bet on this league but just had to take home win in this scenario as the HW odds are really high. Argentinos are one of the best home teams in the league with 8 wins and two loses from 10 home games with a whopping 21 goals scored in them and only 6 conceded. Many good teams have been defeated with River plate (6. place) and Boca Juniors (5. place) among them. So sounds like a really really good home team with excellent offense and a rock solid defense to me but the bookies don't seem to think so (referring to the odds for hw) as the visitor is infact the last placed team in the league and with that comes no surprise that they haven't had much success on road with 1-3-6 record to show including only 7 goals scored and 19 conceded. Also Argentinos already beat them once 2-0 (though Gimnasia was the home team) this season so why wouldn't they do so in this more favourable matchup (home advantage is huge).

-> Seems to me that the odds around 2.00 for home win are absolutely ridicilously high. I'll bite with high stakes, seems almost too good to be true.

Best of luck everyone

[zicko]

I'm trying this one myself:

Sport	Football (S.America)
Event	River Plate - San Lorenzo
Selection	River Plate
Strength	10/10
Date	24/02/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 1.90 (Back)
Reasoning	River Plate disappointed in apertura, but that was mostly due to their away record. At home they had 5-2-2. Clausura has opened similarly with a win at home and draw away. San Lorenzo finished 7 places above River plate in apertura but have lost both their matches so far in clausura. They did most of their work at home in apertura.

[ksk1912]

Lanús - Newells Old Boys

Lanüs playing well at home, and they have paused 1 week more as Newells (postponed last week game with Gimnasia y Esgrima). I think they will be win here.

Home Win