Weekend Bets: May 2-5

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by SeanMac

went to the bookies this morning , and greed got the better of me , i said i was going with a doncaster - wba double , but stuck doncaster on an 4 fold with celtic, man utd and blackburn , £10 pays £44 going ok atm , celtic 1-1 , man utd 3-1

Why are you betting on accas all the time. The only way to make money long term is by beiing mainly on singles. This also allows one to find the best odds available from a list of say 12. You will rarely find value by using just one high street bookmaker.

[Booksie]

Tonights Bets.

£20 Double
Porto 1/5
Deportivo 21/10 - went for these as in recent weeks they have won me 2 bets.
Pays £74

little 25p 6 fold for french games.
Nancy
Sochaux
Monaco
Le Mans
Auxerre
Caen
Pays £28

[Booksie]

Originally Posted by Booksie

Weekend Bets

£2 4 fold with 3 games being sunday
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Cardiff
Pays £25.91

Total Staked = £30.00

Good Luck Peeps

All ok with Tottenham at the mo this is my only one thats done half decent.

[adam7982]

nancy
westerlo
a madrid
£10 pays £49

[1882]

Just had another single for tonight :-
Atletico Madrid v Rec de Heulva - both teams to score 8/11
17 points staked.

[littleacca]

Originally Posted by littleacca

Weekend Bets for me.

£2 Single
Barnet HT - Barnet FT vs Rotherham

£2 Double
Lincoln HT - Lincoln FT vs Wrexham
Dag & Red HT - Dag & Red FT vs Mansfield

£2 Treble Bebble
Aston Villa win vs Wigan
Blackburn win vs Derby
Huddersfield win vs Luton

£2 Treble Bebble
Nottingham Forest win vs Yeovil
MK Dons win vs Morecambe 78TH MIN EQUALISER!!!!
Dag & Red win vs Mansfield

£4 Double
Lincoln win vs Wrexham
Crewe win vs Oldham

50p Treble Bebble
Aberdeen HT - Aberdeen FT win vs Dundee United
Inverness HT - Inverness FT win vs Gretna
Killmarnock/St Mirren draw HT - FT 90TH MIN WINNER 1-0

50p 5 Fold
Le Mans HT - Lorient FT win
Lens HT - Lens FT win vs Monaco
Valensciennes HT - Draw FT vs Auxerre
Sochaux HT - Sochaux FT win vs Metz
Draw HT - Caen FT win vs Rennes

Total Staked - £13

Not a happy bunny. Screwed by St Mirrens 90th minute worthless winner.

Now all i have for tonight is my HT FT 5 fold and lets face it, not even worth looking out for.

[bagzi_cg]

Crystal Palace - Burnley - HOME WIN
Sheffield Wed. - Norwich - HOME WIN

[1882]

Originally Posted by 1882

Just had another single for tonight :-
Atletico Madrid v Rec de Heulva - both teams to score 8/11
17 points staked.

Having a go on :-
Zaragoza v Deportivo - both teams to score 3/4 - 15 points
Deportivo win 5/2 - 2 points

Just interest bets while i stay in!!

[adam7982]

Originally Posted by adam7982

nancy
westerlo
a madrid
£10 pays £49

All going so well until westerlo folded a 1-0 lead on 78 mins then let a 90th min goal in too.

oh well so close

[Kozzin Benson]

Originally Posted by Booksie

Tonights Bets.

£20 Double
Porto 1/5
Deportivo 21/10 - went for these as in recent weeks they have won me 2 bets.
Pays £74

Cant believe Porto Booksie they were the banker of the whole weekend especially after last weeks 5-0 demolition of second placed team away from home.
You have my sympathy, how can you pick teams to win on stats when that happens?

[Booksie]

May 3, 2008	Liga bwin		FC Porto	0 - 3	Nacional Funchal	+i
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Dec 21, 2007	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	1 - 0	FC Porto	+i
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May 5, 2007	Liga bwin		FC Porto	2 - 0	Nacional Funchal	i
Dec 11, 2006	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	1 - 2	FC Porto	i
Mar 5, 2006	Liga bwin		FC Porto	3 - 0	Nacional Funchal	i
Oct 23, 2005	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	0 - 1	FC Porto	i
Mar 11, 2005	Liga bwin		FC Porto	0 - 4	Nacional Funchal	i
Oct 30, 2004	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	2 - 2	FC Porto	i
Apr 14, 2004	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	0 - 0	FC Porto	i
Oct 31, 2003	Liga bwin		FC Porto	1 - 0	Nacional Funchal	i
Mar 24, 2003	Liga bwin		Nacional Funchal	1 - 2	FC Porto	i
Nov 4, 2002	Liga bwin		FC Porto	5 - 2	Nacional Funchal

Thats there whole record vs them... dont seem their scared of going there look at the 4-0 lol in 2005!!

Yeah i was ummin n arrrin about them or Athletico... spose i picked the wrong one.

Like ya said about last week they didnt start scoring untill after the 50th min so bring on tomorrow i say

[Kozzin Benson]

Attention everyone, there may be another Bury in Italy 2morro.
Livirno 2.26 to win away @ Atalanta on betfair wots that all about?
HT FT Livorno is 3.95 with the home team 6.6, those odds dont make sense to me.
Corals have priced them up online even shorter.
Wot do you think?

[$@m]

Originally Posted by Kozzin Benson

Attention everyone, there may be another Bury in Italy 2morro.
Livirno 2.26 to win away @ Atalanta on betfair wots that all about?
HT FT Livorno is 3.95 with the home team 6.6, those odds dont make sense to me.
Corals have priced them up online even shorter.
Wot do you think?

willhill is 19/20 away win
corel is 11/10 away win

hmmm

Atalanta 11th in table
Livorno bottem 20th

this is very odd

[$@m]

Atalanta (11th Serie A, 42 points) v Livorno (20th Serie A, 30 points)
When: Sunday, 4th May, kick-off 1500 local (CET)
Where: Stadio Azzurri D’Italia, Bergamo

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Atalanta host Livorno at the Stadio D’Azzurri stadium of Bergamo in a game which holds a lot of importance for the visitors, who cannot afford a defeat if they are to move away from bottom position.

The Bergamaschi have reached their season objective and the players’ heads are probably already thinking about the summer holidays.

For this reason, the Amaranti start as favourites in a game which sees the return of Orsi on the bench, following the sacking of Camolese due to a string of negative results.

Livorno’s situation is practically desperate, especially if they fail to grab all three points and their direct opponents manage to do so on Sunday.

Past Encounters

Not many head to heads for these two teams at the Stadio Azzurri D'Italia, with the first ever clash occurring in 2004 when both teams were playing in Serie B. In that occasion the game ended in a goalless draw.

After that, two other games were played at Bergamo, with both games ending in a win for Atalanta (1-0 and 5-1), but seeing today’s motivations, Livorno could register their first away win ever against their opponents.


FORM GUIDE

Atalanta
Palermo - Atalanta 0 - 0 27/04/2008 SERIE A
Atalanta - Juventus 0 - 4 20/04/2008 SERIE A
Napoli - Atalanta 2 - 0 13/04/2008 SERIE A
Atalanta - Inter Milan 0 - 2 06/04/2008 SERIE A
Milan - Atalanta 1 - 2 30/03/2008 SERIE A
Atalanta - Catania 0 - 0 22/03/2008 SERIE A

Livorno
Livorno - Milan 1 - 4 27/04/2008 SERIE A
Roma - Livorno 1 - 1 19/04/2008 SERIE A
Livorno - Cagliari 1 - 2 13/04/2008 SERIE A
Sampdoria - Livorno 2 - 0 06/04/2008 SERIE A
Livorno - Siena 0 - 0 30/03/2008 SERIE A
Udinese - Livorno 2 - 0 22/03/2008 SERIE A


TEAM NEWS

Atalanta
Various players unavailable for the Bergamaschi due to injuries: Costinha, Forsyth, Carrozzieri, Capelli and Langella, whereas De Ascentis is suspended. Floccari, Talamonti, Guarente, Rivalta, Tissone and Doni are one yellow card away from suspension.

Probable Formation (4-4-1-1): Coppola, Fissore, Talamonti, Manfredini, Bellini, Ferreira Pinto, Tissone, Guarente, Padoin, Doni, Floccari

Livorno
Only Vidigal and Volpe are injured for the Amaranti, whilst Galante and De Vezze are suspended. Pavan, A. Filippini, Pulzetti, Grandoni and Balleri must be careful not to be shown a yellow card in order to play in the next game.

Probable Formation (3-5-2): Amelia, Knezevic, Pavan, Grandoni, Balleri, Pulzetti, Bergvold, A. Filippini, Pasquale, Tavano, Rossini


PLAYERS TO WATCH

Doni (Atalanta)
Seems to have lost steam in recent weeks, but the veteran midfielder is still the Bergamaschi's most dangerous element thanks to his technique and excellent skills.

Tavano (Livorno)
The Amaranti need a win and this can only be achieved if Tavano returns to the form he had some months ago when he was frequently scoring goals and putting up some great performances.


PREDICTION

Atalanta have nothing to play for and with Livorno needing a win at all cost this game will most likely end in an away win.

Atalanta 0 - 1 Livorno


what u think ?

[Booksie]

On will hill

Its got Genoa 6/1 away win at parma
and Napoli 7/1 away win v Torino

odd again?

[$@m]

maybe a crazy weekned in italy lool

[Charlie Wong]

Arsenal/Liverpool

Sunday double.

[SecondSight]

Betfair

Hibs 10pts@5.30 close though -10

CPalace HT/FT 30pts@2.28 +38

Totesport

Cardiff HT/FT 12pts@5/2 +30

Stoke/Leicester draw 12pts@11/4 +33

Double 6pt

Cardiff 11/10
Stoke/Leicester draw 11/4 + 41

Good Sunday - up 138pts

[adam7982]

Aachen
Borussia Munchengladbach
Double
£10 pays £40

[Jamesdeanbadfingers]

Originally Posted by figtree

how many bets you placed and what was your average stake?

Hi Fig.

Season so far is from 4th August to date. Looking at my bet history spreadsheet (how sad am I?) I have placed just over 150 bets (average 15 per month, so 4 per week.)

Usually the make up of the bets is 1 or 2 lines on the Saturday, a Sunday line and a midweek line.

Average is, therefore about £70 per bet, on basic maths of £10.5k staked for 150 bets, but this is masked by the fact that I do sometimes go mad, if I am winning and place a £100 or £200 accumulator.

I probably bet £20-£40 accumulators and, if I am not winning, go back to perms (any 3, 4 or 5 from 5, etc)

I place most of my bets on here, but I don't really have time to write any sort of analysis on why I have picked them. I read a lot from the threads here and get the 6 match form from papers like Racing Post and Racing & Football Insider, but PL usually gives me a great insight to form and team news, bogey teams, trends, etc. It's the best site around.

Have made a promise to myself to start to put some time aside next season to write more analysis on my picks, rather than just posting up the bets on the weekend - no reasoning - threads. A lot of people will not like my style of betting accumulators, similar to Nastro's style, but it has seen me right for years, and a lot of people will not like the fact I don't do enough reasoning. That is fair enough, I understand that.

I would do the Top Tipster, but I just don't have the time to write down my analysis (or have the internet access - as I don't get this site at work - probably just as well.)

Anyway - all the best with your bets. I am away to look at my bets for the Chamionship today.