Total Goals / Goal Line Betting

[kevster]

I've run some stats on the weekend's fixtures to see which games are most likely to come out over/under 2.5 goals. Thought I'd share my findings with you.....

Under 2.5 goals: Grimsby Vs. Bury
Over 2.5 goals: Fulham Vs. Chelsea

This takes into account all form over the last 6 matches for all teams. If you only take relevant form (e.g. home form for the home team), I came up with....

Under 2.5 goals: Sheff. Wed. Vs. Preston
Over 2.5 goals: Luton Vs. Derby

These calculations were based on fixtures from all English leagues including the conference and the SPL.

Be interesting to see how they come out!

[davidmphill]

Cheers Kev, will keep an eye out for these.
Are you backing them yourself?

[kevster]

I have to be honest and say no.

I want to see how the calculations go over time first but, on examination, they look pretty sound. Grimsby Vs. Bury looks favourite out of all of them and that's the one I'd probably back.

[K@ssandra]

Originally Posted by kevster

Under 2.5 goals: Sheff. Wed. Vs. Preston
Over 2.5 goals: Luton Vs. Derby

You made good calculation mate

No	Team	Total OVER	Total UNDER	Home Over	Home Under	Away Over	Away Under
2	Luton	24	14	14	5	10	9
8	Derby	20	18	10	9	10	9
20	Preston	14	23	6	12	8	11
21	Sheff_W	14	24	7	12	7	12

[kevster]

Interesting stuff K@ssandra.

Currently, I only look total goals in the past six matches. I hadn't considered looking at their over/under "form" over the season. Perhaps it's worth me factoring this in.

Thanks

[kevster]

Hmm, 1 out of 3 not good enough. Even with Fulham/Chelsea to come I'd have still lost money on this - good job it stayed in my wallet

Will try again in midweek before maybe having a tinker with the calculations