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Old 31-12-2006, 15:12   #1 (permalink)
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Default Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Monday 1 January 2007
HomeDrawAwayBPP
Dundee Utd v Falkirk (15:00 GMT)2.263.403.65102%
Inverness v St Mirren (15:00 GMT)2.183.453.85101%
Tuesday 2 January 2007
HomeDrawAwayBPP
Dunfermline v Hearts (14:00 GMT)5.603.851.75101%
Celtic v Kilmarnock (15:00 GMT)1.315.7014.50101%
Hibernian v Aberdeen (15:00 GMT)2.283.403.50102%
Motherwell v Rangers (15:00 GMT)6.504.201.63101%
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Old 31-12-2006, 17:57   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Hearts at the price of 1.75 look value at 1.75 to beat Dunferline both my Power ratings and poisson analysis suggest the true odds are nearer to 1.65.

Last edited by cavelloman; 31-12-2006 at 18:17.
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Old 31-12-2006, 18:33   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Looking at Dundee United and St Mirren. Looks like Stokes has left Falkirk although it is yet to be confirmed and if true would be a huge loss. Dundee United are on a great run at the moment and beat the other form eam Aberdeen 3-1 on sat, although Aberdeen did get a player sent off which must have had an impact on the game. Inverness from reading match reports of the game against Falkirk on sat were very poor while st mirren drew with Rangers and won up in the highlands earlier in the season, may look at the handicap as I fear it may end up all square this one.

Agree that Hearts should see of a very poor Dunfermline side. Dunfermline have only picked up 2 points in the last 6 games and never troubled the Hibs goalkeeper on sat going down 2-0. Motherwell also maybe on the handicap to follow up their draw with Celtic and record a result against a poor rangers team may also be worth a look.
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Old 01-01-2007, 22:21   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

This is my insight for Motherwell-Rangers:my prediction is 1X
Bookmaker/PriceBet365 @ 2.35 (Back)
ReasoningMotherwell positively impressed in the match vs Celtic last week: it was able to draw at the last minute but it showed a good foortball in face of the strongest team in the Scottish league.
Good news at Moterwell home: Motherwell have completed the signing for three players from the Eircom League in Ireland and the trio have received international clearance in time to play against Rangers in the Scottish Premier League on Tuesday.
Left-back Danny Murphy, 23, has signed from Cork City until 2009.
Striker Trevor Molloy, 30, and midfielder Paul Keegan, 33, have both joined from St Patrick's Athletic on 18-month contracts.
Rangers drew at home vs St Mirren; coach Paul Le Guen looks to be in difficulties with some players of the Rangers.In fact Barry Ferguson will not be of the match tomorrow.The captaincy will given to Gavin Rae and this could not be well acceprted by Rangers hot fans.
On the press there are rumors of disagreement in the roster , especially between Scottish players and French ones.
Match seems very balanced and home team appears to be in good shape, ready to a full hit.

Pls, let me know what about it.

Thks ,
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Old 01-01-2007, 22:32   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

My insight for Celtic-Kilmarnock: prediction "both scoring"


Bet365 @ 2.10 (Back)
ReasoningCeltic comes from 2 draws in a row, Kilmarnock looks as a squad that scores in the last period, but it also conceds goals.

Celtic presents some regulars sidelined for injury : Shaun Maloney, Mark Wilson, Bobo Balde and Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink are out.
Coach Killie should have Colin Nish back from flu, which would allow a striking partner for Gary Wales.
Paul Di Giacomo and defender David Lilley are still missing through injury.

Celtic squad: Boruc, Telfer, O'Dea, McManus, Naylor, Nakamura, Gravesen, Sno, Lennon, McGeady, Riordan, Jarosik, Zurawski, Miller, Marshall, Beattie, Pearson, Quinn, Conroy.

Kilmarnock squad: Smith, G Murray, Ford, Greer, S Murray, Fowler, Invincibile, Nish, Johnston, Barrowman, Naismith, Locke, Wales, Combe, Dodds, Adams, R Campbell, Leven.

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Old 01-01-2007, 22:48   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

This is my prediction and analisys for Hibernian-Aberdeen: X ( draw)
Bookmaker/PriceBet365 @ 3.40 (Back

Hibernian would like to win to climb up positions in the table . Hibernian recovers midfielders Ivan Sproule and Dean Shiels return from suspension.
Midfielder Merouane Zemmama is still missing following a hamstring injury, while teenage goalkeeper Andrew McNeil keeps his place.
Hosts suffers ups and down recently; they usually make victories but then fall down in defeats like the recent one.
Aberdeen are facing a selection crisis with Russell Anderson, Barry Nicholson, Jamie Langfield and Chris Clark all struggling with flu.
Michael Hart is suspended and Scott Severin doubtful through injury.
Hibernian squad: McNeil, Simon Brown, Whittaker, Murphy, Jones, Martis, Stewart, Scott Brown, Thomson, Fletcher, Beuzelin, McCluskey, Sproule, Shiels, Killen, Benjelloun, Stevenson, Glass, McCann, Campbell.
Aberdeen squad: Langfield, Anderson, Considine, Lovell, Foster, Nicholson, Maguire, Severin, Clark, Diamond, Miller, Mackie, Soutar, Dempsey, Touzani, D Smith, Donald.
A draw could happen, more conservative 1X at 1.30.

Let me kwnow your opinion.
Tks
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Old 02-01-2007, 09:55   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

EventMotherwell - Glasgow Rangers FC
SelectionGlasgow Rangers to win
Strength8/10
Date02/01/2007
Bookmaker/PriceExpekt @ 1.65 (Back)
ReasoningGlasgow Rangers have two bad results in last two rounds (1-2 against Inverness away and 1-1 against St Mirren at home).
They must win now over Mtherwell coz Aberdeen tok 2nd place with 37 points and Rangers is one point behind Aberdeen.Hearts also have 34 and thsi three teams will fight for 2nc place wich is very important in Scotland premier league.Rangers have 9-1-0 over MOtherwell in last 10 games and i think that here will not have problems to take all points.
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Old 02-01-2007, 10:29   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

motherwell v rangers,

thanks to "art" channel,we have the chance to watch some games from scotish premier...

well well, motherwell is a team composed by youngsters mostly,and this fact make very difficult to play against giants as celtic and rangers,but,

rangers is simply rubbish this year,home team again will be on maximum motivation,and i take my "trendy" : HOME WIN OR DRAW again,in combination with CELTIC win, Hibs 1X , and Dunfermline X2

THANKS ALL
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Old 02-01-2007, 10:48   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Over 1.5 Goals

Currently working on a system of +1.5 goals and Im going to list these as Sports Punter picks also. Odds are generally tight but should have a high yield so heres hoping. For all these bets, There home side AND away sides must average OVER 2.0 goals in their last 5/6 games.

Motherwell v Rangers Over 1.5 goals

Motherwell's last 5 games have produced 17 goals (Average of 3.4 per game)
Ranger's last 5 games have produced 11 goals (Average of 2.2 per game )

Motherwell v Rangers Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 Betfair (£682 available)
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Old 02-01-2007, 10:53   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Over 1.5 Goals

Currently working on a system of +1.5 goals and Im going to list these as Sports Punter picks also. Odds are generally tight but should have a high yield so heres hoping. For all these bets, There home side AND away sides must average OVER 2.0 goals in their last 5/6 games.

Hibs v Aberdeen Over 1.5 goals

Hib's last 5 games have produced 19 goals (Average of 3.8 per game)
Aberdeen's last 5 games have produced 15 goals (Average of 3.0 per game )

Hibs v Aberdeen Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 Betfair (£500 available)

(£30 available @ 1.30)
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Old 02-01-2007, 10:58   #11 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Over 1.5 Goals

Currently working on a system of +1.5 goals and Im going to list these as Sports Punter picks also. Odds are generally tight but should have a high yield so heres hoping. For all these bets, There home side AND away sides must average OVER 2.0 goals in their last 5/6 games.

Celtic v Kilmarnock Over 1.5 goals

Celtic's last 5 games have produced 12 goals (Average of 2.4 per game)
Kilmarnock's last 5 games have produced 16 goals (Average of 3.2 per game )

Celtic v Kilmarnock Over 1.5 goals @ 1.2 Betfair (£300 available)
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Old 02-01-2007, 11:44   #12 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Motherwell v Rangers

No doubt that Rangers are stronger side between these two, but there is also no doubt for me that value is on the hosts. Rangers are far from their renome this season, they failed to win in their last two games, and with some squad problems they simply cant be red hot favorites in this match.

Motherwell are surely 2nd or 3rd class side in SPL, but with few good results lately, and especially after boosting 1-1 against Celtic in last match, they could take something here.

I'm going with value here, straight home win @6 is huge price.

Motherwell @6 coral 4/10
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Old 02-01-2007, 12:27   #13 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

to me the value bet of the day is scott mcdonald at motherwell 9/1 anytime goalscorer, he has scored nine this season and rangers defence is not the most solid this season.
Elsewhere not much value, hearts should win, hibs v aberdeen tough to call, celtic v killy should be a home win but celtic downtime at the mo makes the odds questionable.

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Old 02-01-2007, 14:02   #14 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Quote:
Originally Posted by anothamug View Post
to me the value bet of the day is scott mcdonald at motherwell 9/1 anytime goalscorer, he has scored nine this season and rangers defence is not the most solid this season.
Elsewhere not much value, hearts should win, hibs v aberdeen tough to call, celtic v killy should be a home win but celtic downtime at the mo makes the odds questionable.

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Old 02-01-2007, 14:15   #15 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

SportFootball (Scotland)
EventHibernian vs Aberdeen
SelectionOver 2.5
Strength10/10
Date02/01/2007
Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 1.85 (Back)
ReasoningBoth teams can clearly find the net in this one. Hibernian has scored 42 goals in 22 matches while conceding 28, Aberdeen has scored 30 goals in their 22, while conceding 21. 4 of the 5 matches by both these clubs have gone over and I expect a good attacking game as Hibernian goes for its 8th straight home match without defeat.
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Old 02-01-2007, 14:25   #16 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Quote:
Originally Posted by cageynoboa View Post
SportFootball (Scotland)
EventHibernian vs Aberdeen
SelectionOver 2.5
Strength10/10
Date02/01/2007
Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 1.85 (Back)
ReasoningBoth teams can clearly find the net in this one. Hibernian has scored 42 goals in 22 matches while conceding 28, Aberdeen has scored 30 goals in their 22, while conceding 21. 4 of the 5 matches by both these clubs have gone over and I expect a good attacking game as Hibernian goes for its 8th straight home match without defeat.
I wonder where do you take your stats from

Oct 30, 2006 Premier League Aberdeen Hibernian 2 - 1

Jul 29, 2006 Premier League Hibernian Aberdeen 1 - 1

Apr 29, 2006 Premier League Aberdeen Hibernian 4 - 0

Apr 08, 2006 Premier League Aberdeen Hibernian 1 - 0

Jan 14, 2006 Premier League Hibernian Aberdeen 1 - 2
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Old 02-01-2007, 14:28   #17 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

SportFootball (Scotland)
EventMotherwell vs Rangers
SelectionUnder 2.5
Strength10/10
Date02/01/2007
Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.26 (Back)
ReasoningMotherwell has been solid defensively as of late as they have conceded 2 goals in their last 3 games. Meanwhile Rangers have looked rather ordinary of late, away lose to Inverness C.T. and a home draw with St Mirren has not been pretty for the Glasgow faithful. Dado Prso will return to the lineup today to try to jump start a team that has 4 goals in their last 3 games. Motherwell should be motivated from their latest result, a 1-1 draw to Celtic and I think they will keep this match low scoring.
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Old 02-01-2007, 14:29   #18 (permalink)
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Default Re: Scotland - Premiership (1st/2nd Jan)

Hibernian:

Sat. 9 Final Rangers3 - 0Hibernian49,702Scottish Premier League
Sat. 16 Final Falkirk2 - 1Hibernian6,142Scottish Premier League
Sat. 23 Final Hibernian5 - 1St Mirren13,053Scottish Premier League
Tue. 26 Final Hearts3 - 2Hibernian17,369Scottish Premier League
Sat. 30 Final Hibernian2 - 0Dunfermline14,061Scottish Premier League


Sat. 9
Final Aberdeen2 - 1FalkirkScottish Premier League
Sat. 16 Final Hearts0 - 1Aberdeen17,274Scottish Premier League
Sat. 23 Final Aberdeen1 - 2Rangers20,045Scottish Premier League
Tue. 26 Final Aberdeen3 - 1Kilmarnock11,887Scottish Premier League
Sat. 30 Final Dundee Utd3 - 1Aberdeen12,329Scottish Premier League
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