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Old 11-05-2008, 09:21   #41 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Just about 10/1 for the DRAW for the Derby game and the West Ham game, throw in the Rovers game and from a £10 treble it pays £400+
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Old 11-05-2008, 09:35   #42 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Birmingham v Blackburn
Birmingham Red Card 13/2 888Sports 5pts

Birmingham are fighting for their lives and Rovers also want to get into Europe so I expect a blood and thunder match.
If the other results are going against Birmingham I can see a few sloppy tackles flying in.Damien Johnson would be the ideal candidate to be shown the red as he often loses it as he plays with a lot of passion. Ridgewell,Kapo,Nafti and Jaidi are always walking a fine line and have collected quite a few bookings this season.
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Old 11-05-2008, 10:35   #43 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Originally Posted by Carl View Post
Just about 10/1 for the DRAW for the Derby game and the West Ham game, throw in the Rovers game and from a £10 treble it pays £400+
Look great odds. Just had a fiver on.
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Old 11-05-2008, 11:44   #44 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Its official Derby are the worst team to grace the prem but their supporters must deserve huge amount of credit. Reading haven't scored in 6 games so Derby fans could 'celebrate' with a point before they go down.

0-0 Draw. Under 1.5 goals @ 10/3 VCBet
Be very surprised if this is 0-0 as Reading have to win, so surely there will be chances at both ends and I am backing Derby to win the game, no pressure on them and Reading are poor 5/1 is massive, also be adding Sunderland and Blackburn into this. 7/2 and 11/4.

3 singles, doubles and a treble.
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Old 11-05-2008, 11:55   #45 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Going for a treble today- Arsenal vs Sunderland over 2.5 goals
Everton vs Newcastle under 2.5 goals and West Ham vs Aston Villa over 2.5 goals. Will also make a big bet on over 2.5 goals in the West Ham-Aston Villa game.
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Old 11-05-2008, 12:54   #46 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Blackburn
Blackburn are 7th and a win here may get them a spot in the Intertoto Cup next year. They have been playing really well this last few games and have a decent record at Birmingham. While Birmingham need a win so they don't get relegated they have some injury doubts and also doubts about whether they have the team to win when it is most needed.

Chelsea -2.5
Chelsea need to win here and hope Man Utd slips up. They have been in great recent form and have a sensational hom form where they have scored 35 goals and conceded only 12 while Bolton's away form is the complete opposite with 12 goals and 35 conceded. Bolton are virtually safe with little to play for. There are some injury concerns while some players are headed out the door so their mtivation for this game will be quite low. Chelsea should score at least 3 here.

Fulham
Portsmouth have their eyes on FA Cup and will not risk any injuries here. They have lost their last 3 games and meet a desperate Fulham side who have won 3 of their last 4 games incluing their last 2 away. Fulham need a win here and have being giving it their all in winning these games so look for them to give one final push to keep their spot in the Premier League

Sunderland over 2.5
Sunderland have gone over in 4 of their last 6 games including their last 3 at home. They will look to win here to finish their good season off on a good note and possibly a higher place with a win here could net the club some extra money.
Arsenal have gone over in their last 4 games as they have nothing to play for. They will probably rest some players here while others are out injured. However they will play at a more relaxed pace and when they did this earlier in the season, then they tended to score some goals as they have done recently when they have realised that they miss out on the title

West Ham over 2.5
West Ham have gone over in their last 3 games including thier last 2 at home while Villa have gone over in 5 of their last 6 games including their last 3 away. Both teams have shown that they can score but poor defending has seen them draw or lose games they cold have won. While West Ham have littke to play for, Villa need a win here for a chance to get a european spot, so look for some goals here

Leaning on draws at Derby, Tottenham, Wigan (2 of their last 3 at home were draws while Man U have drawn 2 of last 3 away) and Everton while a home win for Boro
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Old 11-05-2008, 13:09   #47 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

All EPL games live and free here

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Old 11-05-2008, 13:51   #48 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

After loads of thinking, i'm going to go against doing a Chelsea/Man U double it may well come through but really short odds and Wigan have a strong squad out.

I'm going to go for Over 2 goals in the Portsmouth/Fulham game, Portsmouth will want to get into a rhythm ready for the final next week, whereas Fulham will want to get something from the game so they can stay up, so they will look to score with Kamara, and Mcbride. Also Bullard and Murphy are capable of scoring. For Portsmouth Kanu, Utaka and Defoe who is cup tied next week will all look to attack. Also Campbell and James don't play who are the rock of Portsmouth defence, and Fulham haven't exactly got the best defence as seen vs Manchester City. I think we could see an open game as Portsmouth have nothing to play for but Fulham do. A 2-2, 2-1 type of scoreline to either of the teams.

So I pick over 2 goals. Hopefully this will come through as it's also last game of the season where quite a lot of goals fo get banged in.
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Old 11-05-2008, 13:56   #49 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Hi guys...i seem to have misplaced both me emails and passwords...had to create a new account altogether. If anyone still remembers a certain xyzDennis...that is me. :p And here are my picks for the final weekend.

Blackburn Rovers +0.5
Motivation is not a factor for both teams competing. Birmingham would be fighting to stay up while Blackburn would be fighting for that elusive Intertoto Cup spot. That said, Blackburn's quality should just shade this tie and should have little problems taking 1 point off Birmingham.

Portsmouth +0.25
On Harry's word that he would field his strongest side, I am backing Portsmouth to get at least a point here in front of their fans. No doubt this match is very much meaningless in terms of position/league standing but considering Portsmouth could climb as many as 2 places and additional prize money of over $1 000 000 if results go their way, surely that is motivation enough.

Manchester United -1.75
There is little to say here really. It is true that United would accept a narrow win but they would definitely not sit back after getting a goal. A cushion would be needed and similar to their win last week, I would expect much of the same. Winning by 2 goals should not be a problem for this United side and the prospect of having more than that is also not all that minute.

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Old 11-05-2008, 15:57   #50 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Originally Posted by Aarun View Post
After loads of thinking, i'm going to go against doing a Chelsea/Man U double it may well come through but really short odds and Wigan have a strong squad out.

I'm going to go for Over 2 goals in the Portsmouth/Fulham game, Portsmouth will want to get into a rhythm ready for the final next week, whereas Fulham will want to get something from the game so they can stay up, so they will look to score with Kamara, and Mcbride. Also Bullard and Murphy are capable of scoring. For Portsmouth Kanu, Utaka and Defoe who is cup tied next week will all look to attack. Also Campbell and James don't play who are the rock of Portsmouth defence, and Fulham haven't exactly got the best defence as seen vs Manchester City. I think we could see an open game as Portsmouth have nothing to play for but Fulham do. A 2-2, 2-1 type of scoreline to either of the teams.

So I pick over 2 goals. Hopefully this will come through as it's also last game of the season where quite a lot of goals fo get banged in.
Stupid bet, stupid teams, I wish I had gone for the double now. After a good 2 weeks worth of work counts for nothing.
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Old 11-05-2008, 16:06   #51 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Ahh Chelsea didn't win, luckily I would have lost more if I had done that double so i'd rather lose less.
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Old 11-05-2008, 16:10   #52 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

And that is the danger of taking the Man U/ Chelsea double. Chelsea look up in the 80th and see 2-0 United and the game dosen't matter anymore and at that absurd price not worth it at all. If Chelsea were to play first and then Manu were to start after Chelsea then it would make sense but playing at the same time this is always the danger with the scoreboard watching.
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Old 11-05-2008, 16:14   #53 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

Did middlesborough on the spreads and won a ton, but lost it all by backing low goals newcastle v everton, backing Sunderland and Derby and also Blackburn and Chelsea, ended up a little down even with an 8-1 win with a supremecy bet.

Last edited by Karel; 11-05-2008 at 16:15.
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Old 11-05-2008, 16:30   #54 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Originally Posted by Djlion View Post
I'm tempted by a 'specials' bet that WillHill are offering on which Premiership match sees most goals tomorrow. Middlesbrough v Manchester City is the outsider at odds of 14/1 with 1/5 the odds for a place 1,2 or 3. Seeing as to be in the top 3 would give odds of just under 3/1 I think there is likely value there. Middlesbrough are due to score 3 goals in a match this season as they have failed to do this up until now. Neither team have anything to play for and so the game may well be an open game with chances at either side. I can envisage that many of the games featuring teams with something to play for will be tight, cagey affairs. So with odds of just under 3/1 (if I've calculated the price right) for there to be most goals in this game, I think it's worth a nibble.

Great Call Djlion
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Old 11-05-2008, 16:32   #55 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Great Call Djlion
Thanks! Never expected there to be 9 goals though! Especially when there was only 2 at half time! Was nervous as there was a lot of goals in other games but now just waiting for my winnings to be credited to account so I know how much I have to party with!
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Old 12-05-2008, 08:08   #56 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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Thanks DJ for the info on Boro/MC, I agree there will be a few goals scored in it.

MC are resting their first choice keeper and playing their reserve. I can't see City wanting to pick up any bookings etc. Boro have scored 4 goals in their last 2 games, first time this season I think.

I have taken 3pts@15.0.
42pt profit - didn't bother with each way.

I also won 50pts on Boro in Corals antepost relegation mini table at 2/1.

I hope punters took them on ht/ft as suggested at 13/5.
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Old 12-05-2008, 21:33   #57 (permalink)
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Default Re: England: Premier May 11

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42pt profit - didn't bother with each way.

I also won 50pts on Boro in Corals antepost relegation mini table at 2/1.

I hope punters took them on ht/ft as suggested at 13/5.
Good to know that you followed my tip to profit!

Best way to end the season!!
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