England: Premier 29-30 Jan

[aliando]

Tuesday 29 January 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Arsenal v Newcastle Utd (19:45GMT)	17/50	23/5	21/2	101%	Details »
Hide « Arsenal v Newcastle Utd
Bolton v Fulham (19:45GMT)	1/1	13/5	7/2	100%	Details »
Hide « Bolton v Fulham
Middlesbrough v Wigan (19:45GMT)	99/100	13/5	33/10	101%	Details »
Hide « Middlesbrough v Wigan
Sunderland v Birmingham City (20:00GMT)	141/100	12/5	23/10	101%	Details »
Hide « Sunderland v Birmingham City
Wednesday 30 January 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Chelsea v Reading (19:45GMT)	1/4	26/5	33/2	102%	Details »
Hide « Chelsea v Reading
Derby County v Manchester City (19:45GMT)	23/5	29/10	37/50	101%	Details »
Hide « Derby County v Manchester City
Everton v Tottenham (19:45GMT)	3/2	47/20	9/4	101%	Details »
Hide « Everton v Tottenham
West Ham v Liverpool (19:45GMT)	16/5	13/5	1/1	102%	Details »
Hide « West Ham v Liverpool
Manchester United v Portsmouth (20:00GMT)	27/100	41/10	89/10	108%	Details »
Hide « Manchester United v Portsmouth
Manchester Utd v Portsmouth (20:00GMT)	3/10	21/5	15/1	102%	Details »

[Djslutmonkey]

Now, I realise that Man Utd are worthy favourites for this game, but Pompey are a useful team, and very good away from home. They drew with United earlier in the season too, and have just brought in Baros on loan. I don't particularly rate him, but it gives them options.

Now, at Betfair you can get 5/1 on the draw, and an incredible 17/1 on the away win. I realise that the most likely outcome is a home win, and that certainly an away win is very unlikely, but I feel 17/1 is slightly to big for a team as good as Pompey, and I think 5/1 is WAY too big for the draw.

The big sticking points at the moment are the missing African players for Pompey and the fact that Ronaldo will be gagging to get one over on them after getting sent off late in the draw earlier in the season. Evens for him as an any time goalscorer is tempting too.

[aliando]

Originally Posted by Djslutmonkey

Now, I realise that Man Utd are worthy favourites for this game, but Pompey are a useful team, and very good away from home. They drew with United earlier in the season too, and have just brought in Baros on loan. I don't particularly rate him, but it gives them options.

Now, at Betfair you can get 5/1 on the draw, and an incredible 17/1 on the away win. I realise that the most likely outcome is a home win, and that certainly an away win is very unlikely, but I feel 17/1 is slightly to big for a team as good as Pompey, and I think 5/1 is WAY too big for the draw.

The big sticking points at the moment are the missing African players for Pompey and the fact that Ronaldo will be gagging to get one over on them after getting sent off late in the draw earlier in the season. Evens for him as an any time goalscorer is tempting too.

looks like betfair go 2.00 for pompey +1.5 AH and bet365 go 1.88 for +1.75 - not too sure where to stand here personally atm, but these did seem a little generous, as I agree that man utd shouldnt have that easy a run here....

[DJ]

My money would be on the treble of Manchester United, Arsenal and Chelsea; three home sides with good home form up against teams that either don't have good H2H results, are on bad form, missing players or all three.

I think that Portsmouth are missing their midfield contingent of Muntari, Utaka and Diop and without those three they won't have a midfield to compete. Manchester United are playing great football and played some good attacking football against Spurs today. I think this game will end with a score similar to 2-0 to the hosts.

Arsenal beat Newcastle 3-0 in the FA Cup, so will so much change in just a matter of days? I doubt it! Arsenal have too much going forward for a Newcastle side who can't defend and are managed by the non defensive Kevin Keegan. Add in the fact again that Newcastle haven't scored in their last 2 games and it will prove tough for Newcastle to get anything out of the game.

Chelsea have looked very solid lately and have been really picking up the points. With Anelka having scored his first against Wigan at the weekend, who would really back against another goal from him? Reading also can't travel and have shipped this season 13 goals in 2 away fixtures to Spurs and Portsmouth, 2 sides who can't defend as well as Chelsea and yet still ended up beating Reading.

[the mighty rams]

Man City is tasty odds for an away win at Derby. Were in a dire situation at the moment, booing certain players every time they touch the ball because they couldn't care less and players going off faking injury because they are that out of their depth.

City arnt in the best of form of late, especially away from home, but what a game to get it back on track!

Unless we sign a few quality centre backs before then. we WILL lose this game.

DERBY V MAN CITY- CITY AWAY WIN 4/6

[MartyMcG_1967]

I know the odds are crap, but I can't see past a Man Utd, Arsenal, Chelsea treble at nearly evens.

Newcastle are a poor side right now and Arsenal just have far too much firepower for them. I know Pompie have a good away record but with players missing at the African Nations such as Muntari and Utaka I think they will struggle here. Avram Grant has Chelsea rolling along nicely right now and Reading have yet to win away from home and don't have the best of defensive records, you'd fancy Anelka to score on his full home debut.

Adebayor and Ronaldo are also flying and that treble to score anytime could be a good shout also.

[ScottishBhoy87]

Hello all,

I think there are a few bets this week that could be profitable. Firstly, Manchester City away to Derby looks tempting, I know Man City are not the best away from home, (2 4 5) however I do believe they have enough class and power to take all three points from Pride Park here. Derby, lets face it have been woeful this season, and even the introduction of their new signings they still seem far off the class required to stay in the Premiership. Their home form is ( 1 2 8 ) this is the type of form thats kept them nailed to the bottom of the table.


Second bet for me this week involves an in form Middlesbrough against a pretty ordinary Wigan. Wigan were second best in their match with Chelsea at the weekend, Only when the Londeners went two goals to the good did we see any kind of fight and creativity from Wigan. For me I think the Boro will have enough to take all three from this game.

My final thoughts are on the Everton V Tottenham game, I think this game could go either way with two teams playing really well at the moment and I think for this reason I might have a small stakes bet on the draw at 3.25

Good Luck with all bets

[SaberBlade83]

ARSENAL-NEWCASTLE

Arsenal beat Newcastle a few days ago in the FA Cup with 3-0. Newcastle stood up well in the 1st half but were pretty much outplayed in the 2nd. They didn't create much, best chance was a shot cleared of the line by Clichy. There are doubts over Rosicky, but Arsenal should otherwise be full strenght apart from the ANC players. Newcastle will be boosted by Viduka, Emre and Barton.

Newcastle did well in the 1st half in the cup, but Arsenal slowly took over the game. The visitors create very little going forward (2 shots, only 1 on target), and while Viduka will surly be a boost for them, I can't see them scoring. There are a few bets that interest me with Adebayor on fire and with Newcastle's lack of chances in mind.

Score prediction: 2-0

Pick 1: Newcastle NOT to score - 1,95 @ Betsafe (4/10)
Pick 2: ADEBAYOR to score anytime - 2,30 @ Unibet (2/10)
Pick 3: ADEBAYOR to score 2 goals and Arsenal win 3-0 - 40,00 (0.5/10) ( A little bet for fun! )


BOLTON-FULHAM

I think it's a big chance we might see a very stale contest here. I feel Bolton have lost a lot of power up front with Anelka gone, and they have players in the ANC as well. They haven't conceeded much though and certainly have built up on their defence over the last few months compared to early season. Fulham are in 19th, 5 points adrift. They will hand debuts to Hangeland and Andreasen and Bullard could make his first start in a long time.

Both teams are in the relegation fight. Bolton are currentlyin 15th, only a point away from Sunderland in 18th. While Fulham are in 19th and is in great need of a win if they are not to loose more ground to the clubs above. They won the reverse fixture with 2-1 in August. But I feel both teams won't take to many chances, but also Bolton should be the team to press forward a bit more. A goal to either team could be crucial in the search for survival in the top league. I'm seeing a hard fought 1-0/0-1 win or a 0-0 draw here.

Score prediction: 1-0

Pick 1: Under 2.5 goals - 1,70 @ Expekt (3/10)

[Carl]

Arsenal v Newcastle

Newcastle face another trip to the Emirates in the space of 4 days having beaten them 3-0 in the FA Cup on Saturday. Kevin Keegan's side regularly worried the Gunners early on, with Gael Clichy heading Alan Smith's shot off the line. But Arsenal dominated after the break and took the lead when Adebayor thrashed home a sumptuous strike. The Magpies showed glimpses of the attractive attacking football that Keegan has promised since returning to the club, but were ultimately undone by Adebayor's class.

The victory will have helped lift the mood after last Tuesday night’s 5-1 Carling Cup mauling by bitter rivals, Spurs. It was also an opportunity for Emmanuel Adebayor to mend fences after his unsavoury bust-up with team-mate, Nicklas Bendtner. The striker made amend with two goals against the Geordies, and will look to repeat the dose.

This will be the third game of Kevin Keegan’s return spell as manager of Newcastle, and the attack minded boss is still waiting for his first goal. His first match back in charge generated enormous expectation but fell rather flat as the Magpies drew 0-0 at home to Bolton with out a single shot on target. After the FA Cup defeat, Keegan can forget silverware for this season, and focus of the grim realities of the job in hand. Newcastle lost their last Premiership away match 6-0 at Old Trafford, and he will desperate to avoid another hammering. Arsenal are unbeaten at home this season, and will simply look to repeat Saturday’s performance, but targeting to get ahead earlier.

2007-12-05 Newcastle 1-1 Arsenal 2007-04-09 Newcastle 0-0 Arsenal 2006-11-18 Arsenal 1-1 Newcastle 2005-12-10 Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal 2005-08-14 Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle 2005-01-23 Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle 2004-12-29 Newcastle 0-1 Arsenal 2004-04-11 Newcastle 0-0 Arsenal 2003-09-26 Arsenal 3-2 Newcastle 2003-02-09 Newcastle 1-1 Arsenal 2002-11-09 Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle

Arsenal 2-0. I know Newcastle come into this off a 3-0 defeat to the Gunners but I think they will have learned their lesson and as past league matches have gone this could be an UNDERS match.

Even money at StanJames for the Unders.

[Carl]

Bolton v Fulham
Bolton manager Gary Megson has a fully-fit squad to choose from for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Fulham at the Reebok Stadium.

Gretar Steinsson and Matt Taylor made their debuts at Newcastle in the Trotters' last outing on January 19 and should feature again.
El-Hadji Diouf and Abdoulaye Meite are still away on African Nations Cup duty while Gary Cahill's move from Aston Villa is unlikely to be completed in time for the defender to feature.

New signings Leon Andreasen and Brede Hangeland will go straight into the Fulham squad to face Bolton.
Hangeland could be included in Roy Hodgson's starting line-up in place of the suspended Dejan Stefanovic.
Midfielder Jimmy Bullard could be handed his first Premier League start since recovering from his knee operation.

2007-08-15 Fulham 2-1 Bolton 2007-02-11 Bolton 2-1 Fulham 2006-08-23 Fulham 1-1 Bolton 2006-02-26 Bolton 2-1 Fulham 2005-11-27 Fulham 2-1 Bolton 2005-04-09 Bolton 3-1 Fulham 2004-08-21 Fulham 2-0 Bolton 2004-05-15 Bolton 0-2 Fulham 2003-12-06 Fulham 2-1 Bolton 2003-01-11 Bolton 0-0 Fulham

Bolton will want to build on a hard earned point at Newcastle whilst Fulham continue fight near the foot of the table and will not relish a trip to the Reebok

Fulham (from): Niemi, Volz, Konchesky, Hangeland, Hughes, Andreasen, Bocanegra, Seol, Healy, Smertin, Davis, Bullard, Murphy, Davies, Dempsey, Warner, Baird, Brown, Milsom, Leijer.

Trotters (from): Jaaskelainen, Hunt, J O'Brien, A O'Brien, Gardner, Michalik, Steinsson, Taylor, Campo, Cohen, Guthrie, Nolan, Davies, Giannakopoulos, McCann, Samuel, Wilhelmsson, Braaten, Alonso, Al Habsi.

Bolton win 2-1.

Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10 with BetDirect is slightly better than 4/5 for the win.

[Carl]

Sunderland v Birmingham
New boys Phil Bardsley and Rade Prica could be handed debuts in Sunderland's Premier League clash with Birmingham on Tuesday.

The former Manchester United full-back and the Swedish striker, a £2million capture from Danish club Aalborg, may both figure against Alex McLeish's side at the Stadium of Light.

Michael Chopra is suspended, while Danny Higginbotham and Grant Leadbitter (both broken toe), Ross Wallace (knee ligaments), Kieran Richardson (hamstring), Carlos Edwards (broken leg) and Dickson Etuhu (international duty) will all be missing.

James McFadden is poised to make his full Birmingham debut.
McFadden, a £5million signing from Everton, came on as a late substitute in the single-goal defeat against Chelsea 10 days ago.

On-loan Argentinian striker Mauro Zarate is poised to be part of the 16 after impressing in training following his switch from Qatar club Al Sadd.
However, David Murphy is still building up his general fitness following his move from Hibernian and is unlikely to feature against the Black Cats.

2007-08-15 Birmingham 2-2 Sunderland 2007-02-20 Birmingham 1-1 Sunderland 2006-08-09 Sunderland 0-1 Birmingham 2006-02-25 Birmingham 1-0 Sunderland 2005-11-26 Sunderland 0-1 Birmingham 2003-04-12 Birmingham 2-0 Sunderland 2002-11-23 Sunderland 0-1 Birmingham

Draw @ 9/4 with Bet365

[lunatism]

Event	ARSENAL v Newcastle United FC
Selection	ARSENAL
Strength	7/10
Date	29/01/2008
Bookmaker/Price	BetandWin @ 1.30 (Back)
Reasoning	why not take a look at my thread

[Wanderer89]

Looking at past results and the situation of things with the sunderland vs birmingham game could also und up unders along with bolton vs fulham.

Oh yeay and MartyMcG you can get a man u, chelsea and liverpool win at 21/10 with labrokes

[Football-Tipper]

Watch all tonights 4 EPL games here live and FREE

LINK

[blackcrow]

Arsenal -1.5
Arsenal come into this game with very good recent form. They have 7 winis 2 draws and 1 loss form their last 10 games including 3 home wins and a draw. They have scored 26 goals and conceded only 8 in their 12 home games.
Newcastle on the contrary have poor form with 4 losses and a draw in their last 5 games including 3 losses away from home. Their last away defeat was to Man Utd where they lost 6-0.
Arsenal recently defeated Newcastle 3-0 in the FA Cup and there is nothing to suggest that there will be a different scoreline here.

Bolton
Both teams have poor overall form but of the two, Bolton have the better recent form with wins in 4 of their 5 home games. Fulham on the other hand, 3 draws and 7 losses in their 10 games. They have only scored 7 away goals. Bolton have won their last 3 home games against Fulham who have not won in 28 away games.

Middlesbrough under 2.5
Boro have gone under in their last 4 games inclduing their last 2 at home while Wigan have gone under in 4 of their last 6 games, as well as under in 4 of their lasdt 5 away teams. Two teams who struggle to score but both realise 3 points will be very important, so look to whoever scores first to try to close the game up and play very conservative. Their last 3 games against each other have gone under too.

Sunderland under 2.5
Sunderland have show that they are tough to beat at home and would have a better home record if they could put their chances away. They have gone under in their last 3 games as well as 3 of their last 5 at home.
Birmingham have 2 draws and 2 losses in their games and each has gone under. They too have struggled to score goals and this game is another where if a team scores first then they will look to protect the lead rather than go with for a second, as 3 points will make a huge difference to their position on the table.

[MartyMcG_1967]

Originally Posted by Wanderer89

Looking at past results and the situation of things with the sunderland vs birmingham game could also und up unders along with bolton vs fulham.

Oh yeay and MartyMcG you can get a man u, chelsea and liverpool win at 21/10 with labrokes

Cheers mate but it was the Man Utd, Chelsea and Arsenal treble i was looking at, I can't trust Liverpool the way they have been playing at Upton Park that looks a tight game.

[HenryHill]

I have been quite impressed with Spurs recently and think Everton are missing Yakubu and going through a little blip. Cahill is suspended for the game to make things worse.

Spurs look decent value and will be my only Premiership Bet of the week.

[Alcoholic]

Man Utd. Vidic is a doubt, but should have enough cover at the back to prevent Pompey from being a threat. Utd are unstoppable, probo the best team in England at the moment. They should win comfortable.

Chelsea should dispose of reading in a proffesional manner and claim all 3 points here. Chelsea hot on the tails of Man U and Arsenal, will see this as 3 points in the bag and I dont have any doubts either.

MAn Utd, Chelsea Double @1.55 Stake 10/10

[SecondSight]

Boro/Wigan

Wigan have definetely improved under Bruce and have been busy strengthening again in the January window with their benefactors money. In December I would have quite fancied Boro for the win. Today I think there are in for very tough game. Boro have Tuncay and O'Neill returning from the weekend. Mido is likely to start on the bench for the first time in the EPL since beginning of October. Downing will start. Pogatetz is likely to miss out so I think young Grounds will play left back as he did against Liverpool. Lee Gook, Cattermole and Johnson likely to stand down from Mansfiled starting line up.

My odds

Boro 47%
Draw 27%
Wigan 26%

Thuis there is a bit of value on Wigan at 3/1 and above.

I agree with Blackcrow more than average chance of unders.

[chala]

Middlesbrough v Wigan

Can't help but feel Wigan could be in with a shout in this one. Just 2 points separate the sides in the league, and Boro seem to have a habit of performing well when their underdogs, but poorly when favourites. I'd imagine a pretty poor crowd, for what will most likely be a scrappy game.

Wigan will hope the signing of Marlon King will give them a boost in front of goal, and it will certainly give Heskey some much needed help up front.

5pts on Wigan -0.25 AH @ 3.68 - betfair

(Wigan 4.28pts @ 4.3 & Draw 0.72pts @ 3.45)

Sunderland v Birmingham

Quite fancy Sunderland in this one. They are a bit of an inconsistent side, but on their day, they will give most a game. Birmingham have had some real tough fixtures recently and have to be respected for their narrow defeats against Chelsea and Man Utd and their very credible draw against Arsenal. I wonder however, how much this has taken out of the side, and whether they may just take their eye off the ball tonight. Keane has a new stiker in the form of Prida to help out Jones, and if their last home performance against Pompey is anything to go by, I would expect a strong showing tonight.

10pts on Sunderland @ 2.30 Betfair