England - Conference (Oct 9-10) - The Punters Lounge

davidmphill · 08-10-2006, 10:38

Monday 9 October 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Woking v Aldershot (19:45 BST)	2.34	3.55	3.35	101%
Tuesday 10 October 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Altrincham v Morecambe (19:45 BST)	2.30	3.40	2.75	110%
Crawley Town v Weymouth (19:45 BST)	2.62	3.25	2.60	108%
Dagenham v St Albans City (19:45 BST)	1.50	3.75	7.00	108%
Exeter v Northwich (19:45 BST)	1.61	3.75	5.50	107%
Forest Green v Burton Albion (19:45 BST)	2.87	3.30	2.37	108%
Gravesend v Stafford Rangers (19:45 BST)	1.72	3.50	5.00	107%
Kidderminster v Oxford Utd (19:45 BST)	4.33	3.50	1.83	107%
Rushden v Halifax (19:45 BST)	2.00	3.40	3.60	108%
Southport v Stevenage (19:45 BST)	2.60	3.40	2.50	108%
Tamworth v Grays Athletic (19:45 BST)	2.75	3.40	2.30	110%
York v Cambridge Utd (19:45 BST)	1.61	3.50	5.00	111%

Setup · 09-10-2006, 09:11

Aldershot 2X worth a try?

Djordje · 09-10-2006, 12:31

My percentages for this match are 0.39-0.30-0.31, and while offer for Woking ~2.20-2.30 is surely something lay punters could think about, price for Shots @3.20 looks just about fair.

I'll go for Aldershot DNB @2.37 coral which is great price in my opinion.

Aldershot have few missings for this match, but I wont pretend those names mean something to me

Woking are maybe in better form lately when you look at results only, but when you take into account who they faced this season so far and their oppoenents were usually bottom teable strugglers or midtable mediocre sides, I think they will have some problems against Shots.

Shots had also great record at Woking over last couple of seasons.

godmato · 09-10-2006, 12:45

You're wright Djordje. Let's not forget last season and the season before when Shots won both away games with the same score 2-1.
If the Shots scores more than one goal it will be an over 2.5 here again. At this moment is the best i can think of.

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 13:04

Dagenham v St Albans

Daggers are going great guns right now having notched 6 home league wins in a row since losing their first home match of the season to leaders Oxford. Goals have flowed of late and confidence should be hgh. New boys St Albans started well but since winning 3-0 at Northwich they've not won in 7 games now. The 2 sides below them in the table they played last time out and drew both matches. A big step up in class from that here and this looks a strong home win.

Dagenham @ 1.5 betfred

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 13:08

Forest Green v Burton

Forest Green had recovered lately following a slow start with Jimmy Harvey now at the helm. They came crashing down on Saturday as leaders Oxford beat them 5-1 at home. That result ended a 5 game unbeaten run. Nigel Cloughs Burton side are on an incredible unbeaten run at the moment. Following their 0-0 draw at Woking they stretched that run to 9 games to put themselves forward as potential play off contenders.

Burton DNB @ 1.66 bet365

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 13:13

Gravesend v Stafford

Stafford started life in the Conference amazingly winning 3 and drawing 1 out their first 4 games. However since that start they've not won in the next 10 games. Gravesend's recent form of 1 loss in 11 has propelled them into a place just outside the playoff zone. A win here will help build confidence that they warrant a place come the end of the season. Momentum is with the home side out of the 2 and they have a good chance of a win here.

Gravesend @ 1.72 betfred

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 13:16

Kidderminster v Oxford

Oxford look by far the strongest side in this division. Jim Smiths side have taken the division by storm and they sit comfortably at the head of it. Unbeaten thus far despite Southports efforts the other week they've only dropped points in 3 of their games. Striker Rob Duffy's been in great form of late and got another 3 goals at the weekend at Forest Green.

Oxford @ 1.83 skybet

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 13:18

Tamworth v Grays

Tamworths run of results of late makes this look a fairly safe bet. They've gone 7 games without a win now since back to back wins in early September. Goals seem to be hard to come by for them with them just scoring in 1 game out of their last 5. Grays lost last time out but if they can recapture their early away season form then they can get back on track here with a much needed result.

Grays DNB @ 1.72 sporting odds

Bedlam · 09-10-2006, 18:42

Quote:

Originally Posted by davidmphill

Dagenham v St Albans

Daggers are going great guns right now having notched 6 home league wins in a row since losing their first home match of the season to leaders Oxford. Goals have flowed of late and confidence should be hgh. New boys St Albans started well but since winning 3-0 at Northwich they've not won in 7 games now. The 2 sides below them in the table they played last time out and drew both matches. A big step up in class from that here and this looks a strong home win.

Dagenham @ 1.5 betfred

I like the look of this one too.. St Albans manager Colin Lippiatt is without Matt Hann, Ram Marwa, Gary Elphick, Ben Martin & Scott Cousins through injury. Daggers are still without defender Tim Cole. 1.5 looks value to me!

Bedlam · 09-10-2006, 18:59

Quote:

Originally Posted by davidmphill

Forest Green v Burton

Forest Green had recovered lately following a slow start with Jimmy Harvey now at the helm. They came crashing down on Saturday as leaders Oxford beat them 5-1 at home. That result ended a 5 game unbeaten run. Nigel Cloughs Burton side are on an incredible unbeaten run at the moment. Following their 0-0 draw at Woking they stretched that run to 9 games to put themselves forward as potential play off contenders.

Burton DNB @ 1.66 bet365

Forest Green are without striker Allan Russell through suspension. On loan striker Charlie Griffin is also out with a head injury, plus Jamie Pitman & Adriano Rigolioso are both doubtful. I can't see Burton losing this game, so 1.66 DNB indeed looks value David, but so does the 2.37 available with skybet for the Burton win. I'm torn!

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 19:10

Cheers for the back up Bedlam.
Just starting a new system which I'm hoping will provide plenty of winners in all leagues Worldwide!! Ooooooh!!

Bedlam · 09-10-2006, 19:23

Good luck with that David, sound great! You're under pressure now! will watch with interest!!

davidmphill · 09-10-2006, 19:25

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bedlam

Good luck with that David, sound great! You're under pressure now! will watch with interest!!

Hmm, only time will tell.
It has served me well in the past, just tweaked it a touch to eliminate riskier games!

godmato · 09-10-2006, 19:50

Does anyone knows where i can find real time stats about the game tonight in Conference?

Thanx!

kevshat · 09-10-2006, 19:57

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...xt/default.stm

godmato · 09-10-2006, 20:01

Thanx mate!

Sporting1906/2006 · 10-10-2006, 00:27

davidmphill do you usually pick those teams and place several bets or just bet on them together?

godmato · 10-10-2006, 09:12

St Albans travel to Dag&Red without 5 players (Matt Hann, Ram Marwa, Gary Elphick, Ben Martin and Scott Cousins. 2nd place Dag&Red are missing only Lee Goodwin.

Dag&Red will try to win this match to keep the promotion alive, considering that Oxford will have a hard time on tonight's game vs Kidderminster and reduce Oxford's advantage.

St Albans will try to defend and score on counter attack, but if Dag&Red get an early goal it will be time for more!

GL

godmato · 10-10-2006, 09:55

Northwich are in really bad shape winning only one in the last 5 games and that against poor Southport. Now they will play Exeter missing 5 players. Chris Williams, Michael Carr, Carlos Roca and Jon McCarthy are all injured and Kieran Charnock is suspended. No good news for them.

If we take a look at Exeter we see that they are in good form: unbeaten at home unbeaten in the last 5 games. Looking closer will see that Exeter are no big team and just they just try to survive and the key to this is winning against poor sides which seems to be Northwich Tonight

My bet is Exeter.

GL

09-10-2006, 09:11	#2 (permalink)
Setup Junior Punter Join Date: 22 Aug 2006 Posts: 99	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Aldershot 2X worth a try?

09-10-2006, 12:31	#3 (permalink)
Djordje Professor Punter Join Date: 07 Nov 2004 Age: 33 Posts: 5,127	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) My percentages for this match are 0.39-0.30-0.31, and while offer for Woking ~2.20-2.30 is surely something lay punters could think about, price for Shots @3.20 looks just about fair. I'll go for Aldershot DNB @2.37 coral which is great price in my opinion. Aldershot have few missings for this match, but I wont pretend those names mean something to me Woking are maybe in better form lately when you look at results only, but when you take into account who they faced this season so far and their oppoenents were usually bottom teable strugglers or midtable mediocre sides, I think they will have some problems against Shots. Shots had also great record at Woking over last couple of seasons. __________________ System-Bet

09-10-2006, 12:45	#4 (permalink)
godmato Legendary Punter Join Date: 19 Sep 2006 Location: Romania, Bucuresti Posts: 1,370	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) You're wright Djordje. Let's not forget last season and the season before when Shots won both away games with the same score 2-1. If the Shots scores more than one goal it will be an over 2.5 here again. At this moment is the best i can think of. __________________ Peace sells, but who's buying?

09-10-2006, 13:04	#5 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Dagenham v St Albans Daggers are going great guns right now having notched 6 home league wins in a row since losing their first home match of the season to leaders Oxford. Goals have flowed of late and confidence should be hgh. New boys St Albans started well but since winning 3-0 at Northwich they've not won in 7 games now. The 2 sides below them in the table they played last time out and drew both matches. A big step up in class from that here and this looks a strong home win. Dagenham @ 1.5 betfred __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 13:08	#6 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Forest Green v Burton Forest Green had recovered lately following a slow start with Jimmy Harvey now at the helm. They came crashing down on Saturday as leaders Oxford beat them 5-1 at home. That result ended a 5 game unbeaten run. Nigel Cloughs Burton side are on an incredible unbeaten run at the moment. Following their 0-0 draw at Woking they stretched that run to 9 games to put themselves forward as potential play off contenders. Burton DNB @ 1.66 bet365 __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 13:13	#7 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Gravesend v Stafford Stafford started life in the Conference amazingly winning 3 and drawing 1 out their first 4 games. However since that start they've not won in the next 10 games. Gravesend's recent form of 1 loss in 11 has propelled them into a place just outside the playoff zone. A win here will help build confidence that they warrant a place come the end of the season. Momentum is with the home side out of the 2 and they have a good chance of a win here. Gravesend @ 1.72 betfred __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 13:16	#8 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Kidderminster v Oxford Oxford look by far the strongest side in this division. Jim Smiths side have taken the division by storm and they sit comfortably at the head of it. Unbeaten thus far despite Southports efforts the other week they've only dropped points in 3 of their games. Striker Rob Duffy's been in great form of late and got another 3 goals at the weekend at Forest Green. Oxford @ 1.83 skybet __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 13:18	#9 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Tamworth v Grays Tamworths run of results of late makes this look a fairly safe bet. They've gone 7 games without a win now since back to back wins in early September. Goals seem to be hard to come by for them with them just scoring in 1 game out of their last 5. Grays lost last time out but if they can recapture their early away season form then they can get back on track here with a much needed result. Grays DNB @ 1.72 sporting odds __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 19:10	#12 (permalink)
davidmphill 260408 Join Date: 09 Feb 2005 Location: Colorado. Age: 36 Posts: 22,477 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 4	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Cheers for the back up Bedlam. Just starting a new system which I'm hoping will provide plenty of winners in all leagues Worldwide!! Ooooooh!! __________________ Gwlad, gwlad, pleidiol wyf i'm gwlad, Tra mor yn fur i'r bur hoff bau, O bydded i'r heniaith barhau.

09-10-2006, 19:23	#13 (permalink)
Bedlam Enigmatic Punter Join Date: 03 Jan 2005 Posts: 905 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 2	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Good luck with that David, sound great! You're under pressure now! will watch with interest!!

09-10-2006, 19:50	#15 (permalink)
godmato Legendary Punter Join Date: 19 Sep 2006 Location: Romania, Bucuresti Posts: 1,370	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Does anyone knows where i can find real time stats about the game tonight in Conference? Thanx! __________________ Peace sells, but who's buying?

09-10-2006, 19:57	#16 (permalink)
kevshat God Punter Join Date: 06 Oct 2005 Location: Luton Age: 26 Posts: 7,723 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 3	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/foot...xt/default.stm

09-10-2006, 20:01	#17 (permalink)
godmato Legendary Punter Join Date: 19 Sep 2006 Location: Romania, Bucuresti Posts: 1,370	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Thanx mate! __________________ Peace sells, but who's buying?

10-10-2006, 00:27	#18 (permalink)
Sporting1906/2006 Junior Punter Join Date: 13 Aug 2006 Location: Lisbon Age: 29 Posts: 97	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) davidmphill do you usually pick those teams and place several bets or just bet on them together? Last edited by Sporting1906/2006; 10-10-2006 at 00:27.

10-10-2006, 09:12	#19 (permalink)
godmato Legendary Punter Join Date: 19 Sep 2006 Location: Romania, Bucuresti Posts: 1,370	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) St Albans travel to Dag&Red without 5 players (Matt Hann, Ram Marwa, Gary Elphick, Ben Martin and Scott Cousins. 2nd place Dag&Red are missing only Lee Goodwin. Dag&Red will try to win this match to keep the promotion alive, considering that Oxford will have a hard time on tonight's game vs Kidderminster and reduce Oxford's advantage. St Albans will try to defend and score on counter attack, but if Dag&Red get an early goal it will be time for more! GL __________________ Peace sells, but who's buying?

10-10-2006, 09:55	#20 (permalink)
godmato Legendary Punter Join Date: 19 Sep 2006 Location: Romania, Bucuresti Posts: 1,370	Re: England - Conference (Oct 9-10) Northwich are in really bad shape winning only one in the last 5 games and that against poor Southport. Now they will play Exeter missing 5 players. Chris Williams, Michael Carr, Carlos Roca and Jon McCarthy are all injured and Kieran Charnock is suspended. No good news for them. If we take a look at Exeter we see that they are in good form: unbeaten at home unbeaten in the last 5 games. Looking closer will see that Exeter are no big team and just they just try to survive and the key to this is winning against poor sides which seems to be Northwich Tonight My bet is Exeter. GL __________________ Peace sells, but who's buying?