England » Coca-Cola Football League One & Two » Feb 9th

[Spooner]

Tuesday 9 February 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	Brighton & Hove Albion v Huddersfield Town (19:45 GMT)	3.1	3.6	2.42	101.36 %
	Bristol Rovers v Walsall (19:45 GMT)	2.06	3.55	4.1	101.10 %
	Swindon Town v Oldham Athletic (19:45 GMT)	1.71	3.9	5.9	101.07 %
	Gillingham v Tranmere Rovers (19:45 GMT)	2.11	3.5	4.2	99.77 %

Tuesday 9 February 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	Rotherham United v Dagenham & Redbridge (19:45 GMT)	2.01	3.55	4.4	100.65 %
	Shrewsbury Town v Barnet (19:45 GMT)	1.81	3.75	5.3	100.78 %
	Northampton Town v Accrington Stanley (19:45 GMT)	2.28	3.5	3.45	101.42 %
	Cheltenham Town v Burton Albion (19:45 GMT)	2.58	3.5	2.96	101.11 %
	Bury v Macclesfield Town (19:45 GMT)	1.6	4.1	6.8	101.60 %
	AFC Bournemouth v Notts County (19:45 GMT)	3.1	3.45	2.54	100.61 %
	Darlington v Lincoln City (19:45 GMT)	2.88	3.4	2.72	100.90 %
	Port Vale v Chesterfield (19:45 GMT)	2.56	3.4	3	101.81 %

[Spooner]

Gillingham at home to Tranmere looks ideal for the Gills to get back on top, they've struggled recently but Tranmere have been poor for most of the season whilst Gillingham are still decent at home, odds of around 11/10 look ok.

[Charles Drawin]

Originally Posted by Spooner

Gillingham at home to Tranmere looks ideal for the Gills to get back on top, they've struggled recently but Tranmere have been poor for most of the season whilst Gillingham are still decent at home, odds of around 11/10 look ok.

Gills are 1 win in their last 5 homes and that was against Stockport. They lost 4-0 at the weekend against Brentford.

Bear in mind Tranmere's recent form is in stark contrast to when John Barnes was in charge. This is a real 6 pointer with Gills sitting 20th just 3 pts ahead of Tranmere who have a game in hand.

Gills last 11 W1 D5 L5

Tranmere last 11 W4 D4 L3

Gills manager Mark Stimson is really under pressure at the moment, much more than Tranmere's Physio cum Manager Les Parry who has steadied the ship since Barnes exit. I think this is a trickier game than you suggest.

[Charles Drawin]

Cheltenham v Burton

Cheltenham 2 wins in last 20. Those wins were against Barnet who couldn't buy a win up until Saturday and Daggers who are in free fall.

Burton 3 defeats from 11 against teams currently below them. Unbeaten in last 4. Ended Vale's 6 match unbeaten run at the weekend.

My 'David Cameron' approach served me well at the weekend so I'll stick with that here. I have to admit though I am tempted by the 15/8 on offer.

Burton Double Chance 8/15 Generally.

[notoriouspunter]

Colchester -Southend

I bet here on Colchester as Southend has many missings and cant rely on their sold topscorer.
1,6 the odds for Colchester. The Missing and injured players on both sides also make the under 2,5 very likely. Southend dont recieve many goals from the opponents away. Colchesters top scorer had problems during the week. Under @ evens is a nice price !


both bets won Colchester 2:0

[Spooner]

CD, I hadn't looked at the stats it was just off the top of my head (which appears to be unreliable)

Although if were talking home and away form, Gillingham have lost only twice at home all season, Tranmere have only one away once all season to lowly Wycombe.

If they get any shorter than 3/1 at present, then they'd look a decent lay on those terms. Of course the arguement would be Tranmere are a better side now but they lost a 'six pointer' against Oldham on Saturday if my memory is correct..

[Charles Drawin]

Originally Posted by Spooner

CD, I hadn't looked at the stats it was just off the top of my head (which appears to be unreliable)

Although if were talking home and away form, Gillingham have lost only twice at home all season, Tranmere have only one away once all season to lowly Wycombe.

If they get any shorter than 3/1 at present, then they'd look a decent lay on those terms. Of course the arguement would be Tranmere are a better side now but they lost a 'six pointer' against Oldham on Saturday if my memory is correct..

I had a feeling you'd hadn't looked into the stats

You're right about Gills their home and away form is completely diametric. I could have said opposite but I like to use a nice word once in a while
Of course it would be an understatement to say Tranmere have it all to prove away from home. However they did get a decent 1-1 at Charlton in their last away. Of course if this ends a draw the lay will be the correct call.

[kulikTS]

What do you think about double- Swindon and Shrewsbury ? thx for any info

[bookies worst enemy]

Luvly Early goal Colchester

[Jase82]

Originally Posted by Charles Drawin

Gills are 1 win in their last 5 homes and that was against Stockport. They lost 4-0 at the weekend against Brentford.

Bear in mind Tranmere's recent form is in stark contrast to when John Barnes was in charge. This is a real 6 pointer with Gills sitting 20th just 3 pts ahead of Tranmere who have a game in hand.

Gills last 11 W1 D5 L5

Tranmere last 11 W4 D4 L3

Gills manager Mark Stimson is really under pressure at the moment, much more than Tranmere's Physio cum Manager Les Parry who has steadied the ship since Barnes exit. I think this is a trickier game than you suggest.

Gills are still worth taking when their odds are over 2 against sides that are generally to be considered bottom half. Tranmere have been worse than poor all season, and the only reason the odds on the Gills are set at over two is because of the stats you provide on the results they are picking up. If we look closer, they've only lost to Brentford at home in the league since August. That game against Brentford could be considered a Boxing Day mishap.

They should have beaten Walsall at home last time out too. They had more of the play. (based on the stats) Simeon Jackson missed quite a few.

[bookies worst enemy]

Originally Posted by notoriouspunter

Colchester -Southend

I bet here on Colchester as Southend has many missings and cant rely on their sold topscorer.
1,6 the odds for Colchester. The Missing and injured players on both sides also make the under 2,5 very likely. Southend dont recieve many goals from the opponents away. Colchesters top scorer had problems during the week. Under @ evens is a nice price !


both bets won Colchester 2:0

Had Colchester 7/4 HT/FT what a nice price

[bookies worst enemy]

Brighton +1 6/10

This bet looks good things, Huddersfield poor travelers,to make matters worst this is a long journey down south. Brighton have a hard run of home fixtures but have played some decent football.

The least i can see from this match is Brighton getting a draw if they can't complete the win

Swindon 4/6 - I expect them to return to winning ways after there recent draws

[Charles Drawin]

Originally Posted by Jase82

Gills are still worth taking when their odds are over 2 against sides that are generally to be considered bottom half. Tranmere have been worse than poor all season, and the only reason the odds on the Gills are set at over two is because of the stats you provide on the results they are picking up. If we look closer, they've only lost to Brentford at home in the league since August. That game against Brentford could be considered a Boxing Day mishap.

They should have beaten Walsall at home last time out too. They had more of the play. (based on the stats) Simeon Jackson missed quite a few.

Tranmere's 3 defeats in their last 11 isn't bad going so saying they've been worse than poor all season is a slight exaggeration. Allow them some credit. In addition, 2 of those 3 defeats were away to Saints and Dons. Also that recent record includes away draws at Huddersfield and Charlton who both have been in better form and have better home records than Gills. I feel there's enough potential in the current stats to suggest this might not be a cakewalk for Gills.

[Jase82]

Originally Posted by Charles Drawin

Tranmere's 3 defeats in their last 11 isn't bad going so saying they've been worse than poor all season is a slight exaggeration. Allow them some credit. In addition, 2 of those 3 defeats were away to Saints and Dons. Also that recent record includes away draws at Huddersfield and Charlton who both have been in better form and have better home records than Gills. I feel there's enough potential in the current stats to suggest this might not be a cakewalk for Gills.

One win away from home all season says it all really. I consider the Huddersfield game a one off.

Tranmere scored courtesy of an own goal, and Charlton battered them for most the game. I think this is also a game that Tranmere may feel they can get something from, so that may work in the Gills favour.

Both Huddersfield and Charlton only have marginally better home records than Gillingham. Only two losses is superb for a current bottom six side. For both fixtures, Charlton and Huddersfield were priced up around 1.30 - 1.45. Now is the time to oppose Tranmere when their opposition are not being made a short priced favourite. Even more so, when the side in question are Gillingham.

[Charles Drawin]

Originally Posted by Jase82

One win away from home all season says it all really. I consider the Huddersfield game a one off.

Tranmere scored courtesy of an own goal, and Charlton battered them for most the game. I think this is also a game that Tranmere may feel they can get something from, so that may work in the Gills favour.

Both Huddersfield and Charlton only have marginally better home records than Gillingham. Only two losses is superb for a current bottom six side. For both fixtures, Charlton and Huddersfield were priced up around 1.30 - 1.45. Now is the time to oppose Tranmere when their opposition are not being made a short priced favourite. Even more so, when the side in question are Gillingham.

You're right 2 losses is superb for a bottom 6 side but we're not talking losses, we're talking wins, 1 win in their last 5 homes to be exact. You must admit a team with just 1 win in 11 can't be that high on confidence? I think given their recent results the odds are justified.

[Jase82]

Originally Posted by Charles Drawin

You're right 2 losses is superb for a bottom 6 side but we're not talking losses, we're talking wins, 1 win in their last 5 homes to be exact. You must admit a team with just 1 win in 11 can't be that high on confidence? I think given their recent results the odds are justified.

True. I don't think Simeon Jackson can be too confident right now, but Tranmere are not a great side, and the home side will always get my favour anyway in these circumstances. I mean, when there is so much at stake. This is a relegation six pointer. Either way, I think you'd be safe laying Tranmere.

[Charles Drawin]

Well I never said laying Tranmere wasn't out of the question earlier in the thread just that I wasn't prepared to back Gills on the outright win which you were according to your earlier posts. My question is are you recommending laying Tranmere or backing Gills outright?

[willie82]

Fancy Notts County at 6/4, they are on good form at the moment and scoring a lot of goals Bourmouth seem to be hitting a bit of a sticky patch with quite a few draws lately. I think 6/4 is worth a go

[Jase82]

Originally Posted by Charles Drawin

Well I never said laying Tranmere wasn't out of the question earlier in the thread just that I wasn't prepared to back Gills on the outright win which you were according to your earlier posts. My question is are you recommending laying Tranmere or backing Gills outright?

Both. Either. Makes no difference to me, but I as I've said, I still feel the odds are worth taking on Gillingham.

But that would be for pure value, and given the recent discussions over value, it might not be what some punters want.

[Jase82]

Sportingbet are offering 1.75 for Under 2.5 goals for Gillingham V Tranmere.

That is a bit of a gift in all honesty.

Gillingham have only conceded seven home goals all season, which is better than Leeds, at the top of League One.

Tranmere's top goalscorer is defender Ian Moore. They've only hit seven goals all season away from home, which is the worst in the league. Now, whilst Tranmere have conceded twenty eight goals away from home, Gillingham have only scored three in their last six, and have only hit four in their last six home fixtures. Three of which came in a demolition job over struggling Stockport.