UEFA Cup 6th December

[frankcastle]

Hello everyone!

Another day of Uefa group matches and the same goes for today (as did yesterday). Don't expect all matches to go Over 2.5. There are a couple that have the potential to go Over, and I think some of you have hit on it.

I'm gonna try and get as much info on the Austria-Panionios game as I can because there could be the possibility of an upset away win. Panionios has come off a couple bad results but all-in-all has a very good team, and Austria is unlikely to qualify for the next round...even with a win today (with a win, they'll be level with Galatasaray).

The Leverkusen game might go Over 2.5, but again, it's a risk with these group phase matches.

I'll try and check back in later if I have any important info.

[kojic2003]

Red Star Belgrade(2.40) to beat Bolton Wanderers
It was a clear NO BET game in the beginning, but due to all the mentioned reasons, the home win looks worth of shot!In Koroman, Milijas, Milovanovic and now Mauricio Molina, Red Star have got four outstanding match-winners who’re capable of scoring out of nothing(well, Red Star are actually living on the back of Koroman and Milijas throughout the whole season)!Red Star captain Milovanovic is only 22-23 years old, but he made his debut in the Euro Cups 5-6 years ago, with a cracking 25-meter strike in Verona, against a very strong Chievo side!The guy has a massive experience, already with lots of ups and downs in his career, so he’s also another one to watch in tonight’s match…He was also a pure star of U21 side in the last three European Championships U21(2 Finals and 1 Semi-final), having proved once again how powerful shots he has, with a great 20-meter strike for a 1:0 win over strong Italy U21(Chielini, Pazzini, Montolivo, Rosina,…)!He was on the bench with Kosanovic in charge, but now under new coach Jankovic he’s back into the starting lineup, with two cracking goals in the last three matches(3rd Goal: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hCnlGQrAC4 , 1st Goal: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ST8cgJj0M3U )!


Sparta Prague +1(2.25) to beat Bayer Leverkusen
The handicap is way too high IMO!Bayer Leverkusen did pick up some form recently, but every now and then they look like they’re turning things around, but all of sudden they f*ck you up in style, so IMO they’re not to be trusted at all.At least not yet…Bayer Leverkusen always prefer high-tempo football, so they’ll surely be looking to make some enormous pressure on Sparta from very first minute, but also the fact is that Bayer Leverkusen, in fact most of their players(Schneider, Barnetta, Ramelow, Freier, Rolfes, etc…), are very predictable and once you read their game they start looking very impotent up front.Also, one must admit that most of their wins in the recent weeks were against struggling sides, like Arminia, Duisburg, Toulouse,…,who’re more or less the level(maybe even weaker) of Sparta Prague, but surely with less or no confidence at all!I’ve watched Bayer in the UEFA Cup against both Toulouse and Spartak Moscow and there was nothing impressive in them!This is the last match for Sparta and surely they’ll be looking to keep it very tight!Bayer Leverkusen still lack quality defenders and this could be a great chance for Sparta to hit them on the break!

Bayer Leverkusen: Adler – Castro, Friedrich, Haggui, Sarpei – Ramelow, Rolfes – Freier, Barbarez, Barnetta – Kiessling

Sparta Prague: Grigar – Pospech, Repka, Kadlec, Zabavnik – Rezek, Horvarth, Kladrubsky, Kisel – Dolek, Slepicka


Aalborg +1/4(1.99) to beat Getafe
I’m supporting Aalborg since the Qualifying Rounds against the Belgians and Sampdoria, so no reason to stop it now.They’ve pushed Tottenham all the way last week, showing how tough nut to crack they can be and I definitely expect something similar in tonight’s match as the confidence is certainly boosted by a great comeback against Lyngby at the weekend!Rade Prica is enjoying very good season after two horror seasons at Hansa Rostock and he could be a man to watch here!


Bordeaux(1.68) to beat Helsingborg
Helsingborg are through, Bordeaux not, so I find the French side as the motivated one.They need only one point though, maybe not even that, but still they have something to play for or at least they’ll be looking to reach the first place!Generally speaking, the class lies with them, so it’s hard to see Helsingborg, despite some strong finishing so far, outscoring them!

[thebambers]

As with quite a few others I fancy Red Star to turn over Bolton. Wins for Red star of 2-0 and 2-1 are both priced at very reasonable odds of 15/2 on bet365.

Draw - Red star is 4/1 and HT/FT Red star is 5/2

Good luck everyone

[nicko]

Just added for fun a Lucky 15 with bet365 - four anytime goalscorers tonight:
Prica, Pavlyuchenko, Kiessling and Iaquinta, with odds between 2,37 and 3,00, stakes 1/10. If these don't score, then it might be another goal - dry evening. Didn't touch the Bordeaux game on purpose, would be jinx with my Over bet.
Good luck

[grubi10]

What is opinion about Aris ?

[cheops]

ı think aris-braga under2.5

[grubi10]

Originally Posted by cheops

ı think aris-braga under2.5

I think that 1x also look nice..... for 1,35 at local bookies ?

[frankcastle]

grubi10 - Aris is a very strong team this year, and that showed in particular in the draw vs. Bolton. For 93 minutes Aris was superior and should have walked away with all 3 points but was equalized in the last minute by Giannakopoulos (talk about ironic!)

For tonight, I think Aris will have a full house chearing them on and their form is quite good (although they did lose 0-1 to AEK last round in the Greek League)

I don't think this loss will affect them much and I expect a home win. A draw at the very worst, but I think Aris will take the 3 points into next Uefa game against Bayern where they'll be playing for first place.

I don't think Aris will have any significant absenses, although I'll have to give a quick look to team news.

[grubi10]

Originally Posted by frankcastle

grubi10 - Aris is a very strong team this year, and that showed in particular in the draw vs. Bolton. For 93 minutes Aris was superior and should have walked away with all 3 points but was equalized in the last minute by Giannakopoulos (talk about ironic!)

For tonight, I think Aris will have a full house chearing them on and their form is quite good (although they did lose 0-1 to AEK last round in the Greek League)

I don't think this loss will affect them much and I expect a home win. A draw at the very worst, but I think Aris will take the 3 points into next Uefa game against Bayern where they'll be playing for first place.

I don't think Aris will have any significant absenses, although I'll have to give a quick look to team news.

So 1x is my choice....thx

[frankcastle]

1,35 is too low a price for me to bet on. Not too low for 1X in this game, just too low in general because it means you have to wager (risk) much more.

Another motivating factor for Aris is that their coach (Bayevic) was coach at Red Star last year and left the team on bad terms. I'm sure he would like to show his old employers his worth by qualifying with the most points possible while Red Star has to fight it out against Bolton.

[grubi10]

Originally Posted by frankcastle

1,35 is too low a price for me to bet on. Not too low for 1X in this game, just too low in general because it means you have to wager (risk) much more.

Another motivating factor for Aris is that their coach (Bayevic) was coach at Red Star last year and left the team on bad terms. I'm sure he would like to show his old employers his worth by qualifying with the most points possible while Red Star has to fight it out against Bolton.

Well, that's my way of play.... I put it in combo with Leverkusen and Bordoux to score and I have acceptable 1,6....

[grubi10]

But, anyway, thx for your suggestions....

[Football-Tipper]

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Football Tipper

[Football-Tipper]

Tonights bets

Bolton require something from this game and I can see them scrapping for every ball thus leaving the odd foot in every now and again, bookings look a good bet
Over 45 points @ 1/1 VCBet

Bordeaux will want top spot which will mean a 3rd place team in the next round and also avoid a Champions League drop out team so I fully expect a easy win here from a team in fine form at home domesticly

Bordeaux -1 to win @ 7/4 Bet365

Football Tipper

[slipkid]

Anderlecht v Tottenham away win for me for 5/4 @ hills. Robbie Keane is in and will be fired up to get something before he starts his 3-match Premiership ban. Spurs have been fairly solid in this competion so far with the obvious slip up being against Getafe. I don't want to talk about league form too much as this is a whole different game!

[aliando]

i've just snatched at the 1.99 on offer for over 2.5 goals on betfair on the spurs game.

spurs have managed just 11 clean sheets in all competitions since the beginning of november LAST year - 2 of those against cardiff, and one against blackpool in the FA Cup! Anderlecht are generally amassing a minimum of 2 goals a game in most of their home matches for some time now.

imo, these odds are extremely good value!


5pts - over 2,5 goals anderlecht-spurs

[Football-Tipper]

Originally Posted by aliando

i've just snatched at the 1.99 on offer for over 2.5 goals on betfair on the spurs game.

spurs have managed just 11 clean sheets in all competitions since the beginning of november LAST year - 2 of those against cardiff, and one against blackpool in the FA Cup! Anderlecht are generally amassing a minimum of 2 goals a game in most of their home matches for some time now.

imo, these odds are extremely good value!


5pts - over 2,5 goals anderlecht-spurs

7 out of 8 finished <2.5 last night and so far today its 2 from 2 <2.5 I would not be so sure of this bet aliando...

[ScottishBhoy87]

[quote=ScottishBhoy87;945804

Just thought I would give the odds for all the games tonight.


Personally I quiet like the look of Spartak Moscow at home to Zurich. I remember Spartak from their Champions League qualifing clash with Celtic, they were very impressive. They matched everything Celtic put to them and eventually after two 1-1 draws went out on penalities.
Their domestic form wasnt bad this season either finishing 2nd in the premier liga 2 points behind winners Zenit. The game tonight will be played in Moscow and the artificial pitch along with the freezing temperatures will surely work in the Russians favour.

Zurich are currently second in their domestic league...however I believe the Russian league to be superior to the Swiss league.

In the uefa cup group, Spartak sit 2nd behind Zurich after 2 games. I feel the Russians will want to win this game to put them top of the league.


Good luck all [/quote]


Got them in running also at 2.10, never seen the game so dunno if they deserved it but whocares

[Football-Tipper]

Was a very open game

[malcolmas]

Originally Posted by Football-Tipper

7 out of 8 finished <2.5 last night and so far today its 2 from 2 <2.5 I would not be so sure of this bet aliando...

But don't forget your talking about a very weak defensive team who have tried to outscore their opponents rather than keep a clean sheet.