Sweden: Lower leagues 29/8 - 2/9

[G:G]

Div.2 Mell. Götaland, Motala - Myresjö, 29/8

Motala -1 (ah) @ 2.14 and over 3 @ 1.89 (Pinny)
1st placed Motala destroys all opposition atm, six straight wins, goal difference 27-6, a convincing record to say the least. It includes an away win 5-1 to 2nd placed Sleipner and a 4-0 win at home to form team Linköping. Motala will be motivated, they are five points ahead of Sleipner, so no time to relax as there's still 6 mathces left to play. Myresjö can't go anywhere, the won't be relegated, and they are 11 points behind Motala. Last five 2-1-2, a dissapointing away loss last round, 2-3, vs 11th placed Ljungby, ruined their chances at promotion this season. Motala with form, class and motivation on their side hould cower this line, and over 3 looks very likely, not only Motala's record points towards many goals, Myresjö's awayrecord is 4-0-4 14-16. Motala have played 16 matches so far, 10 of these went over, four would have ended with push, only two under. 4 out of Myresjö's last five ended over, the fifth push.

[G:G]

1-1 , huge let down, I really liked this one
Still time to make this week profitable though.

[G:G]

Div.2 M.Götaland, Kenty - Sleipner, 1/9

Sleipner @ 1.75 (Ladbrokes)
2nd placed Sleipner are 6 points behind Motala with one match less played, 7th placed Kenty are 3 points ahead of 10th place, spot that means having to play qualifiers to stay in this division. Sleipner's awayrecord: 5-2-1 18-9, last five: 3-1-1. Kenty's homerecord: 5-1-2 9-5, last five: 2-2-1. Ok, both teams with good form, Kenty strong at home, but there's a clear difference in capacity between these teams, Sleipner can play at a level that Kenty are not capable of, when Sleipner won 3-2 vs Tibro last round they fired away about 30 shots, only ineffiencey and somwehat shaky defence kept the winning margin down. Kenty will miss three important players, not the reason for this bet but it surely adds value.


Div.1 Norra, Skiljebo - Väsby, 2/9

Väsby @ 2.15 (Bet365)
Väsby have ben going through a really tough period, 2 losses and two draws, but last match they won again, a win that may prove very important,1-0 at home to Östersund. Not the toughest opponant and not a very impressing margiin, but still. Väsby's problem have not been their way of playing, not much have changed they still play their fast, attacking minded football, and usually dominates the matches, but they have been unable to score from their chances. Väsby are only three points behind Vasalund in 2nd place, so nothing's over yet, and Skiljebo may be a tough nut to crack but Väsby have the skilled players who can decide a match like this one. Skiljebo play very dfensive, amazingly enough their last three matches have ended 0-0, before that the lost two matches, including 0-4 at home to Västerås. Skiljebo are only two points behind relegation, I hope they will go forwrd a bit more than usual here, but I'm not at all confident, I still think that väsby can break through their defence. Skiljebo's a very limited team, Väsby have a higher chance than 50% imo. Under may also work for this one, but on the other hand: If Väsby get their scoring to work properly this match can easily go over.


Div.1 Södra, Husqvarna - Qviding, 2/9

Qviding @ 1.90 (Ladbrokes)
I backed Qviding's opponant Värnamo at a season high odds last round, Qviding lost at home 1-2. To this match they get back at least one key player, and I really believe they will bounce back right away. Qviding are only two points ahead of IFK Malmö, they need to win this match, and Husqvarna, with a very poor homerecord: 1-2-6 3-12, certainly a team they should overcome. Qviding have had some problems living up to their favourite status, but 2nd place despite that tells something about the class of this team. Husqvarna usually have problems with opponants like Qviding who play a quick and creative football with many players involved in the attacking.

[G:G]

Sleipner @ 1.75 >>>2-0

Div.1 Södra, Värnamo - Visby/Gute, 2/9

Värnamo @ 1.94 (Pinny)
Värnamo's in the middle of a really good streak now, 4 straight wins, last match was a win away to 2nd placed Qviding, I backed them with dnb @ 6.00 then. I feel comfortable backing them again, their homerecord, 1-2-6, may look awful, but the win came their latest home match when they trashed 3d placed IFK Malmö, 5-1. Visby/Gute are struggling for survival, but I doub they will make it, they are six ponts behind Skärhamn atm. Visby have bettered somewhat after their disasterous start, last five are 0-3-2, but they don't have a team that can compete at this level imo. Värnamo to get three points and move further upwards in the table my bet. I would back Värnamo down to around 1.75 - 1.80.


Div.1 Norra, Umeå FC - Valsta Syrianska, 2/9

Umeå @ 2.05 (Pinnacle)
I backed Umeå vs Västerås last Sunday, they were up 2-1 but Västerås scored two goals in the last minutes. I still like Umeå, they have a decent team with some good quality players like Hermansson. They have, for some reason, been better away this season. Vs Valsta/S, who don't travel well, misses Koroma, their best attacker and also should be a bit "hungover" after their match vs Assyriska last round, Umeå should really have a good chance of getting three points. I see over evens for Umeå as a must to take. I would back Umeå down to 1.80 -1.85


Div.2 Södra Götaland, Hässleholm - Laholm, 2/9

Laholm @ 3.20 (Bet365)
Hässleholm have made some poor results vs poor opponants, their latest home match ended 3-3 vs last placed Nike, the latest match a 2-5 loss vs 5th placed Högaborg. Hässleholm are not safe yet, but almost, they have eight points down to relegation. There's plenty of rumours about problems in their squad, the only confirmed missing so far is suspended midfielder Tun. Laholm have had a tough schedule lately, lost to 1st placed Mabi 1-2, got 1-1 away to 3d placed Lund and won 2-1 away vs 4th placed Karlskrona. These results must be considered good and as a strong indicator for good form, therefore I must say that 3.20 for awaywin looks very much too high, so I'll give it a 5/10

[Roskos]

Originally Posted by G:G

Sleipner @ 1.75 2-0
Värnamo @ 1.94 5-0
Väsby @ 2.15 0-2
Qviding @ 1.90 2-3
Kalmar @ 2.15 3-0
*******************
Laholm @ 3.20 still in play
*******************
Umeå @ 2.05 1-1

Super picks mate, today I have followed you in almost of all your bets. At the present I was in losing streak and I need some profitable picks to turn the page.
I want to thank you and to salute you for your super work in Swedish leagues.

[G:G]

Originally Posted by Roskos

Super picks mate, today I have followed you in almost of all your bets. At the present I was in losing streak and I need some profitable picks to turn the page.
I want to thank you and to salute you for your super work in Swedish leagues.

Thanks, really appreciate your feedback. Laholm lost, but still 4/6 and a very good weekend in the lower leagues.