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| Nordic and Scandinavian Football Forum Discuss league or cup matches from Nordic and Scandinavian countries here - Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Faroes, etc |
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16-06-2007, 19:00
| #1 (permalink) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| _GNAGET_   Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
|  Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16-06-2007, 23:30
| #2 (permalink) |
| diehard punter  Join Date: 14 Jun 2007 Location: Germany
Posts: 50
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 No more diplospeak, this is a crappy league. I learnt in 2005 never to bother backing favourites. Going for odds below 2 here is a waste of time. I only go for DRAWS, and even these are hardly coming thru. Had a draw on Malmo this week, and they got creamed. But I am pretty confident of GAIS Under. All their away games have ended 1-0 oder 0-1. Only a man on a suicide mission can take odds of 1.60 in Sweden.  |
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16-06-2007, 23:57
| #3 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Glad you cleared things out for everyone, much appreciated. Yup, Gais and over usually works, but odds not very tasty imo. Sunday's matches look tough to predict, I find a small valye in Kalmar dnb and maybe BP + 0.5, but I'm still hesitating, Kalmar have been shaky away, Göteborg should be up for a win soon. Örebro - BP a very open match, Örebro favourites, but maybe BP can get a win, it would not be a big surprise.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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17-06-2007, 02:16
| #4 (permalink) | |
| Junior Punter Join Date: 13 Apr 2005
Posts: 65
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Quote:
 But yes, it not easy to make money betting favorites in this league.. | |
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17-06-2007, 06:30
| #5 (permalink) | |
| meaty punter  Join Date: 26 Feb 2005 Age: 21
Posts: 13,048
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Quote:
yeh that doesn't surprise me really, the really 'hot favs' dont often mess up that much. The problem I always seem to have is favourites between 1.70-90 that often fcuk me up 
__________________ The Meatman - always looking out for a meaty price to get his teeth into | |
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17-06-2007, 06:34
| #6 (permalink) |
| meaty punter Join Date: 26 Feb 2005 Age: 21
Posts: 13,048
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Country: Sweden Match: IFK Goteborg v Kalmar Date: 17/6/07 Time: 17:00 cet Reccomended Bet: IFK Goteborg (0) AH @ 1.94 Pinnacle 3/10 Well I saw some of Kalmar against Helsingborg and they did impress me quite a lot, but I really cant beleive they are that good to deserve near favouritism in this match. IFK have home advantage and that must surely count for somthing here IMO. We can get them @ 1.94 on the level ball AH and there no way this is a level game I'd say. IFK should be 2.50 max on the straight win which means about 1.75 on the level ball. They have only lost 1 home match this year and even in that they were unlucky. I've been told Kalmar often crack when under the pressure of performing and today they expectation seems to be that they will do well. I have to go for the home team here and stake 3/10, really decent value I think.
__________________ The Meatman - always looking out for a meaty price to get his teeth into |
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17-06-2007, 14:31
| #7 (permalink) |
| Bookie financer  Join Date: 15 Apr 2007 Location: Scotland
Posts: 10
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 I'm going to take Kalmar today as I just have a feeling they can win this one. The Allsvenskan isn't a league I know particularly well but last season Kalmar won me a few big priced away wins- as did Freiburg in the Bundesliga 2. From a betting point of view Goteborg have done the opposite for me this year losing me a few low priced bets. Kalmar have started the season fairly strongly and racked up a 3-0 win away to Goteborg last season. Back then I saw them as a better side away from home than at home so I'm hoping that will continue this season. |
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18-06-2007, 06:12
| #9 (permalink) |
| meaty punter Join Date: 26 Feb 2005 Age: 21
Posts: 13,048
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 I've gone for Gefle (0) today and also Helsingborgs -1, both look to be decent value picks I hate the line on Elfsborg though and they seem to be a bit short can any team realistically deserve to be 1.40 in this division such is its unpredictability
__________________ The Meatman - always looking out for a meaty price to get his teeth into |
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18-06-2007, 08:25
| #11 (permalink) | |
| diehard punter Join Date: 14 Jun 2007 Location: Germany
Posts: 50
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Quote:
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18-06-2007, 11:49
| #12 (permalink) | ||
| _GNAGET_ Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. | ||
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18-06-2007, 11:53
| #13 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Gefle - AIK: Figureido's absence very, very bad news for AIK, he has been their best player this season imo, now the attacking looks even more toothless. Only good news for Gefle: Makondele, Bapupa and Woxlin are all three midfielders from the starting line up, Makondele their best player and very important for their attacking.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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18-06-2007, 13:54
| #16 (permalink) | |
| Insider  Join Date: 13 Aug 2006 Age: 45
Posts: 389
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Quote:
Under 2.5 with odds 1.83 @pinnacle looks tasty.  | |
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18-06-2007, 14:45
| #17 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter  Join Date: 05 Sep 2006 Age: 21
Posts: 770
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Gefle-0 2.06Pinnacle (old price) and Under 2.5 1.83@Pinnacle fr me Gefle has been very sharp at home so far. Their opening game against Örebro ended 0-0 but after that they have 3 straight wins. Oremo who played in div. 3 last season has been impressive so far with 5 goals in 9 games. Woxlin and Makondele who missed last game because of suspentions are both back. They are two very important players for Gefle. AIK has just one less point than Gefle, 11, but since many thought that they would be at the top fighting for the gold medals, a 10th place is really dissapointing. They should have won against Örebro last game. Wilton Figueiredo scored two goals, but none of them counted for various reasons. Instead, he got a yellow card and is suspended in this game. With Wilton suspended and Burgic injured for the rest of the season someone else has to step forward and score goals. Ofc, it could happen, but I have a hard time seeing AIK get through Gefle's very compact defense. I definately think that Gefle should be favourites in this match. At home, they can beat any team and AIK are quite bad atm. 2.06 for Asian-0 is good. When Gefle plays at home under usually works. They won against Kalmar 2-1, Kalmar scored in stoppage time. Apart from that the scorelines hav been 0-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 1-1 after 90 mins against Djurgården in the cup. Gefle have a full team in this match and they could be dangerous. I think they will score 1 goal or maybe 2. AIK have some problems scoring atm and Figureido suspended from this game I can't see them scoring more than 1 goal in this game. 1.85 for the under is slightly higher than other bookies and I believe that there's some value in it. Elfsborg and Helsingborg should win but I can't put money on 1.40 in this league and Helsingborg has some troubles in their backline. Possible over in that game imo. |
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18-06-2007, 15:16
| #18 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Gefle - AIK under 2.5 goals @ 1.87 (Betfair) AIK have been toothless all season, and now that Figureido's suspended it looks like they will have even bigger problems with their attacking. Gefle are strong at home on the artificial grass, they have only allowed one goal in four matches, but they have also only scored four goals. I think this will be a close match, Gefle should be considered favourites, but odds around 1.85 for Gefle on level ball does not appeal to me, I don't trust Gefle that much, and AIK have, after all, quality enough to win this match, so for me under the best bet as for now.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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18-06-2007, 17:34
| #19 (permalink) |
| _GNAGET_ Join Date: 06 Oct 2006 Location: Stockholm
Posts: 3,142
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 Ok, after spending the day hesitating back and forth, I digged deep in to my mind and found a touch of a deatwish, so I'll place two bets in Allsvenskan today: Trelleborg not to score @ 2.00 (Nordic) Trelleborg have scored 1 goal in 4 awaymatches, the goal was scored their last awaymatch, 1-0 vs Kalmar. They play very different away compared to at home, I guess they don't have confidence enough to attack as much, their defensive tactics worked for the first time vs Kalmar. Elfsborg are a bit of a mystery, last season the only allowed seven goals in 13 home matches, their defence was very solid, it was often enough for Elfsborg to score one goal to win the match. This season hve been different: they have allowed 5 goals in 4 home matches, not one clean sheet, but Djurgården the only team that have scored 2 goals at Elfsborg's homeground. I think today's the day for Elfsborg to not only win, but also keep their first clean sheet, despite Trelleborgs rather good record lately I dont rank them very high, my guess is that they will play very defensive, a 0-0 result would suite Trelleborg very fine. Trelleborg will, of course, get chances to score, but I think and hope that Elfsborg have worked on their defence now, and also found out the obvious: Elfsborg's attacking's not good enough for them to allow a goal in every match and still get three points. AIK dnb @ 2.07 (Pinnacle) I'm gonna go against the public opinion here, I can't see how AIK would be so much worse than Gefle, 2.07 for dnb is too high to leave alone imo. Gefle ususally like being underdogs, but today when they get three important players back, and meet AIK without their best player and with poor results all season, they find themselves in an unusual position: favourites. This might be a thin reason to back a team, but this is Allsvenskan and anything can happen, AIK might start a winning trend now, the timing would be perfect, no one expect AIK to win this one, they won't play under pressure like when at home.
__________________ Politics is the same everywhere, doesn't matter how he labels himself, there's always this wank*r waiting to tell you what to do and think, tell you that you never had it so good, never had it so bad. |
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18-06-2007, 18:11
| #20 (permalink) |
| Senior Punter Join Date: 04 Aug 2006 Age: 37
Posts: 165
| Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 17 - 19/6 hi G:G! i know it's too early but if you can' i would like you to tell us what is the condutuon of hamarby squad and durgarden's also. i want to take the visitors as they're in superb form and the home team losing to everyone including at the cup to norkopping. |
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