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Old 30-01-2008, 13:59   #1 (permalink)
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Default Sas liga long term bets

I'm going to start this one off with a long-shot:

Sport Football (Denmark)
Event Topscorer Sas league
Selection Bernburg (Each-Way)
Strength 2/10
Date 24/05/2008
Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 70.00 (Back)
Reasoning Bernburg was injured some of the time the last half of the season, yet managed to score 7 goals. He is 5 goals behind Graulund, 3 behind Jeppe Curth and 1 behind Frank Kristensen, who all are real contenders for this title.
Other contenders are Morten Duncan Rasmussen, Morten Nordstrand and maybe Allbáck.

FCN were famous for their offensive qualities last season and Bernburg is their main man on top, he gets the goals.
So if they get going again he is most probably going to be their top scorer, I do not know if this will be enough to make him the overall top scorer but I will at least give him 2 % chance which gives a nice value of 140 % and 1/4 of the odds added at top-3 places.

Happy betting
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Old 30-01-2008, 14:00   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

He's already gone from 75 to 35 on Scandic bookmakers by the way
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Old 31-01-2008, 20:19   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Gone to 40 now on Bet365 aswell, hope some of you got in
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Old 14-04-2008, 19:06   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

The standings now are as follows:

12 Peter GraulundAGF
12 Frank KristensenFC Midtjylland
11 Jeppe CurthAaB
10 Martin BernburgFC Nordsjælland
9 Rade PricaAaB
9 Henrik H. HansenAC Horsens


Bernburg is only 2 goals behind the leaders now, but Frank Kristensen has scored 1 more goal than Bernburg this spring.
I've put a small amount on Frank @ 4/1 on Scandicbookmakers.com, which seems a value bet at the moment, as Graulund and Curth aren't looking much of a threat at the moment.

FCN have an easy schedule for the next matches though, so expect Bernburg to net a few more
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Old 14-04-2008, 19:57   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Thanks for the update Jonne

I put £5 E/W on when you first mentioned him at 69/1.

I noticed he had scored at the weekend but did'nt realise he had shortened the gap so much !
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Old 14-04-2008, 20:53   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Happy to be of assistance!

Hopefully we'll both get paid on this one and it's starting to look likely, Bernburg seems to be the most in-form striker of the top-6, even though Frank is always a danger.
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Old 14-04-2008, 22:19   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Great value, let's hope it comes off!
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Old 27-04-2008, 16:34   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Bernburg is back on, with 2 goals today, the match is not finished yet, but will come with a report, when all the games have been played this round.
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Old 28-04-2008, 21:21   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Luckily Curth didn't score, so great round for Bernburg and us punters, who've bet on him

13 Jeppe CurthAaB
13 Peter GraulundAGF
12 Frank KristensenFC Midtjylland
12 Martin BernburgFC Nordsjælland
10 Henrik H. HansenAC Horsens

It's quite open in the top, but at 70, that's great, he's in good form atm. and it is very possible that he will go all the way.
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Old 12-05-2008, 18:50   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Jonne,

I see that Bernburg scored again today

How's the top scorer list looking now?
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Old 12-05-2008, 20:44   #11 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

I'm afraid Jeppe Curth scored two goals last week, but Bernburg is only 1 goal away still with 3 rounds to go, the E/W should be safe now, as Graulund is out with injury and Bernburg should score a couple more goals.

15 Jeppe CurthAaB
14 Martin BernburgFC Nordsjælland
13 Peter GraulundAGF
12 Henrik H. HansenAC Horsens
12 Frank KristensenFC Midtjylland
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Old 12-05-2008, 21:04   #12 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Cheers for the quick reply Jonne
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Old 13-05-2008, 00:00   #13 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Still a fcukin great bet, no matter what happens.
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Old 24-05-2008, 16:49   #14 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

17 Jeppe CurthAaB
14 Martin BernburgFC Nordsjælland
13 Henrik H. HansenAC Horsens
13 Peter GraulundAGF
12 Frank KristensenFC Midtjylland

This is the final result, so the juicy 70 did not hit home, but the E/W part of the bet went home at 18.5, which I think is pretty decent, congratulations to anyone who played it
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Old 24-05-2008, 17:12   #15 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

Thank you Jonne for a terrific bet.
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Old 25-05-2008, 18:36   #16 (permalink)
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Default Re: Sas liga long term bets

No problem, hopefully I'll be making more picks next season
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