SAS league 1'st Sep- 3'rd Sep

[Jonne]

Saturday 1 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Viborg FF v AGF Aarhus (16:00 BST)	2.38	3.40	3.00	105%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerBoth Teams To ScoreCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreGoals by both teamsHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/Under
Sunday 2 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Lyngby Boldklub 1921 v FC Midtjylland (13:00 BST)	5.00	3.75	1.80	103%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerBoth Teams To ScoreCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreGoals by both teamsHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/Under
FC København v Randers FC (15:00 BST)	1.57	4.50	6.50	102%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerBoth Teams To ScoreCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreGoals by both teamsHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/Under
Horsens fS v Esbjerg (15:00 BST)	2.55	3.40	3.00	102%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerBoth Teams To ScoreCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreGoals by both teamsHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/Under
Brøndbyernes IF v Odense BK (17:00 BST)	2.70	3.35	2.65	105%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerBoth Teams To ScoreCornersDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreGoals by both teamsHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/Under
Monday 3 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
AaB Aalborg v FC Nordsjælland (18:00 BST)	2.13	3.50	4.00	101%

[Jonne]

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Brøndby - OB
Selection	OB
Strength	10/10
Date	02/09/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Betway @ 2.70 (Back)
Reasoning	Brøndby are in the worst crisis they've seen for a VERY long time. They're under the relegation line after 7!! Matches. They lost 0-1 against AGF last home game and they've not won in 22 away games. AGF won deservedly, and they're just over Brøndby. Brøndby have problems with their centre backs, that are quite shit to be honest. Per Nielsen is the only fit defender with any kind of quality, and he's far away from what he's been earlier. OB on the other hand are looking good in the top 3, gave FCK a proper fight in their latest 0-0 draw against them. To be honest, don't understand the odds in this match, OB have AT LEAST 50 % chance of winnning this one, the odds started at 2.95 some places. GET IN! this bet, value : 135 %.

[Rumlesen]

I strongly disagree with you Jonne. Ofcause Brøndby are in their biggest crises ever, but that is THE only reason you will back them. If you have done your numbers before the season, you would have ratet Brøndby higher than OB i presume. I see opening odds at 10bet @ 1.90 on the DNB line, if someone have offered me that before the season startet it would have been my biggest bet ever i can asure you. I cannot remember i have ever seen a DNB line at Brøndby at home ever, apart from against FCK maybe. Mind you, Brøndby are still a very strong home team, infact THE best home team last season, they had 13 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats at Brøndby stadium. In the last 10 Sasliga meetings they have meet 3 times at Brøndby stadium, Brøndby have won all 3. OB has only beaten Brøndby twice in the last 10 meetings, 1 cup win and 1 Sasliga win.
Tonight OB has a very important Uefa cup match against Dynamo Minsk, and they will give maximum effort to win that one, witch means they will have one shorter days of rest compared to Brøndby.

I cant wait to see what price Asia will open up with on this one, they always have better opening odds. And if Brøndby dont have new injuries i will certainly be on them.

You give OB AT LEAST 50% chance of winning this one That means you are prepared to back OB at Brøndby stadium at the price of 2.00. Do you serious think that OB can be favorit in this match, and a big one too??

I am not saying OB cant win this game, they probably wont get a bigger chance ever. But i simply cannot see how you calculate OB`s winning chances

[Jonne]

Have you seriously seen Brøndby play lately?

They're simply that bad in my eyes. OB are a VERY strong side, with a very big troop. Brøndby are a side with some profiles, a big name and a very bad team morale. Maybe it is a bit better after their win against Allerød, but they are in shambles to be honest.

Against AGF they were nothing short of shocking, and to be honest they're under the relegation line for a reason. OB are in the top for a reason, and I have no reason what so ever to see why Brøndby should be anywhere near favorites in this match.

OB have 2 players for every single spot in their team, of near-top quality.


Brøndby don't even have 1 for both the centre back spots.

I haven't done any numbers before the season, I'm not the number-crunching kind of punter

But I do get your point, the AT LEAST was out of place, but I simply believe there is really good value in the OB bet.

[Rumlesen]

Yes i have seen Brøndby play lately, and the have been poor. But no matter what, you cannot make any away team favorits at Brøndby stadium. Offcause you have to take of some % due to their poor form, but to give Brøndby a dnb at home is pure value in my eyes. I am not saying Brøndby will come out as winners on sunday, but Backing Brøndby at this price will certainly pay of long term

[Jonne]

Originally Posted by Rumlesen

Backing Brøndby at this price will certainly pay of long term

Will it suffice to say I disagree and bury it at that?

[Rumlesen]

surely, come on Brøndby

[modo]

I saw last two Brondby games and dont understand what is with Brondby defence?