Norway - Tippeligaen (9-11 June 07)

[meatman]

Stromsgodset - Viking Stavanger	91	2.48	3.17	2.58	09.06.2007 - 19.00
Stabaek - Lyn SFK	86	1.96	3.26	3.46	10.06.2007 - 18.00
Valerengen - Odd Grenland	85	1.59	3.56	5.15	10.06.2007 - 18.00
Rosenborg Trondheim - Fredrikstad	87	1.39	4.16	7.06	10.06.2007 - 18.00
Tromsö - Aalesund	88	1.59	3.58	5.08	10.06.2007 - 18.00
Brann Bergen - Lilleström	88	2.30	3.16	2.82	10.06.2007 - 20.00
Start Kristiansand - Sandefjord	81	1.72	3.41	4.37	11.06.2007 - 19.00

[meatman]

Country: Norway
Match: Stromsgodset v Viking
Date: 9/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Stromsgodset (0) AH @ 1.95 Canbet 3/10

I think Stromsgodset are too big a price here at home to Viking. The odds on offer are 1.95 level ball and it shouldn’t be anywhere near that mark. A more fairer line has to be -0.25 and I think the hosts have a good chance of winning this game. Ok lets look at their form and they have lost just 2 games this season. I think at times the defence has been poor, but this is a team that has impressed me quite a bit. They were hammered 0-4 by Aalesund but I think this was a scoreline that was over exaggerated. They hit back well to beat Start 3-2 and they have every chance against Viking. The visitors welcome back key man Peter Ijeh from suspension and I rate him very highly. But when he plays they become a 1 man team IMO and they rely on him in many ways. If he doesn’t have a good game then Viking could struggle. They were very lucky to beat Aalesund 2-0 away from home in their last game, and if they play like that here then defeat is the most likely outcome. Stromsgodset have the potential to be a decent home force and I don’t believe they will lose this one today. I’m willing to stake 3/10 on this level ball AH.

[allthethings]

Norway Tippeligaen
Soccer - Stromsgodset/Viking - total Over 2½ (-125)
for the regulation time held on Jun 9 at 12:00pm [pending]

Got to get to sleep...Get ready for some goal scoring folks!

[*Tosh*]

Stromsgodset - Viking Stavanger
Pick: Over 2.5 @ 1.80 at Stan James

Well , we have a tough game here , and IMO it can go either way , but I think that seeing a lot of goals is most likely tonight .
Stromsgodset have some problems with injured players , but of big importance for this bet should be the returning of first choice goalkeeper Espen Johnsen , who is decent goalie , but I can also rate him as an erratic goalkeeper . Some of the goals , that Stromsgodset conceded so far this season , were due to his poor interventions , but in his day he could upset every striker in Tippeligaen . Today home team could be withoul Leonhardsen and Mattias Andersson , both are key players , and being without them , this can harm the attacking power of the squad . But Stromsgodset in some matches showed great character and a will not to give up until the end , the best example here should be their home game vs Lillestrom , where they were down to 10 men , but managed to earn a point , in a heroic 1-1 draw .
Viking are better team IMO , but I don`t know why , they don`t impress so far , started with 4 games without a win , and then won 3 and lost one , to Lillestrom , where they were heavy defeated 4-1 . I think that this team has more to show , for this game they will rely on their key attacker Peter Ijeh , 4 goals so far , and with his returning Viking are in full strength for this game .
Five of S'godset's 8 games so far were overs , three of Viking's matches were over 2.5 goals . The teams haven`t met since 2001 , where here they made an attractive 3-3 draw . I think that Viking should get something from the match , but I'm sure that Stromsgodset will make it a hard game , and will score a goal , so I`m going for the over here , with maximum strength , 10/10 .
GL everybody .

NOR Tippeligaen, Injuries, June 9 - 08.06.2007

Strömsgodset ANDERSSON Mattias AM/FLC *** 16.5 INJURED 6 / 8 Strömsgodset DEILA Ronny DC *** 8.6 BACK from injury 7 / 8 Strömsgodset LEONHARDSEN Öyvind AMRC *** 16.4 INJURED 1 / 8 Strömsgodset JOHNSEN Espen GK *** 8.6 BACK from injury 4 / 8 Strömsgodset FINSTAD Thomas SC * 24.5 INJURED 1 / 8 Strömsgodset DRISCOLL David DC * 9.4 INJURED - / 8 Viking IJEH Peter SC ** 8.6 BACK from suspension 6 / 8

From totalctrl.info

[allthethings]

2-1 FT Sweep!

[E_S]

Stabæk – Lyn

Number 5 vs. 8. Stabæk has 13 points, Lyn has 11.
Stabæk in good form, hasn’t lost since first league round. Has 2-1-1 at home, only Brann has won here. Beaten Rosenborg and Odd at home. Strong defence and has only conceeded 7 goals in the 8 rounds. Was close to win against Lillestrøm, but a late goals destroyed that.
M.Kjølø(D 4games) and B.Poljac(M 0games) are injuryed. T.Stenvoll(D 7games) is suspended.
Stabæks last 6 games:
28.5 Lillestrøm (A) 1-1
20.5 Åssiden (A) 9-1 Cup
16.5 Odd (H) 1-0
13.5 Fredrikstad (A) 2-1
6.5 Sandefjord (H) 1-1
29.4 Start (A) 1-1

Lyn are unbeaten at home, but away they have only 1 point after 4 games. Has conceeded 11 goals on those 4 awaygames. Started well in last awaygame but Viking won pretty easy in the end. Edu(F 4games 2goals) has scored in the last two games, and Lyn needs him up front. Importand defender T.Berntsen was back in last game.
L.K.Eriksen(D 5games) and T.Sokolowski(M 6games 1goal) are injuryed. Coach H.Berg is suspended.
Lyns last 6 games:
28.5 Tromsø (H) 4-3
20.5 Fet (A) 10-1 Cup
16.5 Viking (A) 2-4
13.5 Aalesund (H) 0-0
6.5 Strømsgodset (A) 1-1
30.4 Lillestrøm (A) 1-3

H2H on Nadderud Stadion 4-1-4 19-19
H2H total 7-4-6 30-29

Last meetings on Nadderud:
2006-08-13 Stabæk - Lyn 3 - 2
2004-08-29 Stabæk - Lyn 0 - 1
2003-05-16 Stabæk - Lyn 1 - 3
2002-05-27 Stabæk - Lyn 5 - 0
2001-08-19 Stabæk - Lyn 2 - 5
1997-05-08 Stabæk - Lyn 1 - 1
1994-09-14 Stabæk - Lyn 2 - 0


Two teams that like to attack. Think we can get some goals here.

[E_S]

Vålerenga – Odd

Number 12 vs.14. Vålerenga has 8 points, Odd has 3.
All Vålerengas points has come at home. Vålerenga hasn’t lost at home, 2-2-0, while they have 4 straight away losses. Plays well at home. Created many chances against Fredrikstad, 5 times alone with the goalkeeper, but missed on all and lost 0-1. Needs to be better on their offence. Strong win at home against Rosenborg.
T.Holm(M 2games) is injuryed. K.Wæhler(D 8games 1goal) is doubtful.
Vålerenga last 6 games:
26.5 Fredrikstad (A) 0-1
20.5 Toten (A) 3-0 Cup
16.5 Sandefjord (H) 2-0
10.5 Start (A) 0-1
6.5 Rosenborg (H) 2-1
28.4 Strømsgodset (H) 0-0

Odd has lost all 4 awaygames and 7 of 8 league games so far. Has problem in defence and offence and new players are on their way to the club. None of them will play this game.
Dale(M 0games) and C.Joyce(A 1game) are injuryed. J.T.Amundsen(M 7games) is back from suspension
Odds last 6 games:
28.5 Brann (H) 0-2
20.5 Svarstad (A) 5-0 Cup
16.5 Stabæk (A) 0-1
13.5 Tromsø (H) 0-1
6.5 Viking (A) 1-2
29.4 Aalesund (H) 3-0

H2H on Ullevaal Stadion 13-4-2 38-11
H2H total 21-8-7 70-40

Last meetings on Ullevaal:
2006-04-09 Vålerenga - Odd 0 - 0
2005-07-04 Vålerenga - Odd 3 - 0
2004-06-06 Vålerenga - Odd 1 - 0
2003-08-24 Vålerenga - Odd 0 - 3
2002-11-03 Vålerenga - Odd 1 - 0 (NM Cupen)
2002-05-05 Vålerenga - Odd 2 - 0
2000-07-05 Vålerenga - Odd 0 - 0
1999-09-12 Vålerenga - Odd 2 - 1
1997-08-11 Vålerenga - Odd 3 - 0
1992-04-26 Vålerenga - Odd 1 - 1


Vålerenga should win, HW.

[E_S]

Tromsø – Aalesund

Number 4 vs. 13. Tromsø has 13 points, Aalesund 5 points.
Tromsø are unbeaten at home, 3-1-0. Strong wins against Lillestrøm and Vålerenga. Plays well at home. Good games in the last rounds, a little unlucky in the lost to Lyn.
K.Borch(GK 0games), H.Nordnes(D 0games) and M.Pedersen(D 0games) are long time injuryed. C.Steen(D 7games 1goal), S.Ademolu(A 6games) and T.Hafstad(D 8games) are injuryed.
Tromsøs last 6 games:
28.5 Lyn (A) 3-4
20.5 Senja (A) 3-0 Cup
16.5 Lillestrøm (H) 2-1
13.5 Odd (A) 1-0
6.5 Fredrikstad (H) 4-1
29.4 Sandefjord (A) 1-2

Aalesund lost again at home in last game. Has only 1 point on 4 homegames. Played well in thos last games and was a little unlucky against Viking. Has gone a little better away where they have 1-1-2. All points away is taken in their last two games. Didn’t conceed any goals in those two games. Noramly not the best away team. This game will be played on artificial gras, the same as Aalesund has on their own stadium. Diogo Silva(A) from Brazil is soon ready for play.
P.Werni(D 0games), M.Kihlberg(M 8games 3goals), J.Alexandersson(D 3games), P.O.Larsen(M 0games) and Dede(A 0games) is injuryed. E.Jääger(M 2games) is doubtful.
Aalesund last 6 games:
28.5 Viking (H) 0-2
20.5 Sykkylven (A) 7-0 Cup
16.5 Strømsgodset (A) 4-0
13.5 Lyn (A) 0-0
7.5 Lillestrøm (H) 1-3
29.4 Odd (A) 0-3

H2H on Alfheim Stadion 2-1-1 8-4
H2H total 4-3-2 14-10

Last meetings on Alfheim:
2005-08-28 Tromsø - Aalesund 1 - 1
2003-07-27 Tromsø - Aalesund 0 - 1
2002-10-19 Tromsø - Aalesund 2 - 1


Tromsø are favorites here, and there should come some goals.

[E_S]

Rosenborg – Fredrikstad

Number 3 vs. 9. Rosenborg has 13 points, Fredrikstad has 11.
Rosenborg took their first away win in last game. Are strong at home and has 3-0-1 so far. Only lost to Strømsgodset, a game they should have won pretty easy. Are in good form and ain’t many points behind the leaders.
V.Riseth(D 1game) is back from injuryed. S.Iversen(A 8games 6goals) and M.Sapara(M 8games 3goals) are doubtful.
Rosenborgs last 6 games:
27.5 Sandefjord (A) 2-1
20.5 Namsos (A) 5-1 Cup
16.5 Start (H) 4-1
13.5 Strømsgodset (H) 1-2
6.5 Vålerenga (A) 1-2
29.4 Brann (H) 3-0

Fredrikstad aint in good form. Away they have 0-2-2, took a little lucky point against Brann in last awaygame. Was also very lucky when the won against Vålerenga at home, and need to do much better here if they want any points. Normaly not very good away and takes most of their points at home.
T.Bertelsen(D 0games) V.Martinsen(D 6games) and C.Berg(M 0games) are injuryed.
Fredrikstads last 6 games:
26.5 Vålerenga (H) 1-0
19.5 Lisleby (A) 5-0 Cup
16.5 Brann (A) 2-2
13.5 Stabæk (H) 1-2
6.5 Tromsø (A) 1-4
29.4 Viking (H) 2-0

H2H on Lerkendal Stadion 12-4-2 37-20
H2H total 18-10-7 63-45

Last meetings on Lerkendal:
2006-07-16 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 1 - 0
2005-04-24 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 0 - 1
2004-07-25 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 3 - 1
1984-07-08 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 1 - 1
1982-05-03 Rosenborg - Fredrikstad 2 - 2


Anything else then homewin here will be a big surprise.

[E_S]

Brann – Lillestrøm

Number 2. vs. 1. Both teams has 17 points.
This rounds big game. Brann is still unbeaten at home, 2-2-0. Their last two homegames has ended with a draw and 2-2. Are unbeaten in their last 4 league games and has only lost 1 game so far. Havent played to well lately, but did a little better job in last game against Odd. Has a poor H2H against Lillestrøm, 1-4-7 last 12 homegames.
T.F.Ludvigsen(A 1game) is doubtful and will go on loan to Strømsgodset. E.Bakke(M 0games) is injuryed.
Brann last 6 games:
28.5 Odd (A) 2-0
20.5 Trio (A) 5-0 Cup
16.5 Fredrikstad (H) 2-2
12.5 Sandefjord (A) 3-2
5.5 Start (H) 2-2
29.4 Rosenborg (A) 0-3

Lillestrøm started very well, but has only 1 point in their last two games. Has 2-1-1 away and has beaten poor Aalesund and Odd away. Has played well away and was close to get points in the loss to Tromsø. Together with Brann and Rosenborg, the teams that scores most goals. Are very good on set-pieces, a place where Brann is pretty bad...
B.Arnasson(M 0games) is injuryed. O.Occean(A 8games 4goals) is doubtful. K.Wehrmann(M 8games 1goal) is suspended.
Lillestrøm last 6 games:
28.5 Stabæk (H) 1-1
20.5 Flisa (A) 6-3 Cup
16.5 Tromsø (A) 1-2
13.5 Viking (H) 4-1
7.5 Aalesund (A) 3-1
30.4 Lyn (H) 3-1

H2H on Brann Stadion 11-5-14 44-42
H2H total 17-13-32 77-104

Last meetings on Brann Stadion:
2006-04-18 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 1
2005-05-16 Brann - Lillestrøm 6 - 2
2004-06-27 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 5
2003-09-15 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 3
2002-10-20 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 2
2001-09-09 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 1
2000-07-05 Brann - Lillestrøm 0 - 2
1999-04-11 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 3
1998-09-26 Brann - Lillestrøm 1 - 2

Open game, but Lillestrøm can take all points as they have done before.

[meatman]

Excellent write ups once again ES, your information and analysis is always appreciated mate

[meatman]

Country: Norway
Match: Rosenborg BK v Fredrikstad
Date: 10/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Rosenborg BK -1.25 AH @ 1.90 VCbet 4/10



Country: Norway
Match: Valerenga v Odd Grenland
Date: 10/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Valerenga -1 AH @ 2.05 Canbet 4/10



Country: Norway
Match: Stabaek v Lyn Oslo
Date: 10/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Stabaek -0.25 AH @ 1.85 Bet1128 4/10



Country: Norway
Match: Tromso v Aalesund
Date: 10/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Tromso -1 AH @ 2.05 Pinnacle 3/10



Country: Norway
Match: Brann v Lillestrom
Date: 10/6/07
Time: 20:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Brann (0) AH @ 1.75 188bet 3/10



I've gone will all the home teams today, Im a little nervous about Brann and Tromso, but in all reality Tromso should easily beat Aalesund and I think Brann are good enough to get a draw. I excpect RBK and Valerenga to win convincingly whilst once again Stabaek could be dark horses @ a very nice price.


Live matches on the net today (TV noo)

http://www.euchannels.net/web/NooNorway.htm


18:00 (cet) Valerenga v Odd Grenland on Zebra

20:00 (cet) Brann v LSK on TV2

[mileni4uk]

Sport	Football (Norway)
Event	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad
Selection	Rosenborg -1.25 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	10/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet1128 @ 1.90 (Back)
Reasoning	I don't expect Rosenborg to have that many problems today. They should go out on the field and beat Fredrikstad easily. They need points and they started playing well. The home team lost only against Strømsgodset so far, but that was unlucky. The other 3 home games they took without much troubles. Fredrikstad don't have a win in their away trips yet and I doubt they can do anything else than a losss against the far better home team.

[mileni4uk]

Sport	Football (Norway)
Event	Brann - Lillestrøm
Selection	Over 3.5
Strength	10/10
Date	10/06/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Both teams are on top and this a very important match. I doubt that the game will be a tight affair though. I expect an open game. Looking at the statts I can see plenty of goals scored. 17 goals in 8 games for both. Brann have 4 over 3.5's in the last 4. The away team has 3 over 3.5's in the last 8 and in 4 of their last games they scored and conceded. In the last years both teams finished 6-2 and 1-5 here.

[allthethings]

I thought about the Brann overs, but Lillestrom has this habit of playing very tight away games...if you check them you'll see a whole bunch of 1's when their on away. BOL though, hope it works out for you.

[allthethings]

By the way, I just checked and the overs for the game, which were O 3, even money last night at my book, are now O 2.5, -145...so all the money going toward unders. Which, to me, makes the overs a much, much better bet now. I'll probably stay off it, but then it's the late game, so who knows? lol, BOL

[mileni4uk]

90'

Brann Bergen

3 - 1

Lillestrom

All goals scored in the 2nd hhalf
Took 2.85 at Betfair as well

[meatman]

Country: Norway
Match: Start v Sandefjord
Date: 11/6/07
Time: 18:00 cet
Reccomended Bet: Sandefjord +0.75 AH @ 1.93 SBO bet 3/10

I think Start might struggle today against Sandefjord who continue to be underestimated. Ok the visitors come here having lose 3 consecutive games, but they have been unlucky in these fixtures and also have been playing against good teams. If they keep performing as they have done recently then they can get at least a point out of the encounter. Start just haven’t impressed me in the past weeks, especially in defence where they have looked very shaky. Odds are definitely set wrong here IMO and I’d have Start priced @ around 2.0- 2.15. Instead we have them well odds on and I think the best play has to be Sandefjord +0.75. They will make life difficult for the hosts here and I wouldn’t even be surprised to see an away win. My overall prediction is as 1-1 draw though.

[Snowman]

Start would be my choice tonight Meatman, they are inconsistent, but inconsistency is just what points to their win tonight after some weak performances. On the other hand, Sandefjord are exactly placed where they belong, not the weakest, but somewhere in the back. I do not doubt much in HW, and if there were not these juicy odds in Swedish supperettan , Start would be my golden single for today

[kamei34]

Start hosting Sanderfjord in this last match of Tippeligaen.
Start is 10th on the table with 10 pts. Total score 2-4-2. At home 1-2-1.
Sandefrjord is 11th with 8pts. Total score 2-2-4. Away from home 0-2-2.
Both teams have lost their last couple of games. Start lost their last 2, loosing to stromsgodset in last home game 2:3. While Sanderfjord lost at home with Rosenborg.
I think draw is the most probable outcome here. They are both struggling right now and will be satisfied with one point. Wouldn't be surprised if the game ends 0:0.
Will try Draw, betfair @3.7, and Under 2.5 goals, betfair @2.36. GL~