Norway, Tippeligaen 5-9th of June.

[kimera]

Thursday 5 June 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Vålerenga v Hamarkameratene (18:00BST)	1.60	4.40	7.00	99.51 %	Details »
Hide « Vålerenga v Hamarkameratene
Saturday 7 June 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Strømsgodset v Stabæk (15:00BST)	3.50	3.50	2.20	102.60 %	Details »
Hide « Strømsgodset v Stabæk
Sunday 8 June 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Lillestrøm SK v Aalesunds FK (15:00BST)	1.80	3.65	5.00	102.95 %	Details »
Hide « Lillestrøm SK v Aalesunds FK
Molde v Lyn Oslo (15:00BST)	2.30	3.50	3.10	104.31 %	Details »
Hide « Molde v Lyn Oslo
Tromsø v Fredrikstad (15:00BST)	2.10	3.50	4.00	101.19 %	Details »
Hide « Tromsø v Fredrikstad
Viking v Bodø/Glimt (15:00BST)	1.80	3.60	5.00	103.33 %	Details »

[kimera]

Vålerenga - Hamarkameratene

This is certainly a must win for the title contenders Vålerenga. They have fallen behind the top teams with poor play and some loss of luck. As seasons before they have severe problems scoring goals, only 9 in 9 games, and 3 in 4 home matches. Tomorrow there is questionmarks concerning winger/striker Daniel Fredheim Holm and centre-back Ronny Johnsen. The 1st named being the most important of them. He is probable though, but have to go through som checks to get cleared for play. Lars Iver Strand is also out, but he has missed some weeks already. Otherwise they have a full squad to pick from and it is about time the quality in it is starting to show. At home 1-2-1 is not good at all, thinking player/coach Martin Andresen seriously need to do some changes before this one. If he does he should have many alternatives how to do it. Hamarkameratene is placed last and there is no signs of that changing yet. They have come up with 2 straight draws, though against much weaker teams than Vålerenga. Away stat is 0-1-4 and a goal difference of 2-11. They have to rely of picking points at home, and take away matches as it comes. The major reason for thinking a bashing from Vålerengas side is the status in Hamarkameratenes squad. On yesterdays practice he only had 11 players avaliable! Juha Pasoja, Oliver Karekezi and Roman Kienast are away on international duty while 8 others will not be ready because of injuries. Regulars like Urosevic, Strand, Cooreman, Pedersen and Øren are all out. On top of that key midfielder Jan Michelsen and key centre-back Haraldsen fights to get rid of knocks for tomorrow. They will probably be ready though, but not at 100%. That being said the status of the squad inclines Michaelsen to play right winger, a position he definitely is not used to.

Vålerenga has a great opportunity to get back on track morale-wise and scoring-wise tomorrow and I do think that this time for once the quality-filled team will be able to do it.

Betsson have 2.50 for the handicap, the next bookie offers 2.11! A price which is quite obvious that I would take...

Vålerenga, -1.5 (Ah), 2.50 @betsson 5/10

[kimera]

A short update on todays match. There is still uncerainty around Fredheim Holm and Johnsen for Valerengas sake, but it is now clear that key centre-back Knut Henry Haraldsen will not be able to take part for Hamarkameratene. Jan Michaelsens role in the game is still undecided. This means that a couple of newcomers/inexperienced will get a shot starting. Frode Bjørnevik in defence and Sebino Plaku get his debut up front. To correct some of my former info, Juha Pasoja is suspended, not away on international duty.

Knowing that Hamarkameratene has only 13 players avaliable tonight, has to fill the gap with juniors, and players being placed in positions not accustomed to this bet sounds more and more reasonable imo..

[kimera]

Then it is clear, Fredheim Holm and Johnsen are both out tonight. Also striker Abdellaoue (Moa) is reported sick. This news weakens my bet some, but not enough to make me change my mind, thinking thay have good replacements in all positions. Vålerenga should be taking advantage of the golden opportunity they have tonight.

[sharpshot7]

.

[sharpshot7]

oops sorry just realised i put this in the wrong thread

[nicko]

Originally Posted by kimera

Vålerenga, -1.5 (Ah), 2.50 @betsson 5/10

Well spotted and analysed, thanks

[Kozzin Benson]

Thanks for the tip kimera.
I backed valerenga to win on your analysis & comments!
All the comments are much appreciated cheers.

[kimera]

Thanks, hoping to keep it up in the near future...

[koloino]

Originally Posted by kimera

Vålerenga - Hamarkameratene

This is certainly a must win for the title contenders Vålerenga. They have fallen behind the top teams with poor play and some loss of luck. As seasons before they have severe problems scoring goals, only 9 in 9 games, and 3 in 4 home matches. Tomorrow there is questionmarks concerning winger/striker Daniel Fredheim Holm and centre-back Ronny Johnsen. The 1st named being the most important of them. He is probable though, but have to go through som checks to get cleared for play. Lars Iver Strand is also out, but he has missed some weeks already. Otherwise they have a full squad to pick from and it is about time the quality in it is starting to show. At home 1-2-1 is not good at all, thinking player/coach Martin Andresen seriously need to do some changes before this one. If he does he should have many alternatives how to do it. Hamarkameratene is placed last and there is no signs of that changing yet. They have come up with 2 straight draws, though against much weaker teams than Vålerenga. Away stat is 0-1-4 and a goal difference of 2-11. They have to rely of picking points at home, and take away matches as it comes. The major reason for thinking a bashing from Vålerengas side is the status in Hamarkameratenes squad. On yesterdays practice he only had 11 players avaliable! Juha Pasoja, Oliver Karekezi and Roman Kienast are away on international duty while 8 others will not be ready because of injuries. Regulars like Urosevic, Strand, Cooreman, Pedersen and Øren are all out. On top of that key midfielder Jan Michelsen and key centre-back Haraldsen fights to get rid of knocks for tomorrow. They will probably be ready though, but not at 100%. That being said the status of the squad inclines Michaelsen to play right winger, a position he definitely is not used to.

Vålerenga has a great opportunity to get back on track morale-wise and scoring-wise tomorrow and I do think that this time for once the quality-filled team will be able to do it.

Betsson have 2.50 for the handicap, the next bookie offers 2.11! A price which is quite obvious that I would take...

Vålerenga, -1.5 (Ah), 2.50 @betsson 5/10

GREAT JOB

thnx kimera

[kimera]

Strømsgodset - Stabæk

In traditional way there is only one game being played on saturday. Hard-fighting Strømsgodset will be visited by a charging Stabæk which has done tremendously well so far in the campaign. The home team relies mainly on getting points at home and has been able to manage it pretty well, going 3-0-1 at their own ground. Wins against strong competitors shows that they should not be underestimated on home turf. The loss against Bodø-Glimt was a questionable one, getting the losing goal well past the 90 minute mark. Tomorrow they have some key missings though, Komlan Amewou (midfield), Andre Bergdølmo (defence), Fredrik Nordkvelle (midfield) and Alexander Aas (defence) are all out. Amewou and Nordkvelle have been important players in the early parts of the season constructing a hard-fighting threesome in the middle with Fredrik Winsnes. The teams strength is physical play, with fast wingers and a strong David Nielsen up front. The players replacing those two will be the same kind, physical and not very creative. With any other opposition tomorrow I would have considered the missings a weakness, but when looking at the status in Stabæk I would think otherwise actually. Stabæk has been led by the always dangerous strikers on top, Nannskog and Gunnarson. They are capable of getting goals all by themselves, but there is a key point to this, which lays completely in their midfield. Opponents playing Stabæk has had huge problems dealing with the very creative midfield in Stabæk. Players like Alanzinho, Anthony Annan and Somen Tchoi have demanded so much attention from the oppsition that Gunnarson and Nannskog would be able to get the space and freedom needed. Tomorrow however, none of the midfielder will take part in the game. Alanzinho is suspended, Tchoi has been sold to Salzburg while Annan is away on international duty. The replacements which would probably be Andersson, Hauger and Keller, all good players, but with all different qualities than those mentioned. Also, Hauger has only one match this season since recovering from long-term injury and Andersson struggles with a pulled thigh. Both are reported ready for tomorrow, but there is major questionmarks about which shape they are in. Their stat is impeccable though, 8-0-1 so far in the league and when playing away 8-1 in score is impressive, but those matches have been with all key players ready for action.

As a short conclusion I would say that tomorrow Stabæk, because of the missings, would have to play another type of game than they are used to. A game Strømsgodset play all the time. To add a fact from the cup-game on tuesday, which Stabæk won 2-0 against 2nd division team Fram Larvik, they were toothless until Alanzinho came in as a sub and scored both goals at the end of the game. It is defintely worth mentioning that they started with their best personell avaliable preparing for this clash, Annan, Tchoi and Alanzinho out. As I see it the value is on Strømsgodset knowing that Stabæk has tended to be a different team without those players. Also I am putting some small ones on optional bets for this match. Choosing pretty low stakes knowing the unpredictabillity from the good Stabæk strikers.

Strømsgodset ,+0.5, 1.89 @188bet 4/10
Strømsgodset, 3.50 @betsson 2/10
Under 2.5, 2.24 @10bet 2/10
Stabæk not to score, 4.80 @betsson 1/10

[Better]

Really great analysis of the match,congrats mate

I'm new on the forum and i'm honored to read and share such great previews with the experts.
Althought i'm not an expert of this scandinavian leagues,i'll try to give my support.
GL and hello everybody

[kimera]

Originally Posted by Better

Really great analysis of the match,congrats mate

I'm new on the forum and i'm honored to read and share such great previews with the experts.
Althought i'm not an expert of this scandinavian leagues,i'll try to give my support.
GL and hello everybody

to the PL forum, mate. Thanks for the input and comments, still the match haven`t been played yet so it is a little early for celebrating though. Hoping your future sharing is enjoyable, good luck!

[dj purry]

hallo kimera,some nice writting. on this game stromgvsstabaek. from 2003 untill now stromsgod never beat stabeak. they draw twice. and stabeak won with very big scores all the time, do u think really that 3 missing players would do so much damaged on the team (stabeak)?

[kimera]

Originally Posted by dj purry

hallo kimera,some nice writting. on this game stromgvsstabaek. from 2003 untill now stromsgod never beat stabeak. they draw twice. and stabeak won with very big scores all the time, do u think really that 3 missing players would do so much damaged on the team (stabeak)?

I explained why I think so in the analysis. Also the norwegian league is much tighter than it has shown for Stabæks part really. They have been playing extremely well so far, but the difference between the teams are not as big as it is reading the table. The major key why Stabæk has been playing good, is imo, the quality from single players. All those mentioned are probably players that belong in a level above the norwegian one. Tchoi has already left, there is talk about Annan leaving for Premier League in the summer and Alanzinho is getting more and more attention from top clubs. Without these three, Stabæk is not the "expectional" team as the have been. As I mentioned their striker pair is very dangerous, hence the low stakes. Nannskog and Gunnarson is a threat to all teams, but they are much worse taking care of when they have very strong players/wingers around them. Today they don`t and Strømsgodset got an easier job taking care of them... But, as you say, the stats are in favour of Stabæk, so it would be interesting to see how it works out after kick-off. Hope you got some answers dj purry, if not, it might be wise not to touch it altogether...

[kimera]

Originally Posted by kimera

Strømsgodset - Stabæk

In traditional way there is only one game being played on saturday. Hard-fighting Strømsgodset will be visited by a charging Stabæk which has done tremendously well so far in the campaign. The home team relies mainly on getting points at home and has been able to manage it pretty well, going 3-0-1 at their own ground. Wins against strong competitors shows that they should not be underestimated on home turf. The loss against Bodø-Glimt was a questionable one, getting the losing goal well past the 90 minute mark. Tomorrow they have some key missings though, Komlan Amewou (midfield), Andre Bergdølmo (defence), Fredrik Nordkvelle (midfield) and Alexander Aas (defence) are all out. Amewou and Nordkvelle have been important players in the early parts of the season constructing a hard-fighting threesome in the middle with Fredrik Winsnes. The teams strength is physical play, with fast wingers and a strong David Nielsen up front. The players replacing those two will be the same kind, physical and not very creative. With any other opposition tomorrow I would have considered the missings a weakness, but when looking at the status in Stabæk I would think otherwise actually. Stabæk has been led by the always dangerous strikers on top, Nannskog and Gunnarson. They are capable of getting goals all by themselves, but there is a key point to this, which lays completely in their midfield. Opponents playing Stabæk has had huge problems dealing with the very creative midfield in Stabæk. Players like Alanzinho, Anthony Annan and Somen Tchoi have demanded so much attention from the oppsition that Gunnarson and Nannskog would be able to get the space and freedom needed. Tomorrow however, none of the midfielder will take part in the game. Alanzinho is suspended, Tchoi has been sold to Salzburg while Annan is away on international duty. The replacements which would probably be Andersson, Hauger and Keller, all good players, but with all different qualities than those mentioned. Also, Hauger has only one match this season since recovering from long-term injury and Andersson struggles with a pulled thigh. Both are reported ready for tomorrow, but there is major questionmarks about which shape they are in. Their stat is impeccable though, 8-0-1 so far in the league and when playing away 8-1 in score is impressive, but those matches have been with all key players ready for action.

As a short conclusion I would say that tomorrow Stabæk, because of the missings, would have to play another type of game than they are used to. A game Strømsgodset play all the time. To add a fact from the cup-game on tuesday, which Stabæk won 2-0 against 2nd division team Fram Larvik, they were toothless until Alanzinho came in as a sub and scored both goals at the end of the game. It is defintely worth mentioning that they started with their best personell avaliable preparing for this clash, Annan, Tchoi and Alanzinho out. As I see it the value is on Strømsgodset knowing that Stabæk has tended to be a different team without those players. Also I am putting some small ones on optional bets for this match. Choosing pretty low stakes knowing the unpredictabillity from the good Stabæk strikers.

Strømsgodset ,+0.5, 1.89 @188bet 4/10
Strømsgodset, 3.50 @betsson 2/10
Under 2.5, 2.24 @10bet 2/10
Stabæk not to score, 4.80 @betsson 1/10

Strømsgodset - Stabæk 0-0

3/4 hits...

[Better]

0-0 FT

[anabelle]

and for tomorrow?

[Better]

For sundays matches i'm thinking to take Tromso HW v/s Fredrikstad
Allways difficult for hosts to play away at Alfheim and now Fredrikstad seems not in their best moment.
They lost 0-3 last sunday with Stabaek,won on tuesday cup match away against Skeid 2-3 but suffered,Tromso played on thursday cup match and won easily away 2-5 with Skarp.Tromso played a game less than others on Tippeligaen.
For Tromso Gk. Ramovic should be ready to play while def. Knutsen is injuried in cup thursday and will miss the match,probabily Hogly will replace him,also injuried are Huusko,Borch and Hafstad but they are old injuries;gk. Staw and fwd. Tegström are doubtful for Fredrikstad.(source www.aftenposten.no)
I'm tempted to play HW but need Kimera's idea about the match,so a little help if you can mate..
Thanks in advance

[kimera]

Tromsø - Fredrikstad

The main problem for Tromsø so far this season has been their scoring ability. Only 6 goals in 8 games do not scare anyone. On the bright side that issues seems to have loosened up a bit. Winning 2-0 over Lyn their last game, and netting 5 in the cup has changed the scenario a bit. At home they have also been a feared opponent, knowing the city lies far to the northern parts of Norway. Tomorrow they will field a strong team with only long-termers Hafstad and Borch out, while Huusko also struggles to get fit. This one comes too early for his sake though. Both 1st goalie Ramovic and Knutsen are back in action and ready to play, especially Ramovic has shown what kind of goalie he is. The strength for the team has been the defensive part. Yes, they have only netted 6 times, but with only 4 behind in total is very impressive. Also it is good to know that key striker Sigurd Rushfeldt and the teams last seasons topscorer, Morten Moldskred are showing rise in form. Especially the last one since being out injured in the early part of the season. Fredrikstad started the season incredibly well, with winning 5 of their first 7 matches. After that however it sure looks like a slump in form has headed their way. Two straight losses in the league was topped by a very close call against 2nd divison team Skeid (won 3-2). Normally they are a team which wins most of their matches at home, this season is no exception, still they have been better than seasons before. 1-1-2 away in total for their sake is not bad at all. Now they face Tromsø, in a field they have never won before. The main reason is the turf on Alfheim stadium which consists of artificial grass. An important fact to my likings. Team-wise they have no big injuries. 1st goalie Lasse Staw rested in training today, to be ready for tomorrows clash, otherwise no worries.

H2H, the teams form and the turf in Tromsø convinces me that Fredrikstad, which has performed much better than expected so far, will struggle tomorrow.

Tromsø, -0.5 (Ah), 1.93 @betinternet 4/10