Norway - Tippeligaen (12-14 April)

[zicko]

Nice previews E__S

Sport	Football (Norway)
Event	Lyn - HamKam
Selection	Lyn
Strength	10/10
Date	13/04/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 1.80 (Back)
Reasoning	Lyn have 1 win and 1 loss so far this season. The loss came away to Rosenborg in a match many thought Lyn could have taken a point. In the last round Lyn beat Bodø/Glimt 3-1. HamKam also have 3 points after a strong win against Viking. So far only 2 (of 14) games have not given a home win in this league. I consider Lyn to be a stronger team than HamKam. Norway’s biggest newspaper write that 11 HamKam-players were injured for yesterdays training. I do not know who these players are and if they are important or if they’ll be back for the match, but so many missings must disrupt match preparations. (WARNING: note the words “I do not know who these players are and if they are important…”)

[E_S]

Missings for HamKam:
GoalKeeper: Svein Inge Haagenrud
Defenders: Steve Cooreman, Knut Henry Haraldsen(1game), Håkan Malmstöm, Pål Strand, Tom Kristoffersen and Joachim Sørum(1 game).
Midfield: Marius Gullerud and Vegar Bjerke(1 game)
Attackers: Olivier Karekezi (is in South Africa, 2games 1goal) and Oluwasegun Abiodun(1 game)

So not all on them are important. Sørum, Bjerke, Karekazi and Abiodun are good, but they have replacements, but not so many now.

[meatman]

Saturday 12 April 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Rosenborg BK v Fredrikstad (18:00BST)	1.69	4.25	5.80	100%	Details »
Hide « Rosenborg BK v Fredrikstad
Sunday 13 April 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Bodø/Glimt v Stabæk (17:00BST)	3.35	3.70	2.20	102%	Details »
Hide « Bodø/Glimt v Stabæk
Lyn Oslo v Hamarkameratene (17:00BST)	1.80	3.90	5.00	101%	Details »
Hide « Lyn Oslo v Hamarkameratene
Molde v Tromsø (17:00BST)	2.80	3.50	2.60	103%	Details »
Hide « Molde v Tromsø
Viking v Aalesunds FK (17:00BST)	1.50	4.60	7.50	102%	Details »
Hide « Viking v Aalesunds FK
Lillestrøm SK v Vålerenga (19:00BST)	2.40	3.55	3.25	101%	Details »
Hide « Lillestrøm SK v Vålerenga
Monday 14 April 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Brann v Strømsgodset (18:00BST)	1.55	4.20	7.90	101%	Details »

[meatman]

I took over 3 goals for todays match @ 1.96

Watching both teams this year its clear there are some problems, especially in defence. This should be an attacking match and I can see quite a few goals being scored.

I have a feeling that Fredrikstad might draw or even win. RBK really have been shit so far this season and certainly cant be relied upon.

[E_S]

Seems like we have two threads for Tippeligaen this round
Can post my things again then.

Odds from Bwin, on wednesday 9.4:
Saturday 12.april 19:00 Rosenborg 1.60 X 3.75 Fredrikstad FK 5.25
Rosenborg lost to Strømsgodset in last game, but played pretty well. Created some good chances but still does some very easy mistakes in the defence. So the defenders still need some time to get to know each other. Rosenborg has now scored in the last 43 Tippeliga games played.
Rosenborg will miss S.Iversen (A 1game) with injury. M.Sapara (M) is doubtful here. A.Tettey was back from injury in the game against Strømsgodset. K.Stadsgaard(D) might get his first game here, after he came from Italy.

Fredrikstad played a good game against Molde and has played well the first two rounds. There were many chances both ways in the game against Molde, and the winning goal came just after Fredrikstad got a red card. Lost to Brann in first away game, but played very good there and could have taken all the points with a little more luck. Won only 1 game away last year, and is looking forward to do better this season.
Fredrikstad will miss A.Barsom(M 2games) with suspension after a red card. I.Fofana(A) got a injury on training all will be out for 3 weeks.

Rosenborg are favorites, but over looks like a better choice here.

Sunday 13.april 18:00 Bodø/Glimt 3.25 X 3.50 Stabaek IF 2.05 Bodø/Glimt won their first home game, a little lucky win against HamKam. Didn’t have much to do against Lyn in last game and the loss was well deserved. They were lucky they just conceded 3 goals in that game. So the defence gets problems as expected with players that has great pace.
J.D.Sørensen(A) is out with injury.

Stabæk got only 1 point away against Molde, a game they should forget as soon as possible. Didn’t play well there and should be happy they got a point. Played much better against Lillestrøm and the win was well deserved. Alanzinho, Nannskog and J.Andersson was excellent in that game, and showed some of the great form they had last year.
H.Hauger(M) and M.Kjølø(D 1game) are injured. S.Tchoyi(M 1game) was not very good in the first round and was on the bench against Lillestrøm. His replacement J.Andersson did a great job and scored two goals.

I see Stabæk as favorites here and they should be good enough to win here.

Sunday 13.april 18:00 Lyn Oslo 1.70 X 3.55 HamKam 4.75
Lyn has played two good games so far, but has only 3 points. Were close to grab points against Rosenborg in the first round and could have easily scored more then 3 goals against Bodø/Glimt last weekend. They have many talented and young players in Lyn, who has started the season great.
Lyn has will only miss Jimmy Tamandi(D), who might miss the hole season with injury.

HamKam has played two good games so far. Were close to get points against Bodø in their first away game, and took a great win against Viking last weekend. The gras on the home pitch ain’t great for HamKam and they have some benefit with that. They will not get that benefit here as Ullevål looked very good the last weekend.
HamKam will miss K.H.Haraldsen(D), Håkan Malmström(D), Tom Kristoffersen(D), Steve Cooreman(D) and Pål Strand(M) with injury. All defenders that played against Viking are ready here.

I think both teams are capable to score here and over looks like a good bet.

Sunday 13.april 18:00 Molde FK 2.80 X 3.45 Tromsø 2.30
Molde has played two good games, but has only 1 point so far. They are fighting well and will give everything in every game, so they can avoid relegation. They were close to get all 3 points against Stabæk, but ended up with only 1 in the end. Against Fredrikstad they had a draw, with one man more, but a mistake by the goalkeeper gave them none points.
Molde will miss Christian Steen(D) and Valter Tomaz jr(D) with injury. M.Andreasson(D 1game might miss this game.

Tromsø has 4 points after 2 rounds, after playing against 2 of the best teams. Very strong start this season and this should be the easiest game so far. They are normally not very good away, but played great against Lillestrøm in the first round. Will try to play a little more offensive then they have done the last seasons, and created some very good chances against LSK.
Tromsø will miss Knut Borch(GK) and Morten Moldskred(A) with injury.

Tromsø are small favourites, but this is a game to avoid.

Sunday 13.april 18:00 Viking 1.50 X 4.25 Aalesund 5.50
Viking will be looking forward to bounce straight back after the loss against HamKam. The game was played on an awful pitch, and forced Viking to change the style on how the play football. Back on the home stadium, they will try to get an early goal and score at least some more then they did against Strømsgodset. They were close in the end to loose some points against Strømsgodset and will try to keep focus for a longer time now.
Viking will miss P.Abelsson(D), M.Ross(D 1game) and T.Myhre(GK) with injury.

Aalesund took a well deserved win against Brann, and they were much better then last season winners. They have played well in the 2 first rounds, and the confident will be high after the great win last weekend. They have the potential to score in every game, and with T.H.Aarøy back from injury, they look stronger up front.
No injury problems.

Think we will se a good game here, with many chances and hopefully some goals, so over3 for me here.

Sunday 13.april 20:00 Lillestrøm 2.30 X 3.25 Vålerenga 2.95
Big derby game here. Lillestrøm has only 1 point and has disappointed big so far this season. Was lucky to get 1 point against Tromsø and were far from getting points against Stabæk. The players look tired in the games, and something has to be done quickly.
K.Mouelhi(M 2games) is suspended after red card. Lillestrøm will miss Marius Johnsen(D), Espen Søgård(M) and Markus Kiesenebner(M) for a long time with injury. Bjørn Helge Riise(M) felt good on today’s training and should be ready for this game.

Vålerenga has 3 points so far after a win against Aalesund. Didn’t play to good there, but it was ok that they won in the end. Against Tromsø they lost, and didn’t create much there, so the loss was well deserved. They will still need some time before all the players are familiar with the new formation and their new friends, before we will see them playing their best football.
Vålerenga will miss R.Lange(A), J.Jalland(M) and M.Fellah(A) with injury. G.Roberts(A) has gone on loan to Nybergsund.

Two teams that haven’t played too well so far and it’s a no bet for me.

Monday 14.april 19:00 Brann 1.55 X 3.90 Strømsgodset 5.50
Brann haven’t played well so far. They won a little lucky win against Fredrikstad in the first round, while against Aalesund they were just really bad. They were complaining a little on the artificial grass Aalesund has, but has to get familiar with that, since many clubs are switching over to the same kind.
Brann will miss K.Sigurdsson(D 2games) with suspension after his red card against Aalesund. Captain E.Bakke(M 2games) is doubtful after he went out early with injury against Aalesund. Also H.Opdahl(GK 2games) has some problems, he haven’t been on training this week after his knees makes some problems and are doubtful here. T.Jaiteh(M) is back in training again.

Strømsgodset have played 2 good games so far. Were close to get points against Viking in their first away game, and took a strong win against Rosenborg. Especially the new attacker D.Nielsen did a great job there, when he scored two goals in his debut. This hard working team will get many points this season and should be able to avoid the relegation battle.
T.Sørum(A 1game) missed the last game and he is doubtful here.

So far Strømsgodset has played best, while Brann has been equal to goals, so over looks like a good bet, too a low odds.

[meatman]

LOL sorry ES - for some reason I didn't see you post last night

nice write ups as ever, GL

[E_S]

No prob meatman

Rosenborg lost 1-2 and the over went in, so a good start on the weekend.

[meatman]

damn I should've also played Fredrikstad +0.75 and been brave

instead I only get a push on my over 3

ah well, nothing lost

[zicko]

Taken Viking to beat Aalesund by at least 2 goals at 2,40 @ Centrebet. A bit controversial considering Aalesund's well deserved win against Brann last weekend, but with Viking's attacking power and no artificial surface advantage I think 2,40 is well paid