Norway, Cup, 23-24th July.

[kimera]

Wednesday 23 July 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Molde v Brann (18:00BST)	2.50	3.75	3.00	100.00 %	Details »
Hide « Molde v Brann
Thursday 24 July 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Tromsø v Vålerenga (18:00BST)	2.30	3.60	3.20	102.51 %	Details »
Hide « Tromsø v Vålerenga

[lurie]

i see the odds on brann are dropping all over! any reason for that?

[kimera]

Molde - Brann

Well, this one will be thought as a long shot, but when two of the most unstable teams in Norway atm face each other there is very much that can happen. The home team showed great form in the last league game by thrashing a surprisingly weak Vålerenga. The lack of tactical display from visitors from that match was scary, and the result covered that notion totally. Overall there has been some improvement, going 2-2-0 their last 4 in the league. Squad-wise, key midfielder Magne Hoseth is ready for today after sitting out in the last one, while regular midfelders Mattias Mostrøm and Thomas Holm are out. Defender Christian Steen is also out, but he has been injured for a while anyways. Still, looking beyond their good league form, both last matches in the cup has been abysmal, winning in penalties and OT against lower league teams. How is their motivation for this one? My guess is that they will put up a fight, but the league is top priority. Brann, the most volatile lot in the league hit the wall last match losing against Ålesund at home (1-2). A game they dominated, but their effectiveness was terrible. The missing of key striker an topscorer Thorstein Helstad might be crucial for them in the late part of the season. Today, the mentioned Helstad, wing-back Guntveit and back-up goalie is out. Otherwise a full squad is ready to be out there. There is talk about using strong Azar Karadas on top beside Demba-Nyren. A notion which is not bad since being a forward on many games scoring planty goals before they decided to use him as a centre-back. The venegance factor must be high in Branns squad also. When they faced Molde in the league they blew a 3-1 lead which did not look good at all knowing the players thought they already had won.

As I mentioned both teams can be really good or pretty terrible. Brann has something to avenge, and have a better team on paper. They also have strong cup traditions and want to finish as the winner. Low stakes, but value is on Brann rating them in around 55% chance of winning...

Brann, +0, 2.13 @sbobet 2/10

[littleacca]

I got Molde at a nice 6/4. Easiest bet I've got in a long time. Carrying on their big win against Valerenga from weekend.

[lurie]

kimera!
you're doing great job and i respect you for that....

yesterday molde took the game very seriously and brann rested some players....
the information that you gave have'nt been so relieable but i'm sure it wasn't on perpase.....

i thought before i read your prediction to play molde but your stuff got me off this bet...

gl next time

[kimera]

Originally Posted by lurie

kimera!
you're doing great job and i respect you for that....

yesterday molde took the game very seriously and brann rested some players....
the information that you gave have'nt been so relieable but i'm sure it wasn't on perpase.....

i thought before i read your prediction to play molde but your stuff got me off this bet...

gl next time

Well, the fact is that Brann did not rest any players at all. Maybe right-back Bjorn Dahl was the only one that might be called a resting. Brann played their best avaliable eleven yesterday, but they were simply horrendous out there. A bad call by me indeed, but the info was not wrong imo. Molde scored on their only 3 chances in the first half, and continued hitting on their next two in the 2nd. After that I turned off the telly, to embarrasing to look at knowing that I believed in Brann...

[Simeunov]

Perhaps then Fredrikstad could take advantage of the situation and take their chances on Saturday against Brann? Altough Frederikstad is recovering from demoralizing defeat of 5-1 from Stabek. But apart from that they are traditionally strong at home, i remember the last season where most or only victories for that matter were from home ground. And besides, Bran will be probably more tired if the whole 1st team was playing, and the 8-0 nailing should leave a deadly scar on their morale. I've seen odds droping slowly on Frederikstad today, altough really slowly, so i guess should wait for the weekend for the final call.