Norway, Adeccoleague, 5-7th of July.

[kimera]

Saturday 5 July 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Haugesund v Bryne (15:00BST)	2.56	3.90	2.76	100.94 %	Details »
Hide « Haugesund v Bryne
Sunday 6 July 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Hødd v Nybergsund (17:00BST)	2.30	3.80	3.05	102.58 %	Details »
Hide « Hødd v Nybergsund
Kongsvinger IL v Sandnes Ulf (17:00BST)	2.24	3.85	3.30	100.92 %	Details »
Hide « Kongsvinger IL v Sandnes Ulf
Løv-Ham v Sandefjord Fotball (17:00BST)	2.52	3.55	2.88	102.57 %	Details »
Hide « Løv-Ham v Sandefjord Fotball
Odd Grenland v Sogndal (17:00BST)	1.33	5.60	10.50	102.38 %	Details »
Hide « Odd Grenland v Sogndal
Sparta Sarpsborg v Notodden FK (17:00BST)	2.58	3.65	2.82	101.62 %	Details »
Hide « Sparta Sarpsborg v Notodden FK
Start v Moss (17:00BST)	1.65	4.20	6.00	101.08 %	Details »
Hide « Start v Moss
Monday 7 July 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Alta v Hønefoss BK (17:00BST)	3.15	3.60	2.25	103.97 %	Details

[Better]

I like Kongsvinger HW,they are in must-win situation,Sandnes is having a good season,maybe better than expected but when i look at Kongsvinger squad it doesn't seem so week.
For today Carl-Erik Torp, Johan Nilsson Guiomar and Olav Tuelo Johannesen are doubtfull only the first is not a new injuried.
For Sandnes,according to this http://www.tipsgaming.com/default.asp?menu=124&id=3324, no new injuried for them.
I'd put a little-medium stake on HW,any thoughts?

[kimera]

Løv Ham - Sandefjord

The home team has so far done as expected this season, being placed in the middle of the table. Some good matches has been replaced by bad ones. This is probably the way their season is going to go on until the end. Their stat at home, 2-2-1 confirms it. Their squad is from average to good relying on key players like strikers Stephen Ademolu and Samir Saric to perform. Being from Bergen they have a "deal" going on with Brann, letting some players being loaned out. Form-wise they have only one win their last 6. The win came last match against a heavily struggling Haugesund (3-2), after being under 1-2 late in the game. In those six matches the opponents have been good though, facing contenders like Odd, Bryne, Moss and Start. Still, it shows where they lay quality-wise. Earlier in the week the beat Bryne 4-1 in the cup, a strong result looking at the opponent, but when knowing that Bryne was terrible in the 2nd half I am not convinced. A very strange match indeed, Bryne leading 1-0 after the 1st, should have been more, and playing like a 3rd division team in the 2nd half. The match caused a closed meeting in the Bryne squad where players had to explain themself to the staff about why it went like that. Today they will miss key centre-back Knut Walde who was injured last weekend, otherwise no squad info to come by. Still, I expect them being somewhat tired after the cup clash on wednesday. Sandefjord won 2-0 in their last match. Reports tell that the result should definitely been bigger, knowing that they controlled the game from beginning until end. Today only one player is out, winger Ørjan Røyrane, a full squad expected to travel. As I have mentioned before, this squad has underachieved heavily so far, being a promotion contender imo. The last match display and key players like strikers Malick Mane and Kjartan Finnbogason showing form makes me convinced that Sandefjord is looking at much better 2nd part of the season.

Knowing about the status and form, this one has sheer value. Taking it easily thinking that Sandefjord has a real opportunity shaping up a poor away form until now (0-2-3)...

Sandefjord, (0), 2.15 @pinnacle 4/10

[kimera]

Sparta Sarpsborg - Notodden

I was actually planning not to touch this one, because of pretty low value, but when knowing of the squad worries in the home team I had to take it anyhow. Sparta will miss key striker Øyvind Hoås (injured), while regulars Are Tronseth (centre-back), Makthiar Thioune (midfielder) and Berat Jusufi (full-back) are all out suspended. They are all players that has been important ones for the team and on a team like Sparta they will be sorely missed. When they now face a surging Notodden without any squad issues, they will have a tough time handling them. Going at home, 1-2-2, and being placed 12th it reflects the quality in the Sparta team. They will struggle to stay alive until next season and when situations like these arise it won`t be easier. Notodden has shown lately that they are ready to fight for promotion. The bashing of Hødd last match (5-1) proves it, even if Hødd missed a penalty early in the game. 1-4-1 when playing away is not that good, but they have not lossed since their 1st one visiting. The opposition since then has been far better team than Sparta. In other words they have a golden opportunity today positioning themself on the crucial 3rd spot in this years league, knowing that Odd and Start will most likely be too good to battle with.

Notodden should win this, even if the value could be better imo...

Notodden, (0), 1.80 @188bet 5/10

[kimera]

Originally Posted by Better

I like Kongsvinger HW,they are in must-win situation,Sandnes is having a good season,maybe better than expected but when i look at Kongsvinger squad it doesn't seem so week.
For today Carl-Erik Torp, Johan Nilsson Guiomar and Olav Tuelo Johannesen are doubtfull only the first is not a new injuried.
For Sandnes,according to this http://www.tipsgaming.com/default.asp?menu=124&id=3324, no new injuried for them.
I'd put a little-medium stake on HW,any thoughts?

I do not disagree with you, but I feel this one is a match that could go either way. Kongsvinger must win yes, but when they played the cup-match on wednesday, they were poor, losing 0-3. Guiomar and Johannesen will probably play, while Torp is out. Sandnes is always a hard fighting team which relies on physique. Of 11 matches this season, only one has been with a clear win/loss. Otherwise all matches has been very tight, even holding off Start playing away. Difficult one imo this match, but good luck too you if you choose to go for it...

[Better]

Originally Posted by kimera

I do not disagree with you, but I feel this one is a match that could go either way. Kongsvinger must win yes, but when they played the cup-match on wednesday, they were poor, losing 0-3. Guiomar and Johannesen will probably play, while Torp is out. Sandnes is always a hard fighting team which relies on physique. Of 11 matches this season, only one has been with a clear win/loss. Otherwise all matches has been very tight, even holding off Start playing away. Difficult one imo this match, but good luck too you if you choose to go for it...

Thanks for the advice Kimera,yes this is a very hard match,maybe i'll escape it,save the money for taking Valerenga later

[kimera]

Løv Ham - Sandefjord 0-2
bet won...

Sparta Sarpsborg - Notodden 1-1
bet void...

[Landskrona]

Alta-Honefoss

In last game Honeffos who is 2-0-4 away, are not able to produce the big chances against Nybergsund (lose 0-1) and also against Sogndal, when they lose 1-3 after poor performance. They will come back two key players striker Madiou Konate (9 games, 3 goals) and midfielder Umaru Kangura ( 9 games,1 goal). Konate and Bangura played against Nybergsund, but against Sogndal only Konate was in the 1^st linup and he played as winger (normally he plays as forward). In last two games they put very weak performance in forward and they creating just a few chances to score. In their away games this season only two games went under, but that was last game and game against Odd Grenland. Thay score 7 goals in 5 games, but 4 became against Haugar Haugesund who is woeful defense especially at home. Alta is woeful defense(29 goals lost) but at away games so far. At home they play really safer. 3 of 5 games went under. Against Odd the score was 3-7 but that was the opening match and another over was with Haugar haugesund (as I said team who is woeful defense but wuth good attack when play with poor defense) . Last game against Moss 4-2 they took the lead twice with El Haj having a very good game. El haj was the only reason why Keeper Andreas Eikum was replaced after 62 minutes in that game (he had a really nightmare match). In last 20 minutes Alta have nothing to offer and they resigned. That was a really open match but i doubt that today Alta will put the same performance in front. And i doubt it that Alta allowed 3 goals in 3th match in a row, especially if they will play at home where they play a little better.Alta will be tired after two games which they trying to play something up front and i dont see them scoring today more than 1 goal. Poor form of Honefoss scares me to take away win and i see value in playing under. I always see value in playing under in Adecco at Saturday and midweek games, but not at Sundays

My Prediction: Alta-Honefoss: 1-1


Under 2.5 @ 2.1 3/10

[kimera]

Alta - Hønefoss

Well, I just read Landskronas writings and I must say I disagree with him. Not a bad write up though, keep up the good work...

Alta is in a must-win situation. They desperatly need to gather points if they want to stay alive after being behind 3 points to a secure position. The situation is not that bad, but their form and play has not been good at all lately. Last match they lost 4-2 against Moss, mostly becuase of bad goalkeeping by Moss goalie Eikum, but that was when playing away. It is at home they need to gather points. Offensive-wise they have some players that could do good. Led by striker Alassane they should be able to get at least one today. However, their main problem has been the defensive part, averaging 3 goals behind in the last 5 is a clear sign of that. Also when key centre-back Martin Overvik is injured (their only absentee) it does not make it easier for them. Hønefoss has fallen into a slump lately, going 0-2-2 the last 4 matches. Their main problem during those matches has been effectiveness, because they order of play has not been bad at all. Many good chances has been wasted and the results reflects that. Today key striker and topscorer Lars Lafton is back in action after being injured a couple of games. Also knowing that their squad is nearly injury-free and pretty complete they could not get a better opportunity for a ressurection in form today. They have a lot of quality in it, midfielder Umaru Bangura and striker Madiou Konate being examples of players with a lot of experience from levels above.

Alta, which need to win, face a Hønefoss with every potential to win with a full squad at their hands. Seeing the already heavy struggling defence in the home team should be in trouble against the powerful strikers in Hønefoss. The only question is if Hønefoss manage to effective again though. Knowing that my bets concerning over/under bets have been poor lately I choose rather low stakes, but there is value in a high-scoring one imo. The away win was tempting, but the value too low imo...

Over 3, 2.05 @sbobet 3/10

[vratislav]

kimera I can't play under or over for this match.But I read your thougths and saw you said Honefoss win but it's value is low?(My english is not good if I'm wrong sorry.)1.85 is low?Anyway, I must choose home win,draw or away win.Do you think which one is more safer?Meanwhile how is my english?

[kimera]

Originally Posted by vratislav

kimera I can't play under or over for this match.But I read your thougths and saw you said Honefoss win but it's value is low?(My english is not good if I'm wrong sorry.)1.85 is low?Anyway, I must choose home win,draw or away win.Do you think which one is more safer?Meanwhile how is my english?

Imo odds is too low knowing that Alta must get forward to get goals and that Hønefoss has struggled lately. Also Alta is destined to get some points sooner or later after suffering 7 defeats in a row. They have shown that they are not that bad as the stat says in many occasions, when often leading in the matches they play. The last one against Moss is an example of it having a 2-1 lead. Also they have not given up in any games when being under so far. Hønefoss has a good squad, better than Alta on paper, but their form is questionable. Today they face the worst defence in the league and with a somewhat shaky D themself, I see some goals.

Based on those facts I would rate around 2.00+ as value imo. Btw, your english is quite good I must say...

[Landskrona]

Originally Posted by Landskrona

Alta-Honefoss
My Prediction: Alta-Honefoss: 1-1
Under 2.5 @ 2.1 3/10

Final score: 0 - 2
Bet WON

Easy three points for Honefoss and easy under .Anyway as i said "i see value in playing under. I always see value in playing under in Adecco at Saturday and midweek games, but not at Sundays " and it works very well (check last saturdays or midweek games so far in Adecco this season - i think that you will see 70 % games going under).

Cheers kimera

[kimera]

Originally Posted by Landskrona

Final score: 0 - 2
Bet WON

Easy three points for Honefoss and easy under .Anyway as i said "i see value in playing under. I always see value in playing under in Adecco at Saturday and midweek games, but not at Sundays " and it works very well (check last saturdays or midweek games so far in Adecco this season - i think that you will see 70 % games going under).

Cheers kimera

Congrats!

[Landskrona]

Nybergsund v Sandefjord


Trysil defended himself fantastic in the second half against Honnefoss (1-0).They Come back Keeper Tervaniemi in last match who had a good first game after suspened. Sandefjord average below 2 goal on away games and they play very defensive kind of fotball. 4 of last 5 games went under and 3 of 5 away fixtures went under. 3 of 5 games on home ground went under for Nybergsund. Im taking under 2.5 for that game and i hope that Sandefjord will struggle in attack and defenders of Trysil play similiar game to Honnefoss.



Under 2.5,3 @ 2.00 bet365

BET VOID

[Better]

Nybergsund is highflying now,nobody expected them to be there up in the table.
I've read on the net they allready started to talk about to be near playoff by winning and that they can interfere in the top.
Sandefjord is finding the form and is far better than Nybergsund,for me this match can turn in AW,for Nybergsund it will be fourth match, five in 14 days.
It's time for Nybergsund to come back flying low,for me AW.

[kimera]

Nybergsund - Sandefjord

Two in-form teams meet up today. Nybergsund has really made their actions better recently. I for one is not that surprised, their squad is not the worst, and with some potential. Most importantly Joe Lapira in front is in shape, which gives the team some confidence i all aspects of the game. Still, there should be a difference quality-wise between the squads. Sandefjord will field nearly the same team as those who won against Løv Ham in the last match. Only Ebrima Sohna is out with a cold. The bookies has done right in this one though, finding the value for Sandefjord too low imo, which would have been my choice if I were to consider it.

A draw in this one is highly probable, but as I have said before, I don`t bet on draws...

No bet