Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) - The Punters Lounge

Galea78 · 13-09-2006, 10:19

Saturday 16 September 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Vejle v Silkeborg (16:00 BST)	2.85	3.40	2.50	105%
Sunday 17 September 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
AaB Aalborg v OB Odense (14:00 BST)	2.07	3.40	4.00	103%
Copenhagen v FC Nordsjaelland (14:00 BST)	1.52	4.20	8.50	102%
FC Midtjylland v AC Horsens (14:00 BST)	1.68	3.85	6.50	101%
Viborg v Randers (14:00 BST)	2.20	3.40	3.65	103%
Brøndby v Esbjerg (17:00 BST)	1.60	4.00	6.50	103%

Jonne · 13-09-2006, 12:11

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Viborg - Randers FC
Selection	Randers FC
Strength	10/10
Date	17/09/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Centrebet @ 3.60 (Back)
Reasoning	Randers is one of the few teams that promote from the Viasat division and actually looks like their going to stay in the Sas league, it's always a surprise when teams stay up (Horsens last year.) Randers actually beat Esbjerg 3-1 which is quite an effort! Another surprise this year is Viborg, after managing a top-4 spot last year, they now look like candidates to relegate. They don't play well to be honest, and the only team they've beaten till now is the record-holders of most losses in a row, Vejle. Now, Randers are missing Tofting and Fabinho, two guys that mean a lot to the team, yet they've been missing these guys all the season and have been playing well anyways, so don't see why this should affect them now. Yet we're given the huge price 3.6 for Randers, which is quite weird in my opinion, but this might be due to them having to play Fenerbache mid-week. Still I think there is good value in this bet, where I give Randers 30 % chance of succeeding, giving us a betvalue of a 108,00%. Happy punting!

Robijas · 15-09-2006, 08:02

Hello ,
does anyone can put a list of suspended or injured players from this league??
I am intresting in the game between FC Copenhagen - FC Nordjaelland

Doen anyone can help me about this game??

Jonne · 15-09-2006, 13:48

http://www.injuries.dk/

For all the injury inquiries of the Sas league.

Sembach · 15-09-2006, 15:33

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robijas

Hello ,
does anyone can put a list of suspended or injured players from this league??
I am intresting in the game between FC Copenhagen - FC Nordjaelland

Doen anyone can help me about this game??

Grønkjær is out, but we can do fine without him. FC Nordsjælland has never won against FC Copenhagen in SAS liga (they won twice in Viasat Cup, but against FC Copenhagen reserves, mostly youngsters, with strongest players available and new coach to impress). FCN has just sold a solid defender, Dickoh, to Utrecht, and to other dominent players in summer left for Vitesse. Yes they had a good start, but i will be very surprised if they can get anything in Copenhagen.
IMO 1=90% X=8% 2=2%

Jonne · 15-09-2006, 15:45

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Vejle - Silkeborg
Selection	Silkeborg
Strength	10/10
Date	16/09/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 2.77 (Back)
Reasoning	This is the match of two of the worst teams of the league, two probable relegations. There's been a lot of intrigue surrounding Vejle because they've fired Lennart Lynge on "false" premises, if not false then at least very very suspicious. Anyway, there's also been some stuff happening in Silkeborg, ending in them sending Fetai home, and he'll be out for the next match too. So a lot of strange things are happening, and these two teams have both lost most of their matches (vejle actually lost all of them.) There is a slight difference though, Silkeborg has been playing good teams, and actually beat Viborg away, whilst Vejle has been beaten thoroughly by most teams and didn't stand a chance against Randers. Vejle has a long list of injuries: Anders Post Jacobsen, Issey Nakajima-Farran, Kristoffer Johannsen, Lasse Kronborg, Mathias Hansen, Ulrik Balling (might get ready though,)Ulrik Johansen and Urmas Rooba. Silkeborg will be missing Fetai due to internal problems and these players due to injury: Anders Veller Mads Ibenfeldt Thomas Raun Basically I think Silkeborg are quite a bit stronger than Vejle, and are just in bad shape, but generally the skill is there, so I give Silkeborg 40 % chance of winning, ending with a betvalue of 110,8 % Happy punting!

Jonne · 15-09-2006, 15:47

Sembach, even though I'm also a fan of FCK I do believe we'll be having some trouble against FCN.
We've not been great these latest matches in the Sas league, but I'm hoping Allback will be roaring to go :p
Still 90 % is a tad optimistic in my eyes, I never put % on FCK as I'm biased, so don't ask me what the actual rating should be

By the way, the price on Randers is at 3.8 at 24hpoker... That's strange considering they barely lost away to Fenerbache yesterday!

Sembach · 15-09-2006, 16:15

SAS liga is not the most predictable ligue to pick winners in !
Usually i pick other ligues to bet at, but sometimes the odds is to high in some SAS liga matches, which doesnt has a difference in teams like Italy or Spain. So the chances should be better for the dog to win here i think.

My eye catches Esbjerg this week. Brøndby is not a force this year, they have started of well, but has had trouble in the first two matches at home, winning from behind. Last two matches at home they won comfortly, but against low morale teams and away they only played draws.
Esbjerg has had a decent start, but has shown qualities that can beat the best, most impressive was home against FC Midtjylland winning from behind, away win against OB and last weeks game against FC Copenhagen.
Brøndby has lots of injuries (for some time now), and its key players they miss (Marcus Lantz, Thomas Rytter, Morten Duncan Rasmussen, Peguero Jean Philippe, Trond Andersen) and has now only one real attacker (new signing from Stoke, Sigurdson). They have to depend on youngsters every game to deliver their best. Brøndby played thursday UEFA game and lost 4-0 to Frankfurt (two defenders red carded), factor for internal problems, tiredness and morale distractor. Sooner or later they will lose at home to some underdog team. I think this is the week.

1X2 = PICK 2 @ 6.50 @ Bluesq.com, medium stake

AH -1 = PICK 2 @ 2.50 @ Stan James, medium stake

1X2 first half = PICK 2 @ 6.00 @ Bet365, low stake

First team to score = PICK 2 @ 3.50 @ Bet 1128, low stake

Correct score = PICK 1-2 @ 34.00 @ Bet 365, low stake

Jonne · 15-09-2006, 16:19

Aye, that's one tasty price! Especially considering yesterdays disaster!

Robijas · 15-09-2006, 18:03

Sembach,
you are profesional in this job...

Congrats man..THANK YOU FOR INFOS...

Psychic · 16-09-2006, 10:18

My eye catches Esbjerg this week. Brøndby is not a force this year, they have started of well, but has had trouble in the first two matches at home, winning from behind. Last two matches at home they won comfortly, but against low morale teams and away they only played draws.
Esbjerg has had a decent start, but has shown qualities that can beat the best, most impressive was home against FC Midtjylland winning from behind, away win against OB and last weeks game against FC Copenhagen.
Brøndby has lots of injuries (for some time now), and its key players they miss (Marcus Lantz, Thomas Rytter, Morten Duncan Rasmussen, Peguero Jean Philippe, Trond Andersen) and has now only one real attacker (new signing from Stoke, Sigurdson). They have to depend on youngsters every game to deliver their best. Brøndby played thursday UEFA game and lost 4-0 to Frankfurt (two defenders red carded), factor for internal problems, tiredness and morale distractor. Sooner or later they will lose at home to some underdog team. I think this is the week.

@Sembach

Yes, Brøndby haven't been playing well until now but they are still a team that is difficult to beat, which became clear last weekend when they travelled to league toppers AaB and nearly won. They still have a few players out due to injuries but only two or three of them are key players. For instance, I think that a player like Trond Andersen will actually struggle to get back into the team even if he was fit. As for the strikers, Brøndby have actually bought two new players, the other one being the South African Giovanni Rector plus they have two huge talents in Nicolai Agger and David Williams, who will probably feature at some point in tomorrow's game.

For me, the only reason to back Esbjerg is because of Brøndby's midweek game at Frankfurt. Admittedly the result was a minor disaster but that could also goad the Brøndby players to go out and make a really good performance against Esbjerg. The value lies with the away team of course but given Brøndby's strength at home I think that a draw is probably the best that Esbjerg can hope for tomorrow. They may have some good attacking qualities but defensively they are one of the worst teams in the league at all.

Jonne · 17-09-2006, 18:25

Was an okay-ish week for me, nothing special though, hoping to do better next week

15-09-2006, 08:02	#3 (permalink)
Robijas Banned Join Date: 21 Jun 2006 Age: 30 Posts: 582	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) Hello , does anyone can put a list of suspended or injured players from this league?? I am intresting in the game between FC Copenhagen - FC Nordjaelland Doen anyone can help me about this game??

15-09-2006, 13:48	#4 (permalink)
Jonne Danish Punter Join Date: 20 May 2006 Location: Copenhagen, Denmark. Age: 19 Posts: 1,007	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) http://www.injuries.dk/ For all the injury inquiries of the Sas league.

15-09-2006, 15:47	#7 (permalink)
Jonne Danish Punter Join Date: 20 May 2006 Location: Copenhagen, Denmark. Age: 19 Posts: 1,007	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) Sembach, even though I'm also a fan of FCK I do believe we'll be having some trouble against FCN. We've not been great these latest matches in the Sas league, but I'm hoping Allback will be roaring to go :p Still 90 % is a tad optimistic in my eyes, I never put % on FCK as I'm biased, so don't ask me what the actual rating should be By the way, the price on Randers is at 3.8 at 24hpoker... That's strange considering they barely lost away to Fenerbache yesterday! Last edited by Jonne; 15-09-2006 at 15:48.

15-09-2006, 16:15	#8 (permalink)
Sembach Dedicated Punter Join Date: 26 Oct 2004 Posts: 215	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) SAS liga is not the most predictable ligue to pick winners in ! Usually i pick other ligues to bet at, but sometimes the odds is to high in some SAS liga matches, which doesnt has a difference in teams like Italy or Spain. So the chances should be better for the dog to win here i think. My eye catches Esbjerg this week. Brøndby is not a force this year, they have started of well, but has had trouble in the first two matches at home, winning from behind. Last two matches at home they won comfortly, but against low morale teams and away they only played draws. Esbjerg has had a decent start, but has shown qualities that can beat the best, most impressive was home against FC Midtjylland winning from behind, away win against OB and last weeks game against FC Copenhagen. Brøndby has lots of injuries (for some time now), and its key players they miss (Marcus Lantz, Thomas Rytter, Morten Duncan Rasmussen, Peguero Jean Philippe, Trond Andersen) and has now only one real attacker (new signing from Stoke, Sigurdson). They have to depend on youngsters every game to deliver their best. Brøndby played thursday UEFA game and lost 4-0 to Frankfurt (two defenders red carded), factor for internal problems, tiredness and morale distractor. Sooner or later they will lose at home to some underdog team. I think this is the week. 1X2 = PICK 2 @ 6.50 @ Bluesq.com, medium stake AH -1 = PICK 2 @ 2.50 @ Stan James, medium stake 1X2 first half = PICK 2 @ 6.00 @ Bet365, low stake First team to score = PICK 2 @ 3.50 @ Bet 1128, low stake Correct score = PICK 1-2 @ 34.00 @ Bet 365, low stake

15-09-2006, 16:19	#9 (permalink)
Jonne Danish Punter Join Date: 20 May 2006 Location: Copenhagen, Denmark. Age: 19 Posts: 1,007	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) Aye, that's one tasty price! Especially considering yesterdays disaster!

15-09-2006, 18:03	#10 (permalink)
Robijas Banned Join Date: 21 Jun 2006 Age: 30 Posts: 582	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) Sembach, you are profesional in this job... Congrats man..THANK YOU FOR INFOS...

16-09-2006, 10:18	#11 (permalink)
Psychic Dedicated Punter Join Date: 27 Nov 2004 Location: Odense, Denmark Age: 40 Posts: 202	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) My eye catches Esbjerg this week. Brøndby is not a force this year, they have started of well, but has had trouble in the first two matches at home, winning from behind. Last two matches at home they won comfortly, but against low morale teams and away they only played draws. Esbjerg has had a decent start, but has shown qualities that can beat the best, most impressive was home against FC Midtjylland winning from behind, away win against OB and last weeks game against FC Copenhagen. Brøndby has lots of injuries (for some time now), and its key players they miss (Marcus Lantz, Thomas Rytter, Morten Duncan Rasmussen, Peguero Jean Philippe, Trond Andersen) and has now only one real attacker (new signing from Stoke, Sigurdson). They have to depend on youngsters every game to deliver their best. Brøndby played thursday UEFA game and lost 4-0 to Frankfurt (two defenders red carded), factor for internal problems, tiredness and morale distractor. Sooner or later they will lose at home to some underdog team. I think this is the week. @Sembach Yes, Brøndby haven't been playing well until now but they are still a team that is difficult to beat, which became clear last weekend when they travelled to league toppers AaB and nearly won. They still have a few players out due to injuries but only two or three of them are key players. For instance, I think that a player like Trond Andersen will actually struggle to get back into the team even if he was fit. As for the strikers, Brøndby have actually bought two new players, the other one being the South African Giovanni Rector plus they have two huge talents in Nicolai Agger and David Williams, who will probably feature at some point in tomorrow's game. For me, the only reason to back Esbjerg is because of Brøndby's midweek game at Frankfurt. Admittedly the result was a minor disaster but that could also goad the Brøndby players to go out and make a really good performance against Esbjerg. The value lies with the away team of course but given Brøndby's strength at home I think that a draw is probably the best that Esbjerg can hope for tomorrow. They may have some good attacking qualities but defensively they are one of the worst teams in the league at all.

17-09-2006, 18:25	#12 (permalink)
Jonne Danish Punter Join Date: 20 May 2006 Location: Copenhagen, Denmark. Age: 19 Posts: 1,007	Re: Denmark - SAS Superligaen (16-17 Sept 2006) Was an okay-ish week for me, nothing special though, hoping to do better next week

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