Denmark - SAS league (18-22 Oct 2006)

[Jonne]

Wednesday 18 October 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Brøndby v Silkeborg (17:00 BST)	1.32	5.25	13.50	103%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect Score - - -First GoalscorerDouble ChanceDraw No BetHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultNext Team to ScoreOver/UnderTotal Goals
Saturday 21 October 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
AC Horsens v Brøndby (16:00 BST)	6.00	3.60	1.75	102%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerAway Team First Goal TimeAway Team To ScoreCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultHome Team First Goal TimeLast Goal TimeLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderSecond Goal TimeTeams To ScoreTotal Goals
Sunday 22 October 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
AaB Aalborg v Randers (14:00 BST)	1.60	3.80	7.00	104%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerCornersDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderTeams To ScoreTotal Goals
FC Midtjylland v OB Odense (14:00 BST)	2.55	3.25	2.94	104%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderTeams To ScoreTotal Goals
Silkeborg v Esbjerg (14:00 BST)	3.10	3.25	2.40	105%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderTeams To ScoreTotal Goals
Vejle v FC Nordsjaelland (14:00 BST)	6.00	3.65	1.66	105%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerDouble ChanceDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderTeams To ScoreTotal Goals
Copenhagen v Viborg (17:00 BST)	1.36	4.40	11.00	106%	Related markets...Match ResultAsian HandicapHalf-time/Full-timeCorrect ScoreFirst GoalscorerAnytime Goalscorer - - -Last GoalscorerCornersDraw No BetFirst Goal TimeFirst Team to ScoreHalf with Most GoalsHalf-time Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultLast Team to ScoreOdd or Even TotalOver/UnderTotal Goals

My first tip for the weekend, have to be fast to catch this one I think

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	AAB - Randers
Selection	AAB
Strength	10/10
Date	22/10/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 2.63 (Back)
Reasoning	AAB are taking on Randers in this match, where AAB should be huge favorites, the 2.63 (13/8) won't stand for long, which is the reason I'm early out with this bet. Randers have gotten back Fabinho and Tøfting, against FCK that did not seem to matter, as FCK played the match on auto-pilot and won a safe 2-0 victory. AAB won against Esbjerg last week, which was a great result, considering their recent bad form. They've gotten back Nomvethe and Prica now, so there offensive line should be as good as ever. Basically, any team have trouble when they go to Aalborg to play AAB, and Randers is no exception. I think AAB has 60 % chance of winning, which gives us a MASSIVE betvalue of 151,80%. This might be a mistake by Stan James, but I do not believe it's obvious enough to take the bets back, but have a go Happy punting!

[Jonne]

Brøndby I.F.- Silkeborg IF 18/10/06 17:00

1X2: (29) Home (70%) 1.35 (1.31) Draw (20%) 5.04 (4.43) Away (10%) 12.00 (9.24)

AC Horsens- Brøndby I.F. 21/10/06 16:00

1X2: (11) Home (19%) 6.00 (4.75) Draw (27%) 3.60 (3.28) Away (55%) 1.75 (1.63)

Aab Aalborg- Randers FC 22/10/06 14:00

1X2: (11) Home (58%) 2.63 (1.62) Draw (25%) 3.80 (3.45) Away (17%) 7.00 (5.18)

FC Midtjylland- OB Odense 22/10/06 14:00

1X2: (12) Home (38%) 2.50 (2.31) Draw (29%) 3.25 (3.06) Away (34%) 2.90 (2.67)

Silkeborg IF- Esbjerg F.B. 22/10/06 14:00

1X2: (11) Home (33%) 3.10 (2.78) Draw (29%) 3.20 (3.03) Away (39%) 2.40 (2.25)

Vejle- FC Nordsjælland 22/10/06 14:00

1X2: (11) Home (18%) 6.00 (5.08) Draw (26%) 3.75 (3.39) Away (56%) 1.67 (1.57)

FC København- Viborg FF 22/10/06 17:00

1X2: (12) Home (67%) 1.40 (1.32) Draw (22%) 4.45 (4.08) Away (11%) 10.00 (8.25)

[godmato]

Aab - Randers. @1.50 in bet365!

[aristoteles]

Brøndby IF
Out:
Adam Eckersley
Jean Philippe Peguero
Kasper Lorentzen
Morten Duncan Rasmussen
Ruben Bagger
Trond Andersen

Silkeborg
Out:
Anders Veller
Mads Ibenfeldt
Thomas Raun

[SaberBlade83]

Hmm I was thinking of taking Brondby today. But those players that are out, how important are they for the home team?

[godmato]

Originally Posted by SaberBlade83

Hmm I was thinking of taking Brondby today. But those players that are out, how important are they for the home team?

Not so sure about Brondy 2night.Remember:

15.10.2006

Danish Superlig

Brondby - Midtjylland

1:3

?

Still there is a huge difference between these 2 teams. Even with all the players missing from Brondby they have a few more class. Also keep in mind that this game will be played after only 3 days since Brondby's last match!

[Jonne]

Originally Posted by SaberBlade83

Hmm I was thinking of taking Brondby today. But those players that are out, how important are they for the home team?

Some of them are quite important, but they've been out for months most of them

[SaberBlade83]

Thanks for the info godmato and jonne. They haven't been as good as previous years, yet home advatage and good H2H. Not sure, might skip this game, the odds might be too low to gamble on it. After all only 1,30 for the win.

I do like the odds for AaB on sunday, 1,60 @ expekt, and FCN at 1,60 as well. Might give those two a go this weekend.

[aristoteles]

Brondby v Silkeborg

History matches
Mar 26, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Silkeborg 3 - 1
Mar 18, 2006 Superligaen Silkeborg Brondby 2 - 0
Oc 19, 2005 Landspokal Brondby Silkeborg 2 - 1
Jul 23, 2005 Superligaen Brondby Silkeborg 2 - 0
Apr 24, 2005 Superligaen Brondby Silkeborg 0 - 0
Oct 31, 2004 Superligaen Silkeborg Brondby 0 - 1
Aug 29, 2004 Superligaen Brondby Silkeborg 1 - 0
Jun 22, 2003 Superligaen Silkeborg Brondby 4 - 3
Mar 22, 2003 Superligaen Brondby Silkeborg 2 - 0
Jul 27, 2002 Superligaen Silkeborg Brondby 0 - 3

Brondby:
Oct 15, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Midtjylland 1 - 3
Sep 28, 2006 UEFA Cup Brondby Frankfurt 2 - 2
Sep 17, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Esbjerg 2 - 0
Aug 24, 2006 UEFA Cup Brondby Flora T 4 - 0
Aug 20, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Viborg 3 - 0
Aug 05, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Horsens 3 - 0
Jul 23, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Nordsjaelland 2 - 1
Jul 19, 2006 Superligaen Brondby Vejle 2 - 1

Brondby
Oct 15, 06 Brondby 1 - 3 Midtjylland (Superligaen)
Oct 1, 06 FC Kobenhavn 1 - 0 Brondby (Superligaen)
Sep 28, 06 Brondby 2 - 2 Frankfurt (UEFA Cup)
Sep 24, 06 OB Odense 2 - 2 Brondby (Superligaen)
Sep 20, 06 Bronshoj 0 - 3 Brondby (Landspokal)
Sep 17, 06 Brondby 2 - 0 Esbjerg (Superligaen)
Sep 14, 06 Frankfurt 4 - 0 Brondby (UEFA Cup)
Sep 9, 06 AaB Aalborg 1 - 1 Brondby (Superligaen)
Aug 24, 06 Brondby 4 - 0 Flora T (UEFA Cup)
Aug 20, 06 Brondby 3 - 0 Viborg (Superligaen)


Silkeborg
Oct 15, 06 Nordsjaelland 5 - 1 Silkeborg (Superligaen)
Oct 1, 06 Silkeborg 0 - 1 OB Odense (Superligaen)
Sep 24, 06 Randers 0 - 0 Silkeborg (Superligaen)
Sep 16, 06 Vejle 2 - 4 Silkeborg (Superligaen)
Sep 10, 06 Silkeborg 0 - 2 Midtjylland (Superligaen)
Aug 20, 06 Silkeborg 0 - 2 Horsens (Superligaen)
Aug 13, 06 Viborg 2 - 3 Silkeborg (Superligaen)
Aug 6, 06 Silkeborg 0 - 2 AaB Aalborg (Superligaen)
Jul 30, 06 Nordsjaelland 1 - 0 Silkeborg (Superligaen)
Jul 22, 06 Silkeborg 1 - 4 FC Kobenhavn (Superligaen)

• Prediction = Over 2.5
• Odds = 1.60
• Stake = 7/10
• Bookmakers = Centrebet

[Jonne]

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Vejle - FCN
Selection	FCN
Strength	10/10
Date	22/10/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.67 (Back)
Reasoning	Reasoning for the bet is nicked from my tip about the European handicap line -1, same as the asian -1,5 line. FCN have been playing terrific, offensive football lately, last weekend they bashed Silkeborg (who just drew against Brøndby) 5-1. Santala and Nordstrand are in great form, both are now in top of the top-scorer table. I've really been impressed with the way they've played lately. While Vejle has stepped up their game and ended their miserable losing-record, I still don't see them as a force to be reckoned with. Far from, actually, and it IS impressive that they went out and got 2-2 against ACH and EFB, but I believe they'll have a hard time defending (because that is what they will be doing) against the great offensive team, that is FCN. This leads me to my reasoning of FCN having 65 % chance to nick a win, giving a betvalue of 108,55%. Happy punting!

[Jonne]

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Vejle - FCN
Selection	FCN (-1)
Strength	10/10
Date	15/10/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 2.87 (Back)
Reasoning	FCN have been playing terrific, offensive football lately, last weekend they bashed Silkeborg (who just drew against Brøndby) 5-1. Santala and Nordstrand are in great form, both are now in top of the top-scorer table. I've really been impressed with the way they've played lately. While Vejle has stepped up their game and ended their miserable losing-record, I still don't see them as a force to be reckoned with. Far from, actually, and it IS impressive that they went out and got 2-2 against ACH and EFB, but I believe they'll have a hard time defending (because that is what they will be doing) against the great offensive team, that is FCN. I think FCN has about 38 % chance of winning with the (european) handicap -1, equal to the asian -1,5. This gives us a betvalue of 109,06%

[Jonne]

Sport	Football (Denmark)
Event	Silkeborg - Esbjerg
Selection	Esbjerg
Strength	10/10
Date	22/10/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 2.38 (Back)
Reasoning	Silkeborg suprised everybody by getting a draw at Brøndby. So did Horsens. So did FCM. Gotta face the facts, and Brøndby are not the force they used to be, so I really think Silkeborg are getting a bit overhyped after their draw. On the other hand, Esbjerg has been performing quite well against the "smaller" teams, lately they won 4-0 against Viborg. Even though Esbjerg lost 0-2 to AAB, I still think they have loads of quality in their team, especially the front-duo Djemba and Bech is great. The biggest injúry-worry for Esbjerg is Lars-Christian Nielsen. Esbjerg might also be missing Derveld, but I don't think that is such a big loss for Esbjerg, who will be trying to play their normal offensive game. Silkeborg will be missing people like Schnedler and Thomas Olsen, both players that have an effect on the team. I give Esbjerg 45 % chance of succes, giving a betvalue of 107,10%. Happy punting!

[Galea78]

on FCN and Aalborg today

GL to you all

[888]

FCN seems popular tonight, I'll join the bandwagon too with medium stakes

[Jonne]

Originally Posted by Uncoabis

FCN seems popular tonight, I'll join the bandwagon too with medium stakes

They're in front now :p

[888]

lol w00t ! Lucky I just placed the bet in time ahahah

[Jonne]

They've had tons of chances and then one counter-attack and it's 1-1

Well, there's still time and I believe FCN will take it in the end, but anything can happen

It just ain't going to happen today, FCN missing loads of chances, AAB missing a load too :p

[888]

Thats good to hear at least they are playing better. Lets keep our heads up, the fat lady hasnt sing yet

[888]

Arrggh 2 - 1 in Vejle favour, now that gotta hurts

Cmon FCN !!

[svantish]

I'm definitely no expert on danish football, but damn those are some surprises today!...OB loosing by three right now!..Guess they took the mid-week loss against Parma the wrong way!!