Slovenia Prva Liga (Aug 4-7)

[archaeus]

Saturday 4 August 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Ivancna Gorica v NK Domzale (16:00 BST)	5.50	3.40	1.57	112%	Related markets...Match Result
Livar v Domzale NK (17:00 BST)	6.00	3.50	1.55	110%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time - - -Correct ScoreOver/Under
CMC Publikum Celje v Nafta Lendava (19:00 BST)	1.95	3.30	4.20	106%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time - - -Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultOver/Under
Sunday 5 August 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Koper Sport v Maribor Piv Lazko (17:00 BST)	2.70	3.25	2.62	106%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time - - -Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultOver/Under
NK Drava Ptuj v NK Interblock (17:00 BST)	2.20	3.10	3.20	109%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time - - -Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultOver/Under
Monday 6 August 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FK Gorica v NK Primorje (19:00 BST)	1.80	3.40	5.50	104%	Related markets...Match Result

[FeriB]

Saturday

20.00

Celje - Nafta 1.91 3.13 3.42

Sunday

18.00

Drava - Interblock 1.71 3.18 4.20

Koper - Maribor 2.45 2.98 2.55

Monday

20.00

Gorica - Primorje 1.71 3.18 4.20


10Bet

[FeriB]

1 Maribor ___2 __2 0 0 __5:2 __6
2 Celje _____2 __1 1 0 __3:2 __4
3 Interblock _2 __1 1 0 __2:1 __4
4 Koper ____2 __1 1 0 __2:0 __3
5 Nafta ____2 __1 0 1 __3:2 __3
6 Primorje __2 __1 0 1 __3:3 __3
7 Domžale __2 __0 2 0 __1:1 __2
8 Gorica ____2 __0 1 1 __2:3 __1
9 Drava ____2 __0 0 1 __2:5 __0
10 Livar ____2 __0 0 2 __1:5 __0

[FeriB]

Suspension

Livar:
Alen Sutej

[FeriB]

Some early ideas and maybe also values...


I was going to pund Gorica and Domzale from the beginning, but now Domzale
already started losing on odds..

Gorica - Primorje

The game is the last from the list, but I see the best pick here. Gorica will
have enough time to regenerate after the Macedonia trip (Thursday) and I see
them as clear favourites in this Seaside derby. Primorje can show some good attacks
maybe, but the quality is on the home side.

Livar - Domzale

Big quality difference here, but again Domzale will be between two important
CL Q games with Dinamo and the first home game for the new 1st divisioneer...
Still I believe Domzale will take the points, but surely not wort it if the line
drops under 1.50 for AW.

Celje - Nafta

1.95 for HW looks really good and the OVER in this game has always a certain
value when it's about these 2 teams. Quality on home side and odds look
good, maybe we'll get some nice Asian for HW too...

Drava - Interblock

Worth pounding the home side on this one imo, as they are better than the
0 points after 2 rounds and Interblock will still have to prove their qualities
away from home.

Koper - Maribor

Koper showed they will be a tough opponent to everyone and even they have
only some 15-17 players ready each time, they show great fights and also
skills.
Maribor will be the more rested and ready team, with 2 wins in the initial
games and therefore the value is on the away team. I would really like to see
a nice +0.25 but the pk will do as well!


Livar - Domzale postponed

[FeriB]

Celje - Nafta





...VS...



Good we have the possibility to see the highlights of the games on SIOL sport:
http://sportal.siol.net/default.asp?article_id=11381130707120941550

What we saw so far is both teams playing the "wealthy" and imo artificial
team of Interblock, both away and the comparison shows Celje very close
to winning it (after checking the Interblock goal I'm almost 100% sure there
was no goal as the ball didn't cross the line...another gift for Interblock after
the Nafta penalty ?! ),
while Nafta deservingly lost it, even if the penalty was at least questionable.

Furtherly I saw some very good shots by many Celje players (Gobec, Pecnik,
Bersnjak,...) , some nice passes into the box, mainly by Gobec (however
Luka wasn't satisfied with that.. ha ha) and one of which was used by Pecnik
(and at least one clear wasted), Pecnik and Seslar also a major threat with
their headers...
All in all I see danger coming which the Nafta defence won't handle the same
amount they have handled vs both Interblock and Livar.

Nafta showed quite good fighting, but also no goals out of the game and very
few half chances. Can't comment on the penalties (2 vs Livar), but the fact
Livar coach was sent off as well the yellow card(s) (and a red) Livar got while
protesting, couldn't be too clean...

With Pinni on the bench and the mentioned Celje attack i see a quite good chance
all points will remain at home. Maybe the win by 1 should be a good value
as well, due to the fact it's still the beginning of the championship and the
chances converting is still low and knowing these two teams have a history
of close results ... but odds for HW are at high 1.90 - 2.00 and that's good
enough to me!


Ortiz is available for this game, but even his presence won't help vs Celje imo:





Celje HW @2.00 Skybet 7/10

[FeriB]

Drava - Interblock





...VS...



Drava started with 2 zeros and now there's high time they start collecting
points following the great finish in the last season. Coach Besek showed he
can prepare his team to beat any team in the historical city of Ptuj and fans
are backing him all the way there.
Though lost vs Maribor (they were in huge need of a good result as I told
in my earlier posts) and away at Primorje (1-2 in the 85') they certainly have
more to show than that. The "new" forward Kmetec, well known in Slovenian league,
showed he can be dangerous and also that he can score. Now it's time he
presents himself infront of the home crowd with a goal (or two).
Also Zilic, Tisnikar and the rest of the attack will be challenged to score...

I'm sure Besek will find the best solution for the imo overrated Interblock
team (defence).

Interblock collected a win and a draw from the 1st two encounters and I would
immediately add with much luck and help of the "men in black" as well.
Nafta (1-0) was beaten in the 93' minute from a very suspicious penalty (I'd
say all penalties in the added time are...), the game was poor as well, even
if they had the posession (2nd half).
The next home game vs Celje (1-1) was even luckier for them, as Celje
prevailed most of the game and the Interblock's equalizer was not a goal
as the ball hasn't crossed the line (not even half of it)

can be checked here: http://sportal.siol.net/default.asp?article_id=11381130707120941550
..under Interblock : MIK CM Celje
Vrhunci tekme

Interblock meanwhile signed another "star name" Rodic, who returned from
abroad and signed during the week. So another significant signing, but again
I'm not impressed at all so far. They showed nothing special and for their
play the overachieved in points (as explained above).

I see Drava as the favs here and they will be the first imo to show a rough
landing to the "star team" of Interblock.


Drava HW @2.25 Bwin 5u

[FeriB]

Koper - Maribor





...VS...




I was pretty much convinced the "out" for Maribor in the 2nd Intertoto round
would bring some positive with it too. All the fuss with the fans, Zahovic's
arrival, 2 wins in the first 2 rounds and the return of the good mood and
extra motivation (maybe not in the same order) are all facts which are
the basis for another successful Maribor game.

Voices from the Koper side rising, they want to gain back some confidence
through defeating the "leader", are more or less an attempt to boost some
pregame motivation and maybe a call to the fans, but imo they are based
on very shaky ground.
The Siroki trio Karoglan, Ronielle and Balaban were outjoking the Koper
defence the Thursday UEFA Q game showing Koper has many holes in the
back. There's some chance for important defender Handanagic to be back
in the team Sunday, but even with him (not 100% ready) I see a decent chance
for the Maribor attackers to repeat the Drava exercise (3-1 away).

Koper signed 4 new players (quite unknown) and they may be getting the
green light for the game, but even so they can't just expect a successful
game with new people who haven't had any time to play together.

A rested and prepared Maribor flying high, vs the fallen apart Koper
after the easy defeats in the UEFA Qs and listing the "unknown" newcommers...
The value is on the away odds no doubt, especially the ones that still favour
the Koper team.
Odds @2.50 and higher for AW are just terrific, but it's also imo worth waiting
for Pinnacle to release a juicy Asian (hoping for pk @2.00-ish)

till then...

Maribor AW @2.65 Cashpoint 4/10

[FeriB]

Results


MIK CM Celje : Nafta 0:0

Drava : Interblock 2:0 (0:0)
Ogu 63., Prejac 75.

A very nice, but also a very lucky win by Drava. What goes for Maribor and
Makriev, goes almost in the same amount for Interblock and Jolic.

Koper : Maribor 2:1 (1:0)
Volaš 26. Jukan 86./11-m; Makriev 53./11-m; R.K.: Viler 58./Koper


Just watched the Koper - Maribor summary and have to say here Maribor
(especially their Bulgarian attacker Makriev) missed 5-6 chances that made
them look ridiculous. The online version is not yet available, but when it will
be it's surely worth checking it

[FeriB]

Gorica - Primorje shortly...

I still see Gorica as favs of this game but odds around 1.60 or -0.75 are not
much worth taking. Gorica is not that superior and if Primorje had 2-3 additional
good players I'd jump on the away value here, but since they don't, though
still played 2 tough games showing they'll be hard to break, I don't see an
easy job for the hosts...

This is also kind of a personal thing between the former Primorje coach and
now Gorica - Milanic. I'm sure both the coach and the players of Primorje
would want to win over the other... really unclear... maybe a small value
bet on draw could be a good idea...

[McFly]

Good job, FeriB