Slovenia 10th/11th Mar

[FeriB]

Saturday

17.00

Gorica - Interblock 1.60 3.50 4.90

19.00

Celje - Koper 1.80 3.25 4.00

Sunday

15.00

Bela krajina - Primorje 2.50 3.00 2.65
Drava Ptuj - Nafta 1.70 3.40 4.35

18.00

Domzale - Maribor 1.65 3.50 4.50

[FeriB]

The tables

1. Domzale _____21 __14 7 0 __49 __42-16
2. Maribor ______21 ___8 9 4 __33 __36-26
3. Primorje _____21 ___9 5 7 __32 __29-25
4. Drava _______21 ___8 7 6 __31 __34-28
5. Gorica _______21 ___8 7 6 __31 __31-30
6. Nafta ________21 ___8 6 7 __30 __30-31
7. Koper _______21 __3 13 5 __22 __26-28
8. Publikum _____21 ___4 8 9 __20 __29-35
9. BKrajina _____21 __2 8 11 __14 __22-38
10.Factor ______21 __2 8 11 __14 __21-43

[FeriB]

Previous round (1st Spring)


FTs of 21st round

Koper : Bela krajina 2:1 (1:1)
Rajcevic 11., Lovrecic 77./11-m; Dvorancic 27.; R.C.: Panikvar 56./Bela krajina

Koper needed a penalty and an opponent out to win...hmmm

Nafta : Interblock 3:1 (1:0)
Benko 20., Trenevski 76., Eterovic 86.; Karic 55.; R.C.: Galic 33./Interblock

Quite convincing looking win, but it doesnt't show that the guests had the
possesion and corners like 13-2 for Interblock despite the fact Nafta was
playing with 1+ man after the 33rd min.

Domzale : HiT Gorica 4:0 (0:0)
Ibeji 67., Djukic 79., Ljubijankic 86., Rakovic 88.; R.C.: Jokic 64./HiT Gorica

Gorica was defending successfully until the moment they lost Jokic and then
the attacking machine struck heavily 4 goals in 21'.

Maribor : MIK CM Celje 2:2 (1:2)
Pekic 20., Hadzic 71./og.; Bakaric 7., 12.

Great start by the guests, but then they scored the 3rd into the wrong net.

Primorje : Drava 1:3 (0:1)
Flego 55.; Kronaveter 45., 76. Tisnikar 67.; R.C.: Arnaut 45./Primorje

Quite a big surprise in this game, but beside the disciplined guests there
was also the famous ref Skomina, who again had his part in the game. A
direct red card to the best Primorje scorer in the 45th min turned the game
totally and the guests knew how to use this gift.

[FeriB]

Suspensions

Primorje
Goran Arnaut (red)
Igor Krstic (yellow - 4.)

HiT Gorica
Bojan Jokic (red)

Maribor
Rene Mihelic (yellow - 9.)
Amel Mujakovic (yellow - 4.)

Domzale
Sinisa Jankovic (yellow - 4.)
Luka Zinko (yellow - 7.)

MIK CM Celje
Dominik Bersnjak (yellow - 7.)

Nafta
Dusan Bogdanovic (red)
Gregor Bunc (red)
Matjaz Lunder (yellow - 4.)

Interblock
Marinko Galic (red)

Bela krajina
Zeljko Mitrakovic (yellow - 4.)
Leon Panikvar (red)
Kristjan Penica (yellow - 7.)

[FeriB]

...VS...



Drava - Nafta 1.70 3.40 4.35


Maybe a bit early, but the information is here and the odds as well, so let's
find some value.
Two successful teams from the opening Spring round meet in Ptuj this Sunday.
Spirits are high as it's not an everyday game for both sides. Three from the
Nafta team are returning to their previous club (actually 4 but Lunder is out
because of suspension). Coach Gjurovski made his coach name in Ptuj and
left under some weird circumstances, therefore his motivation will be the
highest and when that happens I see a good chance he succeeds. Even more
so after Vikto Trenevski (his Macedonian countryman) followed him to Nafta
with almost the same reason and from the same club (Drava) after he
"somehow" had to leave. Trenevski is saying: "There's no way Nafta's
gonna lose this game!"
Trenevski being one of the main figures in the team of Nafta it means
something and adding to that yet another good first team midfielder Ceh
with the third story, from Drava to Nafta and the same motivation it's like
the ghost of the former Drava team is returning to prove something!

After the Nafta-Interblock game I reported about the posession and the
13-2 corners for the guests, but after checking deeper into the game and
watching the review I saw a very efficient Nafta attack with chances almost
every time the came close to the 16m box. Benko the team's number 1
scorer (hit vs Interblock), Eterovic the hot Dalmatian scorer (1 against Iinterblock),
the mentioned Trenevski with his free & distance shots + some other wating
to prove themselves are a guarantee to see some goals in Ptuj as well.

Drava on the other hand started big in Ajdovscina by winning 3-1 against
Primorje, who as it seemed were too certain of their superiority vs Drava,
after they won Maribor 2-0 in their last friendly.
Drava played very disciplined away from the beginning and it proved as
a very good recipe.
After some unused chances mainly from the home side three things need to
be mentioned. 1st after a chance for the Primorje attacker Arnaut there was
a
bump between the Drava keeper and Drava defender Pesterac and the
latter one went away with a broken leg, so he's out for the season!
2nd the guest used their chance in the 45th min to lead 1-0 and third the
referee ("famous" Skomina) showed a red card to the mentioned Arnaut
after an action which hardly deserved a yellow card. Primorje then managed
to equalize with 10 men, but were outcountered after that also exhausted
playing 10 men.
Drava used the chance and they won deservedly, but there I see a good chance
for Nafta. This time I see drava being the one to get outcountered and or
even outplayed.
This time infront of the home crowd they'll have to attack and that's what
Gjurovski and his guys will be looking for.
I see a more than possible OVER in this game and Nafta taking point(s) from
the scene!
Results: 1-2, 2-2...

OVER @1.67 6/10 Globet
Nafta+1 @1.90 4/10 various

[FeriB]

...VS......



Gorica - Interblock 1.60 3.50 4.90


High losses for the teams meeting in Gorica in round 1. High flying (financially
and with all the "VIP" players) Interblock lost 1-3 in Lendava (Nafta) despite
the fact their game wasn't bad and the corners 13-2 as well as posession
show they weren't defending however playing with 10 men as their last
man, centerdefender and former NT Galic was sent off in 33'. The manager
was satisfied with his team as they didn't disappoint. The change of their coach
was due to the late coach's wish, having some personal issues and not
because he was sacked. Simeunovic, the new (old) man on the bench got
his post because of his good results already with Interblock in Autumn.

Gorica lost 0-4 in Domzale, but all the present players and both coaches
praised Gorica as a good team losing after their main defender and NT player
Jokic was sent off (he still can't believe it). Domzale then managed to score
and after Gorica went for the equalizer, they were simply outcountered by
the great Domzale attack.
I'm sure Gorica will be missing Jokic tomorrow, as he is one of the key
players, but I'm also positive, they'll be going after the 3 points as well!

Gorica without Jokic and Interblock without Galic, so both CDs out. Knowing
Simeunovic, he'll surely try not to lose here and with the Gorica attack
still out of form he might just be successful. This time I'm sure Interblock
won't have the posession, but defend and therefore I can imagine to see
a lowscoring game with a slight advantage on the home side. UNDER is worth
a shot as the odds are great and the fact we have the "choker" Simeunovic
on one side an the not very efficient (also during the preseason) attack of
Gorica.
Results: 1-0, 1-1, 0-0

UNDER @1.91 5/10 Globet
Interblock+1 @1.90 3/10 various

[FeriB]

...VS...



Celje - Koper 1.80 3.25 4.00


Celje already showing character after they brought Pinni (the looong term
champions' Gorica coach). The 2-2 in Maribor is more than a good start into
the Spring although they even had some chances to win the game towards
the end.
The goals in Maribor were more defenders mistakes on both sides though.
Pinni's 1st home game will also be the game vs his former Seaside neighbours
and therefore the motivation will be doubled. I'm sure he won't disappoint
the home crowd used to some nice results in the past.

Koper started with a win, which was their 3rd ! in the 21 rounds and even
that they managed from a penalty and vs the team with least chance to stay
in the league.
They showed some defending problems and were lucky no to be behind after
the 1-1 result. Their attack after losing some quality attackers seems quite
poor and therefore not very dangerous.
Therefore I hardly see a chance for them to take anything from Celje tomorrow.

I believe this time the hosts are to be favoured and the odds over 1.80
have nice value imo. Not so sure about the U/O though.


Celje -0.5 @1.88 5/10 Pinnacle

[FeriB]

...VS...



Bela krajina - Primorje 2.50 3.00 2.65



Great value in this game imo. It's time we see the quality work done by
Primorje in the preseason. Prasnikar the coach (former NT) failed with his
team infront of their fans and now they have a more than good chance to
repair that. I wouldn't go after them so wild if it wasn't for the 3 important
missings in the team of Bela Krajina.
Mitrakovic as the main BK figure and captain is out as well as the newly
assigned Panikvar (from Maribor) and the third is also a starter Penica.
Bela Krajina is as mentioned already, "favourite" number 1 to be relegated
and now even without the three important game carriers. They collected the
small amount of points mainly at home and it should be the same this time,
but I don't see much chance for them in this round vs Primorje.

Primorje lost their main scoring weapon Arnaut for this game, but their bench
is much longer than the one of BK and therefore I don't really see an
important handicap for them here.
Quality being on the away side already and now with the missings in the
home team I see only trouble for the hosts.
The 1.45 odds for X2 are very high and can be imo "safely" used for the
combo version and the straight away win @2.60 and higher are a huge
value as well!

Primorje+1 @1.45 COMBO material
Primorje @2.70 4/10 Gera

[Kobe10]

Great previews Feri!

Wish you good luck!

I don't have any tensions so far to bet on Slovenian first league matches... ...but I always like to see other punters views for 1. SNL.

[FeriB]

...VS...



Domzale - Maribor 1.65 3.50 4.50


Derby time in Domzale tonight. Number 1 vs number 2. However there's a
lot of difference between the points of these two. Domzale feel pretty safe
to be the new title holders with the huge advantage of 16 points and they're
quite right with that. It won't be easy to lose.
Domzale had their problems with Gorica untill Gorica lost their key player and
were outcountered in the end of the game. Maribor on the other hand had
to play the Styrian derby and drew 2-2 vs Celje.
This is a different game now as when Maribor plays away they are the most
dangerous. I trust Pusnik, the Maribor coach, to be able to prepare his team
for the game and stay at least unbeaten.
This phase of competition is just right for Maribor, as Domzale with some missings
are vulnerable, even if they have replacements on all positions, but the game
is still not fluent and with those changes even less.
I also (already) see the hosts thinking a bit about the fact they shouldn't in
the first place lose games vs the closest opponents in order to let them come
closer. In that way I'm sure they won't be very sad to win a point today as
well.
To cut it short I see value in the odds for Maribor not to lose, but of course
small stakes.

Maribor+1 @2.05 4/10 Expekt

[FeriB]

Originally Posted by Kobe10

Great previews Feri!

Wish you good luck!

I don't have any tensions so far to bet on Slovenian first league matches... ...but I always like to see other punters views for 1. SNL.

Thanks K.

An even more unpredictable start this year as usual, however I feel better
results today especially the 15.00h games should go well