Russia I 29-30/03

[Serg]

Luch-Energiya Vladivostok - Yaroslavl Shinnik 1.86 3.03 4.15 29.03.2008 - 09:00
Tom Tomsk - FC Moscow 2.65 2.74 2.73 29.03.2008 - 11:30
Khimki FK - Spartak Moscow 5.03 3.27 1.66 29.03.2008 - 13:45
Terek Groznyj - Spartak Nalchik 1.89 3.01 3.95 29.03.2008 - 16:00
Amkar Perm - Dynamo Moscow 2.37 2.78 2.98 30.03.2008 - 11:00
CSKA Moscow - Saturn Moscow 1.53 3.46 5.74 30.03.2008 - 13:00
Zenit Petersburg - Rubin Kazan 1.49 3.53 6.26 30.03.2008 - 15:00
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.62 3.30 5.28 30.03.2008 - 16:00
prices from http://www.betexplorer.com/

[Serg]

1 tour - my result -2.75 units
2 tour - my result -14.1 units (f....n crush )
Be very careful with russian start...
i hope today i take fortune

Luch-Energiya Vladivostok - Yaroslavl Shinnik
Shinnik (+1 EH) 1.45 *6 units
Not so bad Yaroslavl... Problems with coach and team superboss, but players support self coach.

Tom Tomsk - FC Moscow
Tomsk (0) 1.8 * 6 units
Match to be of fundamental importance for Tomsk coach Petrakov (is privat - mortal offence). FC Moscow - no good now.

Khimki FK - Spartak Moscow
Spartak win 1.65 * 6 units
loosers against leaders in bad form. Spartaks Revenge for loose 0:3 in last year

Terek Groznyj - Spartak Nalchik
terek win 1.7 * 3 units
Terek have bad keepers, Nalchik - bad forwards... probably under, but is "russian hot south teams"...

Amkar Perm - Dynamo Moscow
x2 1.5 * 3 units
In 1&2 games Dynamo was good. Amkar not bad too. hard game for both teams with little Dynamo posession.

CSKA Moscow - Saturn Moscow
no bet
unstable teams now

Zenit Petersburg - Rubin Kazan
Zenit win 1.5 * 4 units
Zenit - best russian team in spring 2008

Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Samara
over 2.5 2.1 * 3 units
Both teams have interesting forwards and no good keepers. probably correct score 2:1, 2:2

[Crazy North]

Sport	Football (Minor Leagues)
Event	Amkar-Dynamo Moscow
Selection	Under 2.5
Strength	10/10
Date	30/03/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 1.60 (Back)
Reasoning	In this match there is no much to sat as i see here clean under as to predict final winner is very difficult. Amkar is playing at home were it is always hard to score against them and this season this should be oppening home game for them and it is expected full stadium and good atmosphere and pressure on be on Amkar but i dont see how they will respond to do that as they made two wins but them they were underdogs Dinamo is solid on road they are playing very solid in defense and they are hard to brake.Also they didnt concede goal so far and here point will be good to them. I expect cautious match and an under here is very good bet.

[meatman]

Unlucky with Spartak Serge

They did well to come back from 3-1 down but sadly not enough to win. I remember last year I was terribly stung by Khimki first against CSKA and then against Spartak.

Their stadium is a total shithole but they can get good results there

Nice pick with Tomsk - great price and great AH line, always strong at home

[Serg]

Thnks meatman! Especially for your france tips

About Khimki - Spartak.
After easy first fast goal spartaks players relax and get a swelled head. After one minute score was 1-1, but spartaks play very calmly. Khimki for 90 min. have 4 shots (4 on goal) and 3 score... Defenders was weak. (Spartak was without 2 main defs - Kovach and Shtrancl).
And be of great importance is very narrow field in Khimki. Home team got used to self field, but gests teams whos often used wingers (CSKA, Zenit, Spartak) play in Khimki no good. Spartaks Coach Tcherchessov know about it and in first half Spartak play without wingers! Resume - awful result 1-3 and after all winger of NT Bystrov in ... Spartak was good in last half -hour but (yes you right) - sadly not enough to win...

Some info about Terek - Nalchik.
Before 7 hours prices was good for home win (1.7) , but before 5 hours prices down 1.12 in Russia... Politics... yes... fixed? hmm... probably and we remember it i think in autumn match Nalchik - Terek points will be return...

GL for all!

[meatman]

Interesting reading about Khimki's pitch, little wonder some big teams have struggled there.

Good call on Dinamo today Serge and Zenit currently 1-0 up.

[Serg]

OMG! WTF!!!
i'm again have minus
Incredible!
After all good results we have shoking result in Petersburg and under in Moscow...
Zenit have posession, control play. 1-0 after HT and i dont know wtf they do... in 8 minutes they allow 3 goals (76, 77, 84 minutes). Zenit was better!!! yes, Rubin not outsider, but they was weakest then Zenit! crazy saves of Rubins keeper and goals ... wtf? i dont know. is biggest sensation and injustice from all games from 1-3 tours... unbeliveble...

Loko and Samara too... All game was offensive, both theam was in attack, we see a few 100% goalie situations, but unhappy, blind forwards, cross-beams... Only in the end of match loko scored twice.... i dont know... really score will be 3-2, 4-2 but only 2 goals...

maybe i will take only 2-3 games? not 6-7 from 8?
i'm sorry friends... two sensation results and i loose 4,6 units...

i hope you was more succesful... Sorry... its crazy s..t ...

[meatman]

Ah dont worry Serge, sometimes bad and shock results can happen

you could be more selective with picks, but there again I myself often bet in most games in a French matchday.

I would say have some more Asian Handicap picks (if this is possible for you)

There is often more value in those lines

but you've got to bet with the way you feel most comfortable, you'll sort it mate