Bulgarian APFG (28-30 September) - The Punters Lounge

*Tosh* · 28-09-2007, 09:04

Friday 28 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Lokomotiv Sofia v Vihren Sandanski (15:00 BST)	1.20	8.00	19.50	101%
Pirin Blagoevgrad v Litex Lovech (15:00 BST)	4.50	3.65	1.77	107%
Saturday 29 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Botev Plovdiv (13:30 BST)	1.72	3.40	4.75	109%
Slavia Sofia v CSKA Sofia (14:30 BST)	8.50	4.50	1.36	108%
Beroe v Chernomorets B (15:00 BST)	2.05	3.30	3.20	111%
Spartak Varna v Levski Sofia (15:00 BST)	9.00	4.60	1.35	107%
Vidima-Rakovski v Belasitsa Petrich (15:00 BST)	2.10	3.20	3.55	108%
Sunday 30 September 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Cherno more Varna v Marek Dupnitsa (15:00 BST)	1.40	4.33	9.00	106%

*Tosh* · 28-09-2007, 10:22

Today , we have two games ...

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Vihren Sandanski

Loko lost the derby game vs Cska last match day , and Vihren also had derby encounter , vs local rivals Pirin Blagoevgrad , which ended with a draw .
From what I saw , Loko showed some good display , and could have won vs Cska , but ... they did not . On the other hand , Vihren was lucky to draw in last game . Pirin was the better team , although that Tescheiro from Vihren scored very stupid and beautiful own goal , for 0-1 for Pirin . Then , lucky equalizer for Vihren , from free kick , and Pirin`s goalie make error in that situation .
Loko Sofia president , Nikolay Gigov , won`t be at the game today , he is in France , where , as you probably know , Loko will have to travel on Thursday to play vs Rennes in protocol rematch , as lost 1-3 in Sofia in first leg . Out for home side is striker Sasha Antunovic , who is still injured , but should be ready for the next game . Other missing players are def Adelino Lopes , who is suspended , and Viktor Spisic , who is out of form . Defender Darko Savic is back in the team , after some personal problems with his family .
For Vihren , Tescheiro is out of the group , because of his own goal last round , and Stoycho Mladenov Jr is injured . So , almost full squad for Vihren .
I believe that Lokomotiv should win this game , as they are the better team here , have better players , won`t be very cautios and rest players for their Euro game vs Rennes , because it is stupid to think that after 1-3 at home , Loko would have any chances in France , and most of all have lost their last league game , so today they need these three points . Vihren could be dangerous , have many brazilian and portugal players , who can make something interesting and untraditional , and surprise Loko , and with coach like Eduard Eranossyan , Vihren now can play very smart , in counter-attack . But , I still think that Vihren`s deffence won`t stop Zoran Baldovaliev , and players in midfield , behind him - Dafchev , Koilov , Karadzinov and etc , so I see clear home win here . Maybe 2-0 , 3-0 , this looks very probable ...

GL ...

:

*Tosh* · 28-09-2007, 11:15

The other game today seems to be more interesting ...

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Litex Lovech

First , that I can say here , is - strange odds . In Bulgaria , our bookie gives 1.45 for the away team to win .
One thing for sure here - this would be a tough encounter . Pirin is very good tactical team , they have some decent players , and at home are very hard to be beaten . Of course , Pirin lost their first , and only game so far vs good team , when finished 0-1 vs Cska in Blagoevgrad a couple of weeks ago , but in this game Pirin played very well . Cska deserved their win , but a scoreless draw was still very possible reasult , and Pirin did not let many chances for Cska`s strikers , which has to be noticed . Atm , Cska is better team than Litex , especially when playing on road .
Litex still have not won an away game this season , and this one visit is harder than visits in Sandanski /vs Vihren/ and in Varna /vs Spartak/ . Some doubtful players for Litex . Def Cedric Cambon is out , youngster Ivan Skerlev is injured too , striker Hazurov is in the group for the game . Coach Ferario Spasov will decide about the starting line up . Litex have a game vs Hamburger in Germany on Thursday , they lost 0-1 in Lovech , but still have some chances . So , some of the key players could be rested . A big problem for Litex can be if key midfielder Tom did not play in this game . He has some troubles with his leg , and can be rested in this game . Tom is best Litex player , and one of the best in APFG , so his absence is a blow for the team .
I expect very hard game for Litex here , there is no value in backing the away win here , first of all because Litex play terrible on road so far this season , lost in poor game vs Vihren , and should have lost again vs Spartak , as Spartak missed a penalty 20 minutes before the end of the game , but match ended 0-0 . Second of all , because Litex have important game in Thursday in Uefa Cup , and even they have small chances to proceed to the next round , they won`t give up and will play with their best . Third of all , Tom could miss this game , Hamburger liked his display on Tuesday , in first leg , and according to the infos in the media , if Tom plays well in Thursday , and showes good qualities , Hamburger could pay the price for him . So , if Tom is not ready on 100 % for today , Ferario Spasov will put him on the bench , and could bring him in during the second half .
Yesterday Pirin signed another contract for sponsorship , and their owner is willing to pay big bonuses , if they succeed to take points from Litex today , so Pirin players should be very motivated .
I just cannot put my money on Litex right now , in this current situation , nice move here would be skipping a bet , but if I have to bet on this game , I would bet on the draw here , 1-1 maybe a good result , and for price about 4.00 /in our bookie/ and 3.60 in others , could have some value . But still , small stakes ...

GL ...

:

cluelessG · 28-09-2007, 13:37

I definitely agree that there's no value on Litex, even though their coach says that the local league is their priority now and they must win today. A low scoring draw is the most probable result but 1:0 or 0:1 is also likely.

*Tosh* · 28-09-2007, 16:16

Quote:

Originally Posted by cluelessG

I definitely agree that there's no value on Litex, even though their coach says that the local league is their priority now and they must win today. A low scoring draw is the most probable result but 1:0 or 0:1 is also likely.

Yes , but the ref does not think like us ...

Stupid red card for Pirin at the end of the first half , Litex plays with his first eleven , Tom plays well , and Genchev a couple of minutes ago scored for 1-2 ... Think that it would be very stupid , if Litex lost points here , so this is going to be their first win on road ...

But still , Litex do not impress today ...

28-09-2007, 10:22	#2 (permalink)
Tosh HearTBreakeR Join Date: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Plovdiv Town , Bulgaria Posts: 230	Re: Bulgarian APFG (28-30 September) Today , we have two games ... Lokomotiv Sofia vs Vihren Sandanski Loko lost the derby game vs Cska last match day , and Vihren also had derby encounter , vs local rivals Pirin Blagoevgrad , which ended with a draw . From what I saw , Loko showed some good display , and could have won vs Cska , but ... they did not . On the other hand , Vihren was lucky to draw in last game . Pirin was the better team , although that Tescheiro from Vihren scored very stupid and beautiful own goal , for 0-1 for Pirin . Then , lucky equalizer for Vihren , from free kick , and Pirin`s goalie make error in that situation . Loko Sofia president , Nikolay Gigov , won`t be at the game today , he is in France , where , as you probably know , Loko will have to travel on Thursday to play vs Rennes in protocol rematch , as lost 1-3 in Sofia in first leg . Out for home side is striker Sasha Antunovic , who is still injured , but should be ready for the next game . Other missing players are def Adelino Lopes , who is suspended , and Viktor Spisic , who is out of form . Defender Darko Savic is back in the team , after some personal problems with his family . For Vihren , Tescheiro is out of the group , because of his own goal last round , and Stoycho Mladenov Jr is injured . So , almost full squad for Vihren . I believe that Lokomotiv should win this game , as they are the better team here , have better players , won`t be very cautios and rest players for their Euro game vs Rennes , because it is stupid to think that after 1-3 at home , Loko would have any chances in France , and most of all have lost their last league game , so today they need these three points . Vihren could be dangerous , have many brazilian and portugal players , who can make something interesting and untraditional , and surprise Loko , and with coach like Eduard Eranossyan , Vihren now can play very smart , in counter-attack . But , I still think that Vihren`s deffence won`t stop Zoran Baldovaliev , and players in midfield , behind him - Dafchev , Koilov , Karadzinov and etc , so I see clear home win here . Maybe 2-0 , 3-0 , this looks very probable ... GL ... : __________________ Juve per sempre sara` !!!

28-09-2007, 11:15	#3 (permalink)
Tosh HearTBreakeR Join Date: 15 Feb 2007 Location: Plovdiv Town , Bulgaria Posts: 230	Re: Bulgarian APFG (28-30 September) The other game today seems to be more interesting ... Pirin Blagoevgrad - Litex Lovech First , that I can say here , is - strange odds . In Bulgaria , our bookie gives 1.45 for the away team to win . One thing for sure here - this would be a tough encounter . Pirin is very good tactical team , they have some decent players , and at home are very hard to be beaten . Of course , Pirin lost their first , and only game so far vs good team , when finished 0-1 vs Cska in Blagoevgrad a couple of weeks ago , but in this game Pirin played very well . Cska deserved their win , but a scoreless draw was still very possible reasult , and Pirin did not let many chances for Cska`s strikers , which has to be noticed . Atm , Cska is better team than Litex , especially when playing on road . Litex still have not won an away game this season , and this one visit is harder than visits in Sandanski /vs Vihren/ and in Varna /vs Spartak/ . Some doubtful players for Litex . Def Cedric Cambon is out , youngster Ivan Skerlev is injured too , striker Hazurov is in the group for the game . Coach Ferario Spasov will decide about the starting line up . Litex have a game vs Hamburger in Germany on Thursday , they lost 0-1 in Lovech , but still have some chances . So , some of the key players could be rested . A big problem for Litex can be if key midfielder Tom did not play in this game . He has some troubles with his leg , and can be rested in this game . Tom is best Litex player , and one of the best in APFG , so his absence is a blow for the team . I expect very hard game for Litex here , there is no value in backing the away win here , first of all because Litex play terrible on road so far this season , lost in poor game vs Vihren , and should have lost again vs Spartak , as Spartak missed a penalty 20 minutes before the end of the game , but match ended 0-0 . Second of all , because Litex have important game in Thursday in Uefa Cup , and even they have small chances to proceed to the next round , they won`t give up and will play with their best . Third of all , Tom could miss this game , Hamburger liked his display on Tuesday , in first leg , and according to the infos in the media , if Tom plays well in Thursday , and showes good qualities , Hamburger could pay the price for him . So , if Tom is not ready on 100 % for today , Ferario Spasov will put him on the bench , and could bring him in during the second half . Yesterday Pirin signed another contract for sponsorship , and their owner is willing to pay big bonuses , if they succeed to take points from Litex today , so Pirin players should be very motivated . I just cannot put my money on Litex right now , in this current situation , nice move here would be skipping a bet , but if I have to bet on this game , I would bet on the draw here , 1-1 maybe a good result , and for price about 4.00 /in our bookie/ and 3.60 in others , could have some value . But still , small stakes ... GL ... : __________________ Juve per sempre sara` !!!

28-09-2007, 13:37	#4 (permalink)
cluelessG ROTW Team Punter Join Date: 14 Aug 2002 Posts: 1,286	Re: Bulgarian APFG (28-30 September) I definitely agree that there's no value on Litex, even though their coach says that the local league is their priority now and they must win today. A low scoring draw is the most probable result but 1:0 or 0:1 is also likely.

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