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Old 20-03-2007, 23:08   #1 (permalink)
Senior (Citizen) Punter
 
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Join Date: 01 Mar 2006
Location: West Country
Posts: 310
Default Staking Plan Calculation

I'm embarrassed to ask this question, but below is a staking/returns extract from a system I'm testing. Because of the overall returns this system shows I'd like a third opinion, because I can't quite believe the o'all return from back-testing.
Does the Accum. Return look right? i.e. it's the Gross Return added to the Accum. Return (as I show) not the Nett Return.
The Race Return has an allowance of 5% commission on Betfair.

Event
SP
W/L
BF Odds
Stake/Bet
Race Ret'n
Accum. Rt'n
1
2/1F
L
£2.00
-£2.00
-£2.00
2
2/1F
L
£2.00
-£2.00
-£4.00
3
5/1
L
£2.00
-£2.00
-£6.00
4
3/1
L
£2.00
-£2.00
-£8.00
5
3/1
L
£2.00
-£2.00
-£10.00
6
6/1
W
8.75
£2.00
£16.63
£6.63
7
11/10F
W
2.63
£2.00
£4.99
£11.61
8
7/4F
L
£2.00
-£2.00
£9.61
9
7/2
W
5.63
£2.00
£10.69
£20.30
10
7/2
L
£2.00
-£2.00
£18.30
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Old 21-03-2007, 08:55   #2 (permalink)
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Join Date: 07 Jan 2001
Posts: 1,857
Default Re: Staking Plan Calculation

You've taken your 5% comm from your gross return instead of just from the profit.
ie
bet 6

(8.75-1) * 2 = 15.5 profit

15.5*0.95 (5%com)= 14.72

14.72 + 2 (stake) = 16.72 gross return

therefore
bet 6 = 16.72
bet 7 = 5.10
bet 9 = 10.80

accum ret = 18.62 gross....or....12.62 net
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Last edited by tipstar; 21-03-2007 at 09:05.
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Old 21-03-2007, 13:49   #3 (permalink)
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Join Date: 01 Mar 2006
Location: West Country
Posts: 310
Default Re: Staking Plan Calculation

Quote:
Originally Posted by tipstar View Post
You've taken your 5% comm from your gross return instead of just from the profit.
ie
bet 6

(8.75-1) * 2 = 15.5 profit

15.5*0.95 (5%com)= 14.72

14.72 + 2 (stake) = 16.72 gross return

therefore
bet 6 = 16.72
bet 7 = 5.10
bet 9 = 10.80

accum ret = 18.62 gross....or....12.62 net
Thank you 'Tipstar', sooo basically I've got the Accum. Return correct and just need to change the Commission calculation (well spotted).
I'm gonna be rich, rich, rich ...
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