UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results

[jtw1]

Found one in SPAIN'S DIV 2 that makes the grade.

MURCIA v VALLADOLID has finished UNDER 4 out of the last 5 h/a meetings .

MURCIA have had 9 out of 11 home games end UNDER , scoring
13 goals.

VALLADOLID have had 8 out of 11 aways this season end UNDER and have scored 16 goals.

BOTH sides have finished UNDER 2.5 in 7 of their last 8 league games.

STAKE 34.50 pts on UNDER @ 1.5 with bet 365
STAKE 2.27 pts on 2-1 home win -bet 365 @ 10.00

[jtw1]

2-2 f-t

STARTING BANK = 100 pts

CURRENT BANK = 200 pts

[jtw1]

The pick for tonight is ST.ETIENNE v TOULOUSE.
Their H2H is very impressive with 8 out of 8 H/A league games ending UNDER 2.5.

ST ETIENNE at home have finished UNDER 8 times out of 11 games and have scored 13 goals .

TOULOUSE have a record of 8 out of 12 away games finishing UNDER 2.5 , and have netted 10 times in those .

STAKE 20 pts on UNDER 2.5 @1.5 with GAMEBOOKERS.

Not taking the home just yet as a quick look back over the results shows that it has only helped 2-3 times and is probobly better left to the latter stages of the bet.

[jtw1]

1-3 and still playing .

Current bank = 180 pts

[jtw1]

Quite a few to choose from in the FRENCH 2nd Div tonight and i've gone for AMIENS v GUEUGNON.

H2H shows 12 out of the last 14 meetings between the two [h/a] has ended UNDER 2.5 goals.

AMIENS at home have had 8 out of 12 games end UNDER ,scoring 14 goals.

GUEUGNON have had 9 out of 12 aways ebd UNDER with only 3 goals scored .

STAKE 20pts on UNDER @ 1.4 with G'BOOKERS.

[jtw1]

0-0 f-t

RETURNS = 28pts

[merlin]

.... great stuff JTW, I have only been following this thread today, and I

invested in your selection for tonight French League 2. Will be back for

more.Cheers.

[jtw1]

The NICE v LILLE game looks the one for today. this fixture has produced results of 1-1,2-1,0-0,0-0,2-0,2-0 and 1-1 since 1996.

At home the record this season for NICE is 10 UNDERS out of 12 matches with 10 scored.

LILLE, away, has seen 7 out of 11 end UNDER with 13 goals scored.

STAKE 28 PTS @ 1.4 with bet 365

[peetal]

u know i checked the odds on a HK betting website becaus ei live in HK and the odds of over was 2.02 haha then i realised the line was 1.5
which sucks
lol i guess i can't make this bet

btw HK is Hong Kong

[jtw1]

2-0 f-t

RETURNS = 39.20 pts

[jtw1]

A trip to Portugal for Sunday's pick, V.GUIMARES v BELENENSES has finished UNDER in the corresponding fixture 4 times out of the last 5 meetings - 1-1,2-1,1-0,0-1,1-0.

At home V.GUIMARES have an impressive record of 8 UNDERS from 9 games with only 4 goals scored.

BELENENSES have only had 5 UNDERS from 9 aways , scoring 8 goals in those 9 games , but , they have had 4 out of the last 5 league games end UNDER.

STAKE 37 pts @ 1.65 on UNDERS with GAMEBOOKERS.
STAKE 2.20pts on 2-1 home win @ 8.0

[jtw1]

2-2 f-t CURRENT BANK = 160pts

Back to square one again !

ISTRES play LORIENT in the French 2nd Div tonight [ kick-off 19:30 gmt] and this fixture has a record of 1-1,0-1,1-0,1-2,1-1 [istres first]

At home ,ISTRES have had 9 out of 11 league games end UNDER 2.5, with 9 goals scored.

LORIENT have finished UNDER in 9 out of 12 away matches , scoring 16 goals .

STAKE 20pts @ 1.45 with GAMEBOOKERS.

A quick update on how the percentages on the UNDER's for the leagues we concentrate on.

1- FRANCE DIV 1 - An outstanding 70%
2- FRANCE DIV 2 - 64%
3- GREECE DIV 1 - 63%
4- ITALY SERIE B - 63% [thanks to unlucky guy for pointing this out]

[jtw1]

2-1 f-t Current Bank = 140pts


WEDS
----

STRASBOURG v P.S.G can hopefully kick-start this system with UNDER 2.5 goals.
Not a great UNDER record in this fixture over the years , 6 out of 9 .

However it's the recent goalscoring records of both teams that catch the eye.
At home STRASBOURG have had 8 UNDER's out of 12 games but have only scored 6 times, and in fact have only netted twice in the last 6 homes and they were in the same game, the other 5 matches proved goalless for them.

P.S.G have an even worse record in that having played 11 aways so far they have only scored 5 times [3 in the last 7 with no goals in 5 of those] .
Its no wonder they have had 10 UNDER's out of 11 aways.

STAKE 20 pts @ 1.5 with G'bookers

[jtw1]

1-1 f-t

RETURNS = 30 pts

[jtw1]

Tonights selection is BREST v CRETEIL.
Only 3 previous meetings between the 2 in recent years and the record stands at 2 UNDERS out of the 3.[1-0 at Brest].

It's the league stats that grab the eye tonight.
BREST have had 8 out of 12 homes finish UNDER , with 15 goals scored.[only 1 goal in the last 5 league games]

CRETEIL have had 10 out of 11 away games end UNDER with only 5 goals scored in those 11.

Stake 30 pts @ 1.45 - GAMEBOOKERS.

[jtw1]

0-2 f-t

RETURNS = 43.50 pts

[jtw1]

Today we go for STRASBOURG v AJJACIO to end UNDER 2.5 goals.

The last 5 corresponding fixtures have ended 0-0,1-1,3-2,1-0.

STRASBOURG have had 9 out of 13 homes finish UNDER with only 7 goals scored.

AJJACIO have had 10 out of 13 aways end UNDER with 5 goals scored.

STAKE 41 pts on UNDER @ 1.5
STAKE 2.5 pts on 2-1 home win @ 8.0
Both GAMEBOOKERS.

[jtw1]

LILLE v P.S.G fits the criteria today.
2-0,1-0,2-1,1-0,1-0 in past meetings.

LILLE have had 9 out of 13 home games end UNDER , goals for = 21.

P.S.G have had 11 out of 12 aways end UNDER , only scoring 6 goals .

STAKE 20pts @ 1.47 - gamebookes.

Maybe the only thing we really need to do is bet BORDEAUX [11/12] at home and PSG [11/12] away .

Bank = 120 pts

[jtw1]

LILLE 0-0 RETURNS = 29.40 pts

Tonight in PORTUGAL MARITIMO v V.GUIMARAES looks tempting although the home side haven't had a great number of UNDER's this season.But the h2h's and the away side's stats that sway things.

The h2h over the years are - 0-1,1-0,1-1,1-0,2-0,1-0,1-1,1-2.
These are stats for MARITIMO at home, 9 out of 11 h/a games have ended UNDER.

MARITIMO at home have only had 5 out of 11 league games end UNDER , scoring 16 goals.

V.GUIMARES have had 8 out 11 aways end UNDER , in fact their last 4 have been UNDER , and have scored only 6 goals in those 11.

STAKE 29.40 pts on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.65-G'bookers

[jtw1]

0-1 f-t

RETURNS = 48.51pts