UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results

[jtw1]

2-1 f-t Metz got one in the 87th min
Hope you took the insurance out ?

The annoying thing about it is there was 7 games in French Div 1 tonight and i managed to flag up 1 of the 2 that finished OVER 2.5 .

RETURNS = 13.6.

[meatman]

this happened to me as well - I often used to bet under using past results in Ligue 1. But for some reason I always used to pick out the overs.

forget about this result mate - I mean I actually put you onto it and wasnt really your selection. sorry about that

****ing Herve Tum late goal

[jtw1]

Don't worry mate , all you done was point out what looked like a good bet , i also checked out the rest of the French games tonight and it definatly looked like the one to be on !
Still got something to bet with ; we'll be back tomorrow

[jtw1]

All out on this one , ST ETIENNE v TOULOUSE , K-O 17:00 GMT.

This has ended in UNDER for 9 out of 10 h/a games , albeit spread out over 10 years.

ST ETIENNE have had 11 home games with 8 of them finishing UNDER 2.5 and 13 goals scored.

TOULOUSE have had 11 aways and 7 of them have been UNDER. 9 goals scored in those 11.

STAKE13.6pts @ 1.55 with bet 365.

[jtw1]

Appears the game was abandoned after 14 mins due to the state of the pitch.

[jtw1]

Thats the 2nd abandonment we've had

Never mind , take a look at SETUBAL v BOAVISTAin Portugese Div 1 on Mon evening.
There have been UNDERS in 8 out of the last 10 meetings ,H + A , between the two.

SETUBAL have had an immaculate 8 out of 8 home league games end UNDER , with 6 goals scored.

BOAVISTA are nearly as good [ UNDERS wise] away from home , they have had 7 out of 8 aways finish UNDER 2.5, with 6 goals scored.

STAKE 13.60pts @ 1.6 with BETFAIR.

[jtw1]

0-2

Returns = 21.76pts

[jtw1]

Damn just came on here and discovered i hadn't posted last nights game
PANAFIEL v BRAGA which finished 0-0 .


GUEUGNON v REIMS, altough not ideal in previous fixtures with 3 out of 5 meetings h+a have ended UNDER it's their previous league form that takes the eye.

GUEUGNON at home so far have had 7 out of 10 finish UNDER with 13 goals scored , but they have not scored in the last 3 league games.

REIMS have had 8 out of 10 aways finish UNDER with 9 goals in those 10.

STAKE 20 PTS on UNDERS @ 1.5 - G'BOOKERS
STAKE 1.76 PTS on 2-1 home win @ 8.5

[jtw1]

0-0 f-t

RETURNS = 30 pts

[jtw1]

Stake 28 pts on NICE v PSG to end UNDER.
Again not a great h2h record , with 3 out of 5 matches at NICE ending UNDER but good enough to qualify for selection.

NICE have had 9 out of 11 home games end UNDER with 9 goals scored

PSG have had 9 out of 10 aways finish UNDER ,only netting 5 times.

ODDS - 1.5 with bet 365
Stake 2pts on 2-1 home win @ 10.0

[jtw1]

1-0 f-t

Returns = 42pts

[jtw1]

In Greece today there is only one game AIGALEO v KALLITHEA.
5 out of the last 7 meetings ,both home + away have ended UNDER- 0-0,1-2,1-0,1-1,1-2,0-1 and 1-1.

At home AIGALEO have finished UNDER 5 times out of 7 games with 7 goals scored.

KALLITHEA have the same record away from home [5 out of 7 UNDER] but have only managed 3 goals in those 7 aways.

Stake 40 pts on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.65 with SPORTING ODDS .

Stake 2pts@ 9.0 on home win 2-1
.

[jtw1]

1-0

RETURNS = 66 pts.

BASTIA v VALENCE [mon]

Now i know it's not technically part of the criteria that i set out at the start of this thread as they have only met once in recent years and that ended in a 1-0 win for BASTIA [that was in fact this season].
But i feel the stats for every thing else really sets this out as a good bet.

At home BASTIA have had 8 out of 10 matches finish UNDER with 17 goals scored, but 8 of those came in 2 games early on in the season and in fact BASTIA have had 10 out of the last 12 H/A games end UNDER 2.5.

VALENCE are in a similar position having had 7 out of 10 aways end UNDER and have scored 17 goals , but this time 7 of those 17 came in 2 games against teams that were in 14th and 17th spot in the league.

Currently BASTIA are 4th and VALENCE are in 3rd spot so , as far as the table goes it should be a tight game.

Stake 60 pts on UNDER @ 1.6 with G'BOOKERS.
Stake 2pts on 2-1 home win @ 8.0 , 2pts on 1-2 @ 13.0 and 2pts on 2-2 @ 15.0

[jtw1]

1-0 f-t

RETURNS = 96 pts. Bank it!!

Starting Bank = 100 pts

Current Bank = 220 pts

[davidmphill]

Man alive JTW, things are going well.
Well done mate, long may it continue.

[gus]

hallo, i'm newbie here

its look like good system that you use

i 'll follow you

cheers

[jtw1]

Tonight one of our abandoned games is being played , here's the original post -

---------------------------------------------------
Posted 03-01-2006 12:26 PM
France div 2 tonight and we'll take REIMS v GRENOBLEto end UNDER .
They have faced each other 5 times ,H/A , in the past few years and 4 of those have ended UNDER 2.5 and the 2 corresponding fixtures have been 0-1 + 1-1.

REIMS have finished 8 out of 10 home matches UNDER 2.5 , scoring 8 goals in those 10.

GRENOBLE have had 6 of their 10 aways end UNDER , with 7 goals scored.
-----------------------------------------------------

Since then the stats have changed to 8 out of 11 UNDERS at home to REIMS and 7 out of 11 UNDERS to GRENOBLE.
So a slight decline in stats and a 3-0 home win since then makes me slightly apprehensive but nonetheless haere goes.

STAKE 18 pts on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.45
STAKE 2 pts on 2-1 home win @ 8.0

Both with Gamebookers

[jtw1]

0-0 f-t RETURNS = 26.10

[jtw1]

This was always going to happen i suppose but tomorrow [SAT] we've got 2 picks but unfortunatly the kick-off times clash

GAME 1 - AKRATITOS v AIGALEOS in the GREEK 1st Div , kick-off 15:45 GMT.
This has seen scores of 0-1,0-1,0-2 in the last few seasons .
AKRATITOS at home so far this season have had 5 out of 7 games end UNDER , with 7 goals scored .
AIGALEO away from home have had 7 out of 8 finish UNDER 2.5 , with only 5 goals scored .
ODDS- 1.6 with GAMEBOOKERS.


GAME 2 - BORDEAUX v LENS , kicks-off 30 mins later at 14:15 GMT.
Previous scores in this fixture = 1-0,1-2,1-1,2-1,1-0,0-0,1-1.
BORDEAUX at home so far have a near perfect 10 out of 11 finish UNDER, with 11 scored.
LENS are the mirror image with 10 out 11 ending away and , again, 11 goals scored.
ODDS - 1.53 with bet365.

So the question is ????? well you know fine what it is !!!!

After much gnashing of teeth it has to be ..................

BORDEAUX v LENS , STAKE 24.10 pts with 365
Also 2pts on the 2-1 home win @ 8.5

[jtw1]

1-0 f-t

RETURNS = 36.87 pts