UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results

[jtw1]

1-1 f-t

Returns = 51.54pts

[Darth Nader]

Sweet start to the 'new' campaign jtw.
Lovely stuff.

[osfp]

Well being Greek i can tell you that you made a good choice with the Greek League however i am a bit worried about the english leagues which are a bit unpredictable concerning over/under go get them!

[jtw1]

Normally i would aviod the top 2 ENGLISH leagues my self mate but there does seem to be a trend forming , especially in the Premiership of games ending UNDER 2.5 goals , so we'll keep an eye on it and consider the games on offer .

HOWEVER , SERIE B have only played 4 league games but ,so far , seem to be following previous seasons trends and have had 57% of those games end UNDER 2.5 goals.

So we're off there on SATURDAY for PESCARA v VERONA.
This fixture has ended 1-1,1-1,2-1,1-1 and 1-0.

PESCARA have had 2 out of 2 homes end UNDER.
VERONA have had 2 aways from 2 end UNDER.

STAKE 51.54pts @ 1.57

[jtw1]

0-0 Returns = 80.92pts BANK IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

STARTING BANK = 100 pts CURRENT BANK = 160.92 pts. Start again with MARITIMO v AMADORO in the Portugese 1st Div [63% UNDERS after 4 games] Previous results = 2-0,2-1,1-1,2-2,2-0,1-0,1-0. Maybe one too many OVERS in the previous results but as MARITIMO have had 2/2 homes end UNDER and AMADORO have had 2/2 aways end UNDER in the league so far this season I'll give them the benefit of the doubt STAKE 20PTS @ 1.6

[jtw1]

2-1 f-t

2 goals in the last 7 mins for the home side let us down

CURRENT BANK = 140.92pts

[jtw1]

STAKE 30.60 PTS on ASTON VILLA v SPURSending UNDER 2.5 goals.
Previous results = 1-1,2-0,1-1,0-1,1-0,1-0,1-1.

VILLA have had 2 out of 3 homes end UNDER. [6/7 h/a]
SPURS have had 2 out of 3 aways end UNDER. [5/7 h/a]

ODDS - 1.61

[vodafone]

great idea , do they only do 2.5 or is there prices for 3 or over 3 etc ?

[jtw1]

1-1 f-t returns = 49.27pts


I have seen odds for 3 or over , vodafone , but you'd have to check out which ones yourself .
Try BetRescue.com , pick a game , select OVER/UNDER and see who gives the odds.

[jtw1]

Unfortunatly nothing meets the criteria today.

Top 4 leagues for UNDERS
------------------------

1- SERIE B = 66%
2- ENGLISH PREMIERSHIP = 62%
3- CZECH GAMBRINUS = 61%
4- GREEK 1st DIV = 60%

While the FRENCH 1st Div is still under 50% , the 2nd seems to be settling down and is up to 55% UNDERS and so might be worth looking at again in the coming weeks.

[bignedkelly]

hi there
sorry if this aint the right place to post this but i couldnt find a thread to suit.
i would like some advice on laying off an accumulator i placed yesterday (3 results came up yesterday and im waiting on hearts game today)
if theres anyone out there who could offer some advice i would very much appeciate it.

cheers

[davidc]

Hi bignedkelly:

You would have been better to have started a new thread

The simple answer to your question is to lay Hearts (I presume you have backed them in your accumulator) so as to guarantee a profit no matter what the result.

Good luck.

[squelch]

It's good to see someone having a crack at the over/under markets. Since September, I've been concentrating my efforts on the unders, but generally opposing them rather than backing them, with some success.

You concentrate on games that have a history of low scores between the teams. Do you factor in the bookies prices as well before making a selection? The problem I've found is that a lot of the time, the under prices are quite low, which I think reflects that there are generally more under games than over, but, it also means there are games which seem to be mispriced.

[jtw1]

To be honest SQUELCH i concentrate on finding the right game then look at the odds , which i expect to be around 1.5 - 1.8.
The only time i did avoid a game because of the poor odds on offer was last season when the French Divs were running at 65-66% UNDERS and odds of 1.4 - 1.45 started being offered.
Thats why i concentrate on leagues that are currently around 60% mark on UNDERS.
So personally i would avoid anything under 1.5

[jtw1]

In the PORTUGESE 1st Div on Friday night we have BELENENSES v FERREIRA which has finished 0-0,1-2,1-0,0-2,2-0. in previous seasons.

BELENENSES have had 3 out of 3 homes end UNDER this season [4 out of 5 h/a]

FERREIRA have had 2 out of 3 aways end UNDER [4/6 h/a]

STAKE 46.27PTS on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.5
STAKE 3 PTS on 2-1 home win @ 9.0

[jtw1]

BELENENSES 2-0 RETURNS = 69.41PTS

BANK IT !!!!!!!!

STARTING BANK = 100 PTS
CURRENT BANK = 210.36PTS.

BANK DOUBLED [ for the moment anyway ]

SATURDAY
----------

SERIE B has the best percentage of UNDERS at 66% so we'll take
BARI v TREVISO to end UNDER 2.5 goals .
Previous results = 1-1,0-0,0-2,1-1. Results when BARI play at home.
Only 4 meetings h/a between the two .

BARI have had 3/3 homes end UNDER [6/7 h/a]
TREVISO have ahd 1/3 aways end UNDER [5/7 h/a]

Not perfect i admit but at 66% UNDERS in the league ,it gets the vote

[jtw1]

1-0 h-t

[jtw1]

2-0 f-t

An incredible 8 out of 9
games in SERIE B finished UNDER 2.5

Returns = 28.80pts

[jtw1]

Now this doesn't happen too often but for SUNDAY theres 3
matches came up that fit the criteria.

C.BUDEJOVIC v PRIBRAM in the CZECH GAMBINUS league has a history of - 0-0,1-1,0-0,0-0.
BUDEJOVIC have had 4/5 homes end UNDER [5/10 h/a]
PRIBRAM have had 3/4 aways end UNDER [ 7/10 H/A]

SETUBAL v U.LEIRIA has a history of 1-0,0-0,1-1,0-0,1-1,2-0
SETUBAL have had 3/3 homes end UNDER [5/6 H/A]
U.LEIRIA have had 2/3 aways end UNDER [3/6 h/a]

S.LISBON v PORTO has an amazing record in this fixture of
0-1,2-0,1-1,2-0,0-1,1-0,0-1,1-1,2-0,0-1.
S.LISBON have had 2/3 homes end UNDER [5/6 H/A]
PORTO have had 1/3 aways end UNDER [1/6 H/A]

A slight concern about PORTO'S away record but as this is counter-balanced by the fact that 10 out of 10 meetings in this fixture have finished UNDER makes the game worth a bet.

So the bet is 28.80pts treble.

C.BUDEJOVIC @ 1.65
SETUBAL @ 1.55
SP.LISBON @ 1.55

Odds with SPORTING ODDS AND THE BEST OF DAMNED LUCK TO YOU ALL

[UnworthyPapaLazaru]

And best of luck to you! Im new to the forum and your thread has won me a few quid already, cheers! I'll be watching these, possibly betting, and keeping a close eye on this thread in the future.

Keep up the excellent work!