UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results

[jtw1]

Sorry about the delay in replying guys, on holiday wtih limited access to a p.c until Saturday so bear with me.

Yes its a 100pt starting bank again mate - down to 90pts now

Certainly have to keep an eye on the results as the season progresses as regards to cash incentives.
With that in mind i shall only be selecting games with at least 5 games out of the last 6 ending UNDER 2.5 as a minimum requirement for the first few weeks to see how things work out.

2-2 f-t ISTRESv BASTIA

[jtw1]

LENS v TROYES has finished 0-1,1-1,0-0,1-0,-,-,and 1-0 over the last few seaons but more impressively they have not had a game end OVER 2.5 goals in their last 10 H/A meetings .

STAKE 10 pts @ 1.6 [expekt]


Not part of this system but have a look at CHATEAUROUX v LE HAVRE on FRIDAY night as this fixture has ended 2-1,3-1,4-2,2-1,4-1 and 3-0 over the last 6 seasons
OVERR 2.5 = 2.2

[jtw1]

Chateauroux 2-2

[rippyuk]

Originally Posted by jtw1

LENS v TROYES has finished 0-1,1-1,0-0,1-0,-,-,and 1-0 over the last few seaons but more impressively they have not had a game end OVER 2.5 goals in their last 10 H/A meetings .

Liking that stat.. taken @ 1.6

[jtw1]

LENS 1-0

CHATEUROUX 2-2

Again not part of the UNDERS system but this is an interesting game on Tuesday -

STRASBOURG v montpellier 7-0-0
1-0,2-1,3-0,2-1,2-0,3-2,4-2.
OVERS odds = 2.25 , Straight win odds = 1.8.

[jtw1]

STRASBOURG 2-0 , Nearly !!

[jtw1]

Nothing meets the criteria in the FRENCH 2nd on FRIDAY night , but here's an interesting set of results from the last 7 meetings between CRETIEL v GUEUGNON

1-4,1-2,3-1,2-2,1-1,3-0 4-0 , consider the relatively high amount of OVERS so far in the the league[15/30]and also the cash incentive situation and the 2.5 offered by EXPEKT is worth considering.

[rippyuk]

Sounds like another good shout..

[jtw1]

CRETIEL 0-0 , Sods Law

50% split continues , just choose the wrong one.

SATURDAY and one for the system - NICE v NANTES
1-0,1-2,-,-,1-1,1-0,0-0,1-1.
ODDS - 1.53

[jtw1]

Things seem to be normal as far as the main French league is concerned as 5 out of 8 games have finished UNDER. Which is jolly good news for us NICE 1-1 F-T Nothing tomorrow i'm afraid.

System record so far = L,W,W Starting Bank = 100pts Current Bank = 101.30pts This will be a guide as to how the selections fare as straight single wins.

[jtw1]

FRIDAY - FRENCH DIV 2
---------------------

GUEUGNON v AMIENS has a record of 0-1,1-0,2-0,
2-1,1-1,0-1,1-1 and 0-0.

13 out of 15 home/away fixtures have ended UNDER.

GUEGNON have played 4 league games and had 3 end UNDER
AMIENS have had only 1 UNDER from 4 league games

A bit of a worry about AMIENS goal tally but the rest fits nicely

ODDS - 1.6 with Sporting Odds.

Personally have 24.48 pts going onto this one from the last 2 wins .

[jtw1]

2-1 , starting to worry about this league !!

[jtw1]

The French 2nd Div is not living up to expectations so far this season , with only 48% of games ending UNDER.
As far as this thread is concerned ,it will no longer be considered until things improve.
The cash incentive sceme looks like it's working

[jtw1]

SUNDAY
------
BORDEAUX v LYON has finished 0-0,1-0,1-3,1-1,0-1,0-1
1-1,0-0 and 1-1 in previous seasons.

BORDEAUX conceded only 25 goals all last season and have not let any in in their first 2 games.

ODDS - 1.57

Currently running with a 60% UNDERS strike rate [and thats before tonights 6 from 8 games ending UNDER] The FRENCH 1st Div is still looking good for UNDERS.

[jtw1]

LYON 2-1

LYON'S 2nd was a yard offside !!
Thankfully left out the FRENCH 2nd Div tonight as the pick would have been GUINGAMP [won 6-1 !!]

SAT
---

NICE v LYON has ended 1-0,0-1,-,-,0-1,0-1,0-1 and 1-1.
All 3 of NICE'S league games have been UNDER 2.5 goals.
LYON have had 1 UNDER from 3 [see above ]
ODDS - 1.61

If that one comes in then have a bet on SOCHAUX v P.S.G
Previous record - 1-0,-,0-2,0-0,0-1,1-2 and 0-1.
Both teams have had 2 UNDERS from 3 games.
ODDS - 1.57

[jtw1]

5 goals scored in both games !!!!!!!!!

Now some of you may be disappointed and others quite releived that i have decided to temporalily suspend this system until around Mid-September as there have been some costly results affecting us.
Last night in the FRENCH 1st DIV there were 5 games and they ended with 5,3,4,5 and 3 goals scored in them !! Not good for a UNDER 2.5 goals thread , especially in this league.

So i'm going to give things a bit of time to settle down and allow the Portugese , Greeks and others to start off their leagues.
I WILL be starting up as i said around 22nd/23rd of September when we can hopefully start wining again.

Sorry to let down any regular followers but i'd rather do this than be responsible for people losing any more hard-earned on my account ,hope you all understand .

[jtw1]

Hello all , we're back and ready to make some cash.
Now as some of you may have noticed the 2 main leagues that were so profitable last season , namely the FRENCH 1st + 2nd Divisions , have suddenly become an OVERS backers paradise !! especially the 1st where currently only 47% of all games ended this season , whereas last season it was at least 60% !!.
This is due ,i believe , to an incentive scheme started by the Fench F.A where teams are rewarded if they win by a certain amount of goals.

So for this week i'll be looking at the GREEK 1ST [ 63%] , RUSSIAN [57%]
CZECH [64%], ENGLISH CHAMP[57%] and ENGLISH PREM [60%]

Back with the selections tomorrow.

[osfp]

Hi there jtw1 i am looking forward to following your thread this year, i hope you will make some good profits for yourself and everybody else following you! best of luck!

[jtw1]

Cheers osfp and heres Saturday's pick

WOLVES v STOKE

Previous results = 2-0,1-1,0-0,1-1,0-0.

WOLVES have had 3 homes out of 4 homes end UNDER this season and have had 7 /8 H/A matches end UNDER.

STOKE have had 2 out of 4 aways end UNDER. [ 6/8 H/A matches].

ODDS - 1.61 STAKE 20pts

[jtw1]

2-0

GREEK 1st DIV
-------------

XANTHI v ARIS
Previous results in this fixture - 1-0,1-0,0-2,1-0,3-1.

XANTHI have played 4 games so far with their only home game ending 0-0 and 2 of their aways ending UNDER .

ARIS have also played 4 games with ALL ending UNDER 2.5 goals [2 homes + 2 aways]

ODDS - 1.6 STAKE 32.20 PTS