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| Systems & Strategy Forum Discuss all your strategies, systems, selection methods and staking plans here. Try and keep your match selections to the other forums. |
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| | #21 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Updated results and stats: Bet 15: Zenit Petersburg 2.35/£35 @ Expekt WON Bet 16: Jef United Chiba 2.25/£35 @ Sportingbet WON Bet 17: Marila Pribram 1.75/£35 @ Expekt LOST Bet 18: Cucuta Deportivo 1.8/£35 @ Expekt WON Bet 19: Porto 1.45/£40 @ Betinternet WON Bet 20: Arsenal 1.24/£40 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) WON Bets: 21 Won: 10 Lost: 11 Staked: £920 Returned: £757.80 Loss: £162.20 Todays Bet Elche v Malaga Malaga have a streak of 7 and are flying in the league. Bet 22: Malaga 2.56/£40 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) The New Saints v Rhyl TNS have a streak of 6 but will have a hard game as Rhyl have started the season very well too. Bet 23: TNS 1.99/£40 @ Pinnacle |
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| | #24 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Thanks Bedlam - hopefully the slightly better run of results will continue. Hi GotaFancy: Its a very simple strategy where you back teams which have had a run (or streak) of 5 wins in a row for the next 2 games (if the run continues). Some bets for this weekend: Arsenal v Bolton Arsenal are top of the league and have a streak of 6. Bet 24: Arsenal £40/1.28 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) Wexford v Finn Harps Finn Harps are top of the league with a streak of 6 and have won 18 from their last 21 games. Bet 25: Finn Harps £40/1.5 @ Gamebookers Jef United v Urawa Reds Jef United have a streak of 7 wins but this will be a tough game against Urawa as thay have lost only 2 games all season. The odds on the home win are above 2.75 so this bet will be AH +1/2. Bet 26: Jef United £40/1.88 (+1/2) @ Betdaq (Net of 2% commission) |
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| | #25 (permalink) | |
| Asst Administrator ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 18 Jun 2005
Posts: 32,308
| Quote:
- Just in case my comments were misinterpreted - I didn't mean anything negative by it towards your thread/system Every time I see the title of your thread as a new post, I hope that Carl is the poster ![]() But your system - instinctively it sounds plausible and seems to make sense ![]() When it comes to sequences, I think people often misunderstand it - and apply it to random events such as the turn of a card or the spin of a roulette wheel - totally random events, with no "memory" of previous random events - what you are looking at is different - it's all based on confidence, and a direct "memory" of previous results ![]() | |
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| | #26 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Sorry to dissapoint you GotaFancy just thought the title would get some viewers! Updated results and stats: Bet 24: Arsenal £40/1.28 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) WON Bet 25: Finn Harps £40/1.5 @ Gamebookers WON Bet 26: Jef United £40/1.88 (+1/2) @ Betdaq (Net of 2% commission) LOST ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 bets for this weekend: Grosseto v Pisa Pisa have a streak of 6. Bet 27: Pisa £40/2.65 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich Bayern Munich have a streak of 5 and are unbeaten in the league this season. Bet 28: Bayern Munich £40/1.84 @ Pinnacle |
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| | #27 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| 4 qualifying bets for this weekend: Domzale NK v Celje NK Donzale have a streak of 6 and are top of the league. Bet 29: Donzale NK 1.55/£40 @ Expekt Flora Tallinn v Trans Narva Flora Tallinn have a streak of 5 and have won 12 straight at home but Trans Narva are in the middle of agood run themselves having won 9 from their last 10, hence the good odds. Bet 30: Flora Tallinn 1.8/£40 @ Ladbrokes Cruzeiro v Flamengo Flamengo have a streak of 5 wins and look a bit overpriced to me but I will stick with the system rules and back them + 1/2. Bet 31: Flamengo + 1/2 1.75/£40 @ Expekt Cibalia v Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb have a streak of 5 and are well clear at the top of the league. Bet 32: Dinamo Zagreb 1.5/£40 @ Ladbrokes Fingers crossed for some winners! |
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| | #28 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Two bets for this weekend: Wisla Krakow v Groclin Wisla Krakow have a streak of 6 and are top of the league. Bet 33: Wisla Krakow 1.7/£35 @ Unibet Lyon v Marseille Lyon have a streak of 5 wins and have won 9 from their last 10. Bet 34: Lyon 1.57/£35 @ Stan James |
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| | #29 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Metalurg Donetsk v Dnipro Dnipro have a streak of 6 while Metalurg have lost their last 3. Bet 34: Dnipro 2.25/£35 @ Sportingbet East Fife v Montrose East Fife have a streak of 5 and have won their all 6 home games this season. They also have won 11 from their last 12 at home against Montrose. Bet 35: East Fife 1.67/£35 @ Totesport |
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| | #31 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Updated stats: Bets: 37 Won: 18 Lost: 19 Staked: £1535 Returned: £1267.30 Loss: £267.70 One bet for this weekend: GBA v Mons Bergen GBA have a streak of 5 and have beaten Mons on their last 4 visits. Mons have lost 6 out of 7 aways this season. Bet 39: GBA 1.62/£35 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) |
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| | #32 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| GBA 1.62/£35 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) WON Updated stats: Bets: 39 Won: 19 Lost: 19 Staked: £1570 Returned: £1324 Loss: £264 Two bets for this weekend: Linfield v Glenavon Linfield have a streak of 6 wins and are have won 8 from the last meetings between the two teams. Bet 39: Linfield 1.29/£35 @ William Hill Inter Milan v AC Milan Inter Milan have a streak of 5 and are unbeaten in the league this season. Bet 40: Inter Milan 2.29/£35 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) |
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| | #33 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Linfield 1.29/£35 @ William Hill WON Inter Milan 2.29/£35 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) WON Looks like I made a mistake posting stats but I have checked and the below stats are correct. Updated stats: Bets: 40 Won: 21 Lost: 19 Staked: £1640 Returned: £1449.30 Loss: £190.70 2 bets for Boxing day: Glentoran v Linfield Linfield have a streak of 7 wins and hope to continue this run against fierce rivals Glentoran. They have won 7 from the last 13 meetings between the two, with Glentoran only able to record 1 win in that time. Linfield 2.57/£40 @ Betdaq Crusaders v Cliftonville Cliftonville have a streak of 6 wins and are unbeaten in the league this season. The also have a streak of 6 wins against Crusaders as well as 6 in a row in the league. Cliftonville 1.82/£40 @ Betfair (Net of 5% commission) YET TO BE MATCHED |
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| | #34 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Glentoran v Linfield LOST Crusaders v Cliftonville LOST 2 losers leave the stats at: Bets: 42 Won: 21 Lost: 21 Staked: £1720 Returned: £1449.30 Loss: £270.70 One bet for today: Swansea City v Leeds United Swansea have a streak of 5 wins and although 4 have been at home it still qualifies. A tough game against Leeds is forecast. Swansea City 2.4/£35 @ Totesport |
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| | #36 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Hi tommy - I will try to remember to post the scores for the losing games. One bet for today: Fenerbahce v Istanbulspor Fenerbahce have a streak of 5 wins and have won 8 and drawn 1 of their 9 home games this season. Istanbulspor have yet to record an away win. Fenerbahce 1.33/£35 @ Centrebet |
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| | #38 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Two bets for today: Rangers v Falkirk Rangers have a streak of 6 wins and also have won their last 7 at Ibrox. Falkirk have lost 6 from 12 aways this season. Rangers 1.21/£50 @ Centrebet Ross County v Alloa Ross County have a streak of 6 and are on top of the SPL. Alloa have lost 6 from 11 aways this season. Ross County 1.53/£50 @ Betfred |
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| | #39 (permalink) |
| Shrewdie Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 24 Jul 2005
Posts: 597
| Updated results and stats: Rangers v Falkirk WON Ross County v Alloa WON Bets: 46 Won: 24 Lost: 22 Staked: £1890 Returned: £1635.30 Loss: £254.70 N.B. I think there may have been a mistake in the stats previously, but hopefully this has now been corrected. One streakers for this weekend (Sunday): De Graafschap v Breda NAC Breda have a streak of 6 and have won 8 from their 12 aways this season. De Graafschap have won only 2 from their 12 homes this season. Breda NAC 2.3/£50 @ Centrebet |
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