strategy over 2.5

[EulogioJ]

Well, I will try to apply jtw1 rules for the under 2.5 strategy and try to make it profitable for an over 2.5 strategy.

I will not bet real money until I see if I can make the system really profitable in the long run. I will try it with 5 units per match and use betfair for the odds

I will start now with Tippeligaen league (60% matches with over 2.5)

Brann-Rosenborg

4/5 over in their previous matches between them

Brann 8/8 over in home matches
Rosenborg 6/7 over in away matches

Initial bankroll: 100 units

Stake: 5 units; odd 1.5

[rich46]

Good Luck with this if you have as much success as jtw1 it will be a good system.

[aliando]

Originally Posted by rich46

Good Luck with this if you have as much success as jtw1 it will be a good system.

i'll second that


to PL by the way

[EulogioJ]

Brann-Rosenborg: 3-2

Initial bankroll: 100 units

Actual bankroll: 102.5 units

Yield: 2.5 %

I will study today matches and post anything interesting I find.

[EulogioJ]

A little more difficult today. I do not find any match that meets the criteria 100%, so I will try this match only with the winnings:

Tippeligaen, Aalesund-Odd Grenland

Previous direct matches: 5/5 overs

Aalesund (home): 5/7 over

Odd Grenland (away): 4/8 over This is the criteria I dont like , the others are perfect

Stake: 2.5 units

Odd: 1.65

If matches that do not meet the criteria 100% are not correct, then I will add in the thread the difference in the yields between betting only in matches that meet all the criteria or betting in all the posted matches

I hope this system is profitable in the long run

[jtw1]

Good start and with 15 mins to go its 2-0

One point i'd like to mention and thats ,unless theres a REALLY strong bias for the home or away side , eg BRANN 8/8 OVERS at home , then i usually stick to recent form ie the last 6 homes/aways .
Events can occur that can change how a team approaches a game ; new manager etc, so i beleive not going too far back in a season can keep the stats sharp.

However it's your thread mate and i wish you all the luck with it

JUST CHECKED AND ITS 2-1

[EulogioJ]

Thank you very much for all your ideas, jtw1. You are the legenday pounter here and I am just trying to make a profitable system similar to yours. I hope to be at least half succesfull as you are .
I will focus a little more in the last 5/6 results instead of the full season, because otherway I will post only a few matches .

Well, finally Aalesund-Odd Grenland: 2-1.
So we continue with the good results.

Initial bankroll: 100 units

Actual bankroll: 104.125 units

[EulogioJ]

Lets try today in Iceland League (Landsbankadeildin)Akranes-Fylkir


Not all the conditions apply here, but almost all:

Akranes 6/6 overs at home (10/12 overs in the league)

Fylkir. Although there are more unders away, they have been in the initial matches of the league. In last 3 matches away: 2/3 overs.

In previous hand to hand matches:4/5 overs

Stake: 5 units. Odd: 1.6

[EulogioJ]

Well, only two goals in the match

Initial bankroll: 100 units

Actual bankroll: 99.125 units

[jtw1]

Keep an eye on the DUTCH 2nd Div mate , loads of OVERS there

[EulogioJ]

A little busy today, but lets try with the 1 division in Norwegian League:

Nottoden-Konsvinger:

H2H 2/2 overs

Nottoden home: 3/5 in last 5 matches

Konsvinger away: 5/5 over in last 5 matches

Stake: 5 units

Odd: 1.51

[jtw1]

Have you considered progressive staking or are you happy with singles ??

[EulogioJ]

Sorry jtw1, but I do not know exactly what do you mean by progressive staking There are a lot of betting expressions in English that I am learning know

By the way, 0-3 in the match :

Initial bankroll: 100 units

Actual bankroll: 101.67 units

Total stake: 17.5
Stake returned: 19.17
Profit: 9.5 %

[jtw1]

Progressive beting is the form of staking i use in the UNDERS thread eg -

20pts on selection 1 , if it wins then returns placed onto next selection , and so on .
You decide when to stop . Then its back to the start.
Have a look at the UNDERS thread and see what i mean .
As long as you are confident you can select 2 or 3 winners on the trot it's worth considering .
Only a suggestion though mate , if you want to keep going with straight single wins then good luck it's certainly the safest way to win.

[Yomica]

I decided to start with jtw1's system and found this thread. Excellent! This moment only 3 league fill 1st jtw rule - over 60 percent. Iceland, Norway 1 and 2. Maybe Denmark 2, too. Premiership and Scottland 2nd too, but not enough match. Good luck to all!

[EulogioJ]

jtw1, I will continue with single bets, but when the leagues I am now following finish, I will check the same bets I have made using progressive staking and we can compare results

For today:

Norwegian 1 division,

Mandalskam-Haugesund

H2H: 4/5 overs

Mandalskam at home: 7/8 overs; 7/7 in last 7 matches home
Haugesund away: 2/3 overs in last 3 matches away

Stake: 5 units
Odd: 1.39

[jtw1]

1-3 ft Keep it up mate

[EulogioJ]

Thanks jtw1, nice result

Initial bankroll: 100 units
Actual bankroll: 103.62 units

Total stake: 22.5 units
Returned stake: 26.12 units
Profit: 16%

Let's see if we are able to continue with profit until the end of the leagues...

[EulogioJ]

After a long time without any clear match:

Iceland,Landsbankadeildin

Akranes-Breidablik

H2H matches: 4/4 over

Akranes home: 6/7 over

Breidablik away: 4/5 over in last 5 matches away

Stake: 5 units
Odd: 1.7

[jtw1]

2-1 , 88th min goal !!