Soccer Over / Under Bet System

[goodfren]

Day 10 New System Result

2 Win 0 Loss - Total Day Profits 2.622pts after commission.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 109 Matches
Total Won: 50
Striking Rate: 45.87%
Current Bank Balance: 103.673pts
Yield in % : +3.673

[goodfren]

Day 11

Over Bet

Ireland
Bray Wanderers - Longford Town Over 2.5 @ 2.58

Under Bet

Austria 2
LASK Linz - Kärnten FC Under 2.5 @ 2.2 (Gamebookers)
FC Gratkorn - Kufstein FC Under 2.5 @ 2.3 (Gamebookers)
Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV Under 2.5 @ 2.3 (Gamebookers)
Leoben DSV - Rheindorf Altach SC Under 2.5 @ 2 (Gamebookers)

[goodfren]

Day 11 New System Result

2 Win 3 Loss - Total Day Loss 0.80pts.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 114 Matches
Total Won: 52
Striking Rate: 45.61%
Current Bank Balance: 102.873pts
Yield in % : +2.873

[goodfren]

No odd obtain for today pick from Betfair and Gamebookers, so no pick for today.

[goodfren]

I have just finalized the best staking plan which I will use for the pick I post here.

As from 18/5/2006. I will bet each of my pick using 5% of my starting bank. Each new day I will use 5% of the new bank balance. But if there is a loss day, my bet will go back to minimum 5% based on my starting balance or based on new lower bank balance if the bank standing balance is below my starting bank balance.

This staking plan is trying to maximized profits during good form period.

Example 1:

Current bank balance stand at 120 points. Yesterday bet is a win day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the 120 points. That is 6 point bet per match for today.

Example 2:

Current bank balance stand at 120 points. Yesterday bet is a loss day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the Starting Bank balance (100 points). That is 5 point bet per match for today.

Example 3:

Current bank balance stand at 90 points. Yesterday bet is a loss or win day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the 90 points. That is 4.5 point bet per match for today.

Let us see what this new staking plan can help improved my profits or worst.

Wish me luck on this idea.

[Betfairbetting]

Having in mind what I saw for now in your thread I can suggest you flat staking plan only. And no more thinking about the money management. Your main goal should be to reach about 10 % ROI /yield/. This can be done in one way only: by many observations over your bets. Hit rate /probably you should take into acount the different divisions, if your strategy works fine in every of them and to exclude the "bad" divisions/, odds /maybe your strategy works fine with some kind of odds, over 2.00, or over 2.10, or over 2.20.../ Many observations and calculations. Now you are at ROI 2-3% after more than 100 bets which is not bad. Try to reach 10 % after 300-500 bets.

[goodfren]

Thks BFB

I will try to improved it, I have learned a lot this few day over few forum which you are into also.

Great Advice, Thank and I will stick back to original flat stakes and add more rules I learn so far later few day of analysis.

I really appreciate to have you observed my progress and my chance to improved. Cheers!

You are trully a great person to be admired.

[goodfren]

Not in my system pick

Champions League Final

My pick is Under 2.5

[goodfren]

Oh i forget BFB

Actually i do make it above 10% in ROI if you see my blog. Here is because i have mixup my system with old and new.

[goodfren]

Oh, very bad personal pick for CL final, lukily no bet.

Very good point indeed you give to me BFB, I have notice one serious odd, that is 2.30 above and below 2.40, failure rate is about 68%, I could have reduce it to improved my profits. I will go through more details about it of all my bet tomorow. Very nice breakdown strategy to improved one system.

In the mean time, i will follow your advice to maintain flat stakes in my blog and over here, i will try the mentioned staking to see if it is good or not. It is also because, i saw my pick does not have very high risk of over 70% loss in a day when there are multiple pick avaliable.

[Betfairbetting]

I just took a look at your blog and you have 16 % ROI after approximately 50 bets,which is good. I think you should increase much your stake. If you bet flat, bet at least 7/10, because people are not very smart and most of them don't know what is ROI and that ROI is the most important criteria for your system and they look at the profit only. Your profit is small just because of the stake, so: increase the stake.

[goodfren]

Ok BFB;

I will do that, thanks for taking time to monitor my progress.

[goodfren]

Day 12

Over Bet

Finland
Inter Turku FC - HJK Helsinki 5 pts @ 2.26

Under Bet

Mexico
Real San Luis - Pachuca 5 pts @ 2.14

[goodfren]

Day 12 New System Result

1 Win 1 Loss - Total Day Profits 0.415pts after commission.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 116 Matches
Total Won: 53
Striking Rate: 45.69%
Current Bank Balance: 103.288pts
Yield in % : +3.288

[goodfren]

Day 13

5.16 pts per each bet.

Under Bet

Austria 2
Kapfenberger SV - FC Gratkorn @ 2.10 (Gamebookers)
Kufstein FC - Kärnten FC @ 2.15 (Gamebookers)

Over Bet

Ireland
Shelbourne United - Bohemians Dublin @ 2.22

[goodfren]

Day 13 New System Result

0 Win 3 Loss - Total Day Loss 15.48pts.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 119 Matches
Total Won: 53
Striking Rate: 44.54%
Current Bank Balance: 87.808pts
Yield in % : -12.192

Everage bet for Day 14: 4.39pts

[goodfren]

Day 14

4.39 pts per each bet.

Over Bet

Spain 2
Eibar - Lleida @ 2.58
Ciudad de Murcia - Ferrol @ 2.18
Hercules - Elche FC @ 2.62
Numancia - Albacete @ 2.30
Tenerife CD - Ejido @ 2.32

Ireland
Longford Town - St. Patrick's Athletic @ 2.56 -> postp
Derry City - Cork City @ 2.58

International Friendly
Slovakia - Belgium @ 2.06

[goodfren]

Day 14 New System Result

2 Win 5 Loss - Total Day Loss 10.50pts.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 126 Matches
Total Won: 55
Striking Rate: 43.65%
Current Bank Balance: 77.308pts
Yield in % : -22.692

Everage per each bet for Day 15: 3.86pts

[goodfren]

Day 15

3.86 pts per each bet.

Over Bet

Ireland
Bray Wanderers - Sligo Rovers @ 2.50 postp

Spain 2
Almeria - Huelva @ 2.46
Castellon CD - Gimnástico de Tarragona @ 2.68
Valladolid - Lorca @ 2.36
Xerez - Murcia Real @ 2.70
Gijon Sporting - Levante @ 2.58

This spanish league 2 want to fail me, but it will never fail my systems.

Italy B
Verona - Bari @ 2.40
Avellino - Vicenza @2.20

Under Bet

Italy B
Modena - Piacenza @ 2.34
Catanzaro US - Catania Calcio @ 2.30

[goodfren]

Day 15 Result

4 Win 5 Loss - Total Day Profit 0.502pts.

Starting Bank: 100pts
Total Bets: 135 Matches
Total Won: 59
Striking Rate: 43.70%
Current Bank Balance: 77.810pts
Yield in % : -22.190

Everage per each bet for Day 16: 3.89pts